Almost Perfect Picks Stumped By A Pair

There was a little murmur Saturday from Columbia North. No one could have seen Indiana upsetting Missouri. That, however, was nothing compared to the cowbell calamity that hit Cajun country. Almost Perfect Picks was waylaid by those two and way off the mark on some other Week 4 predictions.

After two very good weeks, then a slightly shaky third week, the Almost Perfect Picks managed to hit only six of eight predictions last week. To be sure, APP had the Alabama game – the only one that really matters – nailed. Our prediction of 38-20 wasn’t far off the actual 42-21 margin over Florida. That also earned a double win on the point spread (14 1/2 and the over/under points (52).

That was the good news.

For the week, though, the 6-2 margin on games picked wasn’t that difficult. Surely, we thought, no one would have predicted Mississippi State upsetting LSU in Baton Rouge or Indiana coming off a loss to Bowling Green and beating Missouri in Columbia.

Well, we haven’t heard any bragging about picking the Missouri loss, but all of a sudden it seems everyone thought Mississippi State was going to beat LSU. Well, not the APP, which had the Tigers winning by 28-10. The Bulldogs 34-29 upset was not only a straight up loser, but also lost on the points and over/under.

Picking Missouri to win 35-17 when Indiana won 31-27 meant a straight up loss and a loss against the points spread, but did salvage a correct call on the over/under.

In addition to the pedestrian 6-2 record on straight up picks, the APP was an embarrassing 3-5 against the points, but also 6-2 on the over/under, making it 9-7 on gambling opportunities.

APP correctly picked the winners in Auburn beating Kansas State, 20-14, but the prediction of 49-14 was well off the mark and a loser on both the spread and the over/under.

APP also was able to predict Georgia beating Troy, but never imagined the Bulldogs would take out the frustration of the loss to South Carolina with such a vengeance, 66-0. The APP pick of 49-14 was a loser on the spread, but a winner on the overall.

Texas A&M over SMU was also an easy straight up pick and the Aggies getting a 48-6 decision meant wins against the spread and the over/under.

Arkansas did quite a bit better than APP expected, but of course the straight up selection was correct as the Hogs were a 52-14 winner of Northern Illinois. That, too, was a winner for APP on the two gambling opportunities.

Vanderbilt surprised us with the early lead at South Carolina, but the APP was not surprised by the final result of the Gamecocks taking a 48-34 win. APP missed on the point spread, but got the over/under.

For the year, the APP predicting Southeastern Conference games has been 38-4 straight up and 39-16 in wagering opportunities.

Alabama is among SEC teams with an open date this week, as is Florida which needs the off week to lick its wounds and Mississippi State which probably needs the time to come down out of the clouds.

This week’s schedule has Arkansas meeting Texas A&M in Cowboys Stadium in Arlington; Auburn hosting Louisiana Tech; Tennessee at Georgia; Vanderbilt at Kentucky; New Mexico State at LSU; Ole Miss hosting Memphis; and Missouri traveling to Columbia South to meet South Carolina.

Bama returns to action Oct. 4 against Mississippi in Oxford.

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