Hard To Fathom Ole Miss Forecast

Fear the Rebels? A very high opinion of the observations of Pete Fiutak and his CollegeFootballNews.com led to an examination of the site's analysis of the upcoming season insofar as the Southeastern Conference Western Division. There was a surprise.

At this site, we expect Alabama to always win. The mere fact that we are usually rewarded with that expectation doesn't take away from the obvious. We are prejudiced.

We do not expect all others to predict an undefeated season for the Crimson Tide. Even though we would not predict it, Bama's game at LSU and the Tide's final regular season game against Auburn are contests where we would understand others predicting upsets of Alabama.

But Ole Miss? This is not disrespect of the Rebels, who generally have good players and good coaches. Still, all would agree that Mississippi is a rung or two lower than Alabama on the college football ladder.

CollegeFootballNews.com, though, picks the Rebels to beat Alabama in 2014 (http://cfn.scout.com/2/1402844.html).

We first picked up on this prediction when we read the first part of the article analyzing Bama's upcoming season with a predicted record of 10-2, losses at Ole Miss and at LSU.

The site suggested Alabama's "realistic best case record" is the one we would have: 12-0. Worst case, 9-3.

And then we skipped down to the Ole Miss projection.

The win over Alabama is predicated on Mississippi getting through its first four games without loss. The analysis suggests the Rebels could have problems with two of them – Louisiana-Lafayette and Boise State – but that Mississippi should beat Vanderbilt and Memphis.

So what does that fantasy win over Alabama do for Ole Miss in 2014 according to the CFN.com projection? Not much. The site predicts the Rebels to beat Alabama, but lose to Texas A&M, Auburn, LSU, and Arkansas. Arkansas?

We can understand some of the love for Mississippi. It seems the Rebels should be one of the elites of the SEC. Actually, no. The last Ole Miss SEC championship was 50 years ago, in 1963. The Rebels have an all-time losing record in SEC games.

As for Alabama, the Crimson Tide has a 51-8-2 all-time on-the-field record against the Rebels. Bama's last loss to Ole Miss was over a decade ago.

Just looking back to last year, Mississippi came into the Alabama game averaging 38 points and 490 yards of offense per game. Final score: Alabama 25, Ole Miss 0. Alabama rushed for 254 yards (T.J. Yeldon led the way with 17 carries for 121 yards.) The Rebels had total rushing of 46 yards.

The BamaMag.com pre-season predictions will come later, but we predict now that forecast will include Alabama beating Ole Miss.

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