Almost Perfect Picks Had Bad Week, Too

There’s the story told of the gambler who had a terrible day picking college football games. His bookie consoled him. “You can get it back tomorrow.” The gambler said, “Oh, no. I don’t bet on pro football. I don’t know anything about it.”

Among the most inaccurate philosophical stance possible is “What you don’t know can’t hurt you.” On the other hand, what you don’t know can help you. For instance, knowing to not bet on college football games. It is advice we give freely and often, even as we present our weekly Almost Perfect Picks.

As predicted last week, the task was getting harder, and it showed in the prediction results.

The APP predicted only three of six correct winners last week, missing the Alabama loss to Ole Miss, the Texas A&M loss to Mississippi State, and the South Carolina loss to Kentucky.

The APP also had some missteps even on the games in which the winner was accurately picked, since we are also keeping up with how the picks go against the point spread and as to the over/under.

Against the spread, APP was only 2-4. It was better on the over/under, 5-1.

For the year, the APP is now 47-8 in straight up picks, but only 52-29 in gambling opportunities.

This looks like another difficult week coming up with Alabama at Arkansas (5 p.m. CDT on ESPN), Georgia at Missouri, Auburn at Mississippi State, Ole Miss at Texas A&M, and LSU at Florida in conference games. Southeastern Conference teams playing outside the league are Tennessee hosting Chattanooga and Vanderbilt home to Charleston Southern.


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