The first week of our Almost Perfect Picks was a mixed bag insofar as the hard part, against the spread and the over/under. Predicting winners was not too hard.
Of most importance, we got the Alabama game winner correctly. The Crimson Tide defeated Wisconsin, 35-17. The line on the game was Bama favored by 10 1/2 and the over/under (predicted total number of points) was 51 1/2. We had picked Bama to win by 27-13. So while we got the right winner and Alabama covered the spread, we misjudged the over/under by half a point. Who would have dreamed Bama would have made all its extra points.
For the week, we were 12-1 on picking the winners, but only 5-5 against the point spread. We were 7-4 on our predictions of the total points over/under.
Although 14 games had been scheduled, the LSU game against McNeese State was canceled because of stormy weather. We had picked the Tigers to win that one by 38-17.
Game-by-game we had picked:
South Carolina (favored by 2 with a 63 112 over/under) 30, North Carolina 21. Actual score was 17-13, which was good enough for us to pick the winner, win the point spread, and win the over/under.
Vanderbilt 24, Western Kentucky (favored by 2, o/u 64 1/2) 21. Actual was WKU 14, Vandy 12, so we missed the straight up winner, pushed the spread, and got the o/u.
Georgia (favored by 35, 53 o/u) 49, Louisiana-Monroe 6. Actual score Georgia 51, Monroe 14, winning straight up, against the spread, and the over/under.
Ole Miss 49, U-T-Martin 0, in a game in which there was no line. Actual score was 76-3, so we squeaked out with a win.
Auburn (favored by 10 1/2, o/u 58 1/2) 49, Louisville 13. We didn’t see this being close, but the actual score was Auburn 31, Louisville 24, so we got the winner, but missed on the spread and the over/under.
Arkansas 42 (favored by 33, o/u 49 1/2), UTEP 10. Actual score Arkansas 48, UTEP 13, making us good straight up, against the spread, and the over/under.
Tennessee (favored by 20 1/2, o/u 60 1/2) 35, Bowling Green 13. Actual score Tennessee 59, Bowling Green 30 also surprised us, so we got the winner, but missed on the spread and the o/u.
Missouri 42, Southeast Missouri 14. There was no line. Missouri won 34-3.
Texas A&M (favored by 3, o/u 66) 39, Arizona 28. Actual score A&M 38, Arizona 17. We had the winner and the spread, but not the over/under.
Kentucky (favored by 16, o/u 61) 45, Louisiana-Lafayette 20. Actual score, Kentucky 40, Louisiana-Lafayette 33. Winner and over/under right, spread wrong.
Florida (favored by 17, o/u 57 1/2) 49, New Mexico State 17. Actual score Florida 61, New Mexico State 13. We missed the spread, got the winner and the o/u.
Mississippi State (favored by 21, o/u 56 1/2) 48, Southern Miss 21. Actual score MSU 34, USM 16. We had the winner and the over/under, but missed the spread.
Look for the next round to be better. We’ll have it for you Friday.