Updating the Numbers

Fisher DeBerry's record after 243 games, through the Army game of 2003, as head coach at Air Force stands at 156-86-1(.644) overall; 73-55-1(.569) on the road or at neutral sites and 83-31(.728) in home games.

FISHER'S IMPACT. Entering the New Mexico game AFA's all-time record stands at 294-241-13(.548) in 548 games. Fisher's tenure as head coach spans 44% of the total number of games the Falcons have played in their history, yet has produced 53% of the academy's victories. Another mark of Fisher's success is that his teams have registered only 35% of the academy's all-time losses while having played 44% of the total number of games in AFA's football history. DeBerry has already won 18 more games than all other head football coaches in AFA's history combined.

       DEE-FENSE, DEE-FENSE?  From November 18, 1999, through this season's Army game, Air Force has played forty-six games against division 1-A opponents. In
29 (63.4%) of those games Air Force has allowed 24 or more points to the opposition. In those 29 games when allowing 24 or more points AFA has gone 12-17(.413). In the seventeen games in which the defense has allowed fewer than twenty-four points AFA has gone 15-2(.882). When AFA limits the opposition to fewer than 24 points it wins. When AFA allows twenty-four points or more its chances to win decrease rapidly and the figures support this assessment.

       In these forty-six games against division 1-A opponents Air Force has compiled a
27-19(.586) record. The last time AFA allowed a team to score at least twenty-four points and still posted a victory was September 20, 2003, at home, against Wyoming when AFA beat the Cowboys, 35-29. 

       On October 19, 2002, Notre Dame became the first team to defeat AFA when scoring fewer than 24 points since Utah beat the Falcons, 21-15, in the Snow Bowl on October 16, 1999. The only other game Air Force has lost since November 18, 1999, when allowing fewer than twenty-four points is the 2002 San Francisco Bowl to Virginia Tech by a, 20-13, score.

       A CHANCE TO ADVANCE. Here is a look at the leading rushers in AFA history through the Army game of the 2003 season. Harridge had a strong game versus Army and contributed 80 yards on a dozen carries in the team's, 31-3, victory. Harridge inched his way closer to the tandem of Brian Bream and Pat Evans. By gaining sixty-five yards Harridge will create a three way tie for fourth place on the academy's career rushing yardage list.




         1. 3612     Dee Dowis
         2. 3379     Beau Morgan
         3. 2726     John Kershner
         4. 2284     Brian Bream
         4. 2284     Pat Evans
        
6. 2219     Chance Harridge <==
         7. 1993     Greg Johnson
         8. 1860     Marty Louthan

        
9. 1762     Jason Jones
       10. 1760     Rodney Lewis
       11. 1702     Rob Perez
       12. 1677     Bart Weiss
       13. 1633     Terry Issacson
       14. 1630     Ken Wood
       15. 1551     Shelby Ball
       16. 1534     Mike Thiessen
       17. 1478     Jake Campbell
       18. 1470     Leotis Palmer
       19. 1406     Qualario Brown
       20. 1400     Scotty McKay
       21. 1371     Mike Quinlan
       22. 1354     Spanky Gilliam
       23. 1347     Larry Thomson
       24. 1296     Nakia Addison
       25. 1242     Keith Boyea
       26. 1233     Johnny Smith
       27. 1129     Blane Morgan
      
28. 1103    Anthony Butler <==
       29. 1091     Curtis Martin
       30. 1074     Bill Berry
       31. 1005     Joel Carlson
      
32. 1002     Darnell Stephens <==
      


       Anthony Butler continues his climb up the chart of career rushing leaders at the academy. He added 15 yards against Army to pass Curtis Martin and now stands in twenty-eighth place, a scant 26 yards behind Blane Morgan. In his career Butler has carried the ball 203 times for 1,103 yards, 10 TDs and a 5.43 yards per carry average.

       The newest name to be added to the list of career rushers to have met or surpassed the 1,000 yard mark is Darnell Stephens. His seven carry, 52 yard, 1 TD performance against Army enabled Stephens to become the thirty-second player in AFA history to reach the milestone. Stephens' career slate shows him having carried the ball 177 times, for 1002 yards, a 5.66 yards per carry avaerage and 5 TDs. By gaining another four yards he will pass Joel Carlson on the career rushing list. The simultaneous presence of Chance Harridge, Butler and Stephens on the roster gives this year's AFA team three of the program's top thirty-two ground gainers in its distinguished hoistory.

       The next player to join this elite company could be current sophomore HB Matt Ward. After gaining 65 yards on 6 carries and scoring a TD against Army, Ward's career ledger now shows he has 93 carries for 617 yards, a 6.63 yards per carry avaerage and 6 rushing TDS.
      



       AND JUST FOR KICKS. PK Joey Ashcroft continues his assault on establishing himself among the most accomplished kickers in AFA history. He did not attempt a field goal in the CSU game. Have a look where he stands in some prominent categories in AFA place-kicking annals.



       AFA Career FG Percentage LeadersJoey Ashcroft moving up the kicker list (AP)
                           FGM-FGA          PCT.
1. Jackson Whiting-1998-99    19-23                    .826
2. Joe Wood-1989-91         39-49              .796
3. David Adams-1998-2000      26-34                   .765
4. Carlos Mateos-1984            12-16                   .750
5. Joey Ashcroft-current       26-36                   .722 <==

       Career Field Goals Made
1. Dave Lawson 51 (1972-75)
2. Sean Pavlich 42  (1980-83)
3. Joe Wood 39  (1989-91)
4. Dennis Leuthaser 27 (1967-69)
5. Dave Adams 26 (1998-2000)
5. Joey Ashcroft  26 (2002-present) <==
7. Jim Sturch 25 (1978-79)
8. Randy Roberts  22 (1994-95)


       Field Goals Made in a Season
1. 19 Dave Lawson 1974
1. 19 Dave Adams 2000
3. 17 Joe Wood 1991
4. 16 Jim Sturch 1978
4. 16 Joey Ashcroft 2002

       AFA AGAINST THE POINTS. From 2001 to the present here's look at how the Falcons have fared against the point spread. Bear in mind that Las Vegas does not set a line for a game matching a division 1-A team against a division 1-AA team. In 2001, Air Force went 3-8 against the spread. In 2002, AFA went 9-4 against the point spread. The Falcons are 4-5 against the spread this year. The Falcons were 26 1/2 point favorites against Army and covered the spread.

        LOOKING BACKWARD AND FORWARD. Wofford is 9-1 on the year. Northwestern is 5-5; North Texas 7-3; Wyoming 4-5; BYU 4-6; Navy 6-4; UNLV 5-5; CSU is 5-5; Utah is 7-2 and army is 0-10. The aggregate record of the teams Air Force played through the first ten games of its schedule is
52-46(.530).

       Here are the records of AFA's remaining regular season opponents in 2003: New Mexico 6-4 and San Diego State is 5-5. These teams' composite record is
11-9(.550). Thus far the combined records of teams on AFA's schedule in 2003 is 63-55(.533).


       IS LESS MORE...or is it really less? Here's a brief comparative look at Chance Harridge's offensive production through the first ten games of the 2002 and 2003 seasons.

2002 Rushing: 191 carries for 928 yards 17 TDs and a
4.85 yards per carry average.
2003 Rushing: 148 carries for 809 yards 12 TDs and a
5.46 yards per carry average.

2002 Passing: 50 for 105 and 744 yards/ 3 ints/ 7 TDs and a
47.6% completion mark.
2003 Passing: 65 for 128 and 815 yards/ 5 ints/ 6 TDs and a
50.7% completion mark.

2002 Total offense: 1,672 yards and 24 TDs with a team record of
7-3.
2003 Total offense: 1,624 yards and 18 TDs with a team record of
7-3.

       In 2002 Harridge ran 234 times for 1,159 yards in the regular season and carried the ball, on average, 19.5 times a game. In 2003, Harridge is averaging 14.8 carries a game through the team's first ten contests and is on a pace to register 177 rushing attempts in the regular season, or about five fewer carries per game.

       ANOTHER MOUNTAIN TO CLIMB. It might be too much of a challenge for him to move into the top rungs of this list, but have a look at where Chance Harridge stands in relation to the all time total offense leaders at AFA.

1. 6,627--Beau Morgan 1994-96
2. 6,482--Dee Dowis 1986-1989
3. 5,511--Dave Ziebart 1976-1979
4. 4,997--Marty Louthan 1980-1983
5. 4,740--Rich Haynie 1971-1973

       Entering the New Mexico game on November 15th, Harridge has amassed
2,219 yards rushing and 1,995 yards passing for a total offensive output of 4,214 yards. He would need to account for 526 yards over the course of the remainder of his career to tie Rich Haynie for fifth place on the total offense chart in AFA football history. Assuming a best case scenario--that Harridge remains healthy and that AFA earns a bowl bid--he'd need to average 175.33 yards a contest over the next three games to move into a fifth place tie with Haynie. When Harridge adds five more yards to his career passing total he will have gained at least 2,000 yards in his career both in rushing and passing at the academy.


       OUTPACING THE OPPOSITION.  Since the start of the 2001 season and before facing New Mexico this coming weekend, the Air Force Falcons have played thirty-five games. AFA has compiled a
21-14 (.600) in those games. Here's a game by game look at the yards gained and allowed by the Falcons in this time and a look at how this perfomance correlates to AFA's record over the time span.

2001

AFA  249      Oklahoma  398    Loss  44-3
AFA  379      Tenn Tech  268    Win  42-0
AFA  427      S.D. State  403    Win  45-21
AFA  371      Navy          412    Win  24-18
AFA  524      Wyoming    516    Win  24-13
AFA  502      BYU           611    Loss 63-33
AFA  278      New Mex.   620    Loss  52-33
AFA  282      Army          486    Win  34-24
AFA  481      CSU           300    Loss  28-21
AFA  336      UNLV         353    Loss  34-10
AFA  603      Hawaii        572    Loss  52-30
AFA  274      Utah           543    Win  38-37

2002

AFA  523      N'western    221    Win  52-3
AFA  360      New Mex.   362     Win  38-31 (OT)
AFA  317      California    335     Win  23-21
AFA  287      Utah          290      Win  30-26
AFA  536      Navy          347      Win  48-7
AFA  463      BYU          304      Win  52-9
AFA  161      N. Dame    447      Loss 21-14
AFA  424      Wyoming   484      Loss 34-26
AFA  250      CSU          341      Loss 31-12
AFA  531      Army         330      Win  49-30
AFA  468      UNLV        469      Win  49-32
AFA  538      S.D.State  398      Loss 38-34
AFA  318      Va. Tech   278      Loss 20-13 (S.F. Bowl)

2003

AFA  469      Wofford    175       Win  49-0
AFA  409      N'western 452       Win  22-21
AFA  427      N. Texas  260       Win  34-21
AFA  510      Wyoming 486       Win  35-29
AFA  328      BYU        306       Win  24-10
AFA  362      Navy        326       Loss  28-25
AFA  324      UNLV      250        Win  24-7
AFA  430      CSU        564       Loss  30-20
AFA  362      Utah        459       Loss  45-43 (3OT)
AFA  446      Army       199       Win 31-3

       In their past thirty-five games the Falcons have outgained their opponents 18 times and posted a
13-5 (.722) record in doing so. In the remaining 17 games the Falcons have been outgained and posted a record of 8-9 (.470). It has been a crapshoot for AFA when being outgained since the start of the 2001 season. On the other hand it's clear that the Falcons' ability to pile up yardage has led to an increased likelihood of victory.
 


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