Kentucky Has Been Tough On Our Picks

Last week’s Almost Perfect Picks department did a decent job in picking two upsets and being correct on 8-9 Southeastern Conference results in Week 4, and hopes this week to break a three-game skid in trying to forecast the Kentucky result.

Alabama was one of three games in which the APP was correct on the winner of the game (straight up), winner against the point spread, and correct against the over/under (number of points scored by both teams).

The APP was correct on picking the winner in all but the Kentucky upset of Missouri – after having picked Kentucky wrong in its win over South Carolina and its loss to Florida the two previous weeks. Although it will be Friday before Saturday’s predictions are revealed, we’ll spoil the surprise and promise that the Wildcats will be picked to defeat Eastern Kentucky.

On the other hand, we were correct in picking the mild upsets of Mississippi State over Auburn and Florida over Tennessee.

Last week in contrast to being 8-1 straight up, the APP was a poor 3-5 against the spread. Against the over/under the APP was a sparkling 7-1.

For the year, the APP is 36-7 straight up, 15-21 against the spread, and 23-13on the o/u.

As for last week’s details:

LSU was a 24 1/2 point favorite over Syracuse and the o/u was 46 1/2. The pick was 38-10 and the final score was 34-24.

There was no line on the Georgia-Southern game, which the Bulldogs won 48-6. The prediction had been 63-3.

South Carolina was a 15 point favorite over Central Florida and the o/u was 44. We picked it 24-14.

Tennessee was a 1-point favorite and the o/u at Florida was 48. It came out Gators 28, Vols 27, and our prediction had been Florida winning 28-21.

We were correct in thinking Ole Miss might have its head in the clouds a week after defeating Alabama, but the Rebels managed to beat the spread. Ole Miss was a 24 1/2-point favorite and the o/u was 55. Final was Rebels 27, Vanderbilt 16. We had picked it 38-10.

Texas A&M was a 7-point favorite over Arkansas and the o/u was 58. It went to overtime with the Aggies winning 28-21. We had predicted Texas A&M to win by 31-17.

Auburn was a 1 1/2 point favorite at home and the o/u was 58. Mississippi State won the game, 17-9, and we had picked the Bulldogs to win 30-17.

As for Alabama, the Crimson Tide was a 38-point favorite and the o/u was 55. We notice that Nick Saban avoids running up the score so our pick was 42-10 and the actual score was 34-0.


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