Almost Perfect Picks Has No Identity

The Almost Perfect Picks department is trying to find its identity, trying to get some consistency, trying to improve each week.We'd like to say we may an ill-advised change in our starting picker, but that would be incorrect, and we've been incorrect in too many ways.

Although the Almost Perfect Picks missed the Alabama game so horribly, it might appear that it was a disastrous week. It wasn’t all that great, but it was an improvement over the second week, which was really bad.

Last week we went exclusively with the home teams, and on some we were pretty good, including being correct on the winner, the point spread, and the over-under (the number of points scored by both teams) on two important games, Auburn at LSU and South Carolina at Georgia.

Our worst pick was the Alabama game, where we missed the winner, the spread, and the over/under by a long shot (well, six points on the winner).

For the week the APP was 7-3 straight up picking winners, 3-4 against the spread, and 5-2 on the o/u.

Through three games the record is 28-6 straight up, 12-16 against the spread, and 16-12 on the o/u.

Here are the details of last week’s games:

Nevada (1-1) at Texas A&M (2-0), 11 a.m. CDT on SEC Network (A&M favored by 34, over/under – total points predicted to be scored by both teams – 65). We picked it A&M 56, Nevada 10, and it turned out Texas A&M 44, Nevada 27.

UConn (2-0) at Missouri (2-0), 11 a.m. CDT on ESPN (Missouri favored by 21, o/u 39). Our pick was Missouri 31, UConn 17, and the actual was an exciting Missouri 9, UConn 6.

Auburn (2-0) at LSU (1-0, 1-0 SEC), 2:30 p.m. CDT on CBS (LSU favored by 7 1/2, o/u 50). Our prediction was LSU 31, Auburn 20 and it was LSU 45, Auburn 31.

Northwestern State (0-2) at Mississippi State (1-1, 0-1 SEC), 3 p.m. CDT on SEC Network (no line). Our pick was Mississippi State 27, Northwestern State 6, and Mississippi State won by 62-13.

Austin Peay (0-2) at Vanderbilt (0-2, 0-1 SEC), 3 p.m. CDT on SEC Network Alternate (no line). The prediction was Vandy 20,. Austin Peay 10, and the Commodores romped, 47-7.

South Carolina (1-1, 0-1 SEC) at Georgia (2-0, 1-0 SEC), 6 p.m. EDT, 5 central, on ESPN ((Georgia favored by 16 1/2, o/u 54) –

Texas Tech (2-0) at Arkansas (1-1), 6 p.m. CDT on ESPN2 (Arkansas favored by 11 1/2, o/u 67). We missed the winner here, picking Arkansas to win by 30-20 and Texas Tech winning by 35-24.

Western Carolina (1-1) at Tennessee (1-1), 7 p.m. EDT, 6 central, on ESPNU (no line). We had Tennessee winning 42-10 and the Vols won by 55-10.

Florida (2-0) at Kentucky (2-0, 1-0 SEC), 6 p.m. CDT on SEC Network (Florida favored by 3, o/u 52 1/2). We had Kentucky in an upset winning 26-22 and the Gators took a 14-9 win.

And finally...

Ole Miss (2-0) at Alabama (2-0), 8:15 p.m. CDT on ESPN (Alabama favored by 6 1/2, o/u 51 1/2). We were way off, picking Alabama to have no turnovers and the finish being Bama 24, Ole Miss 14. Actual was Ole Miss 43, Alabama 37.

We’ll try again Friday.

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