The APP department spends extra time assessing all facets of the Alabama game each week, and prior to last week’s Crimson Tide romp in Athens, the prediction was that Bama was not dead and buried, did not need life support, and would defeat the Bulldogs by 27-17. It was actually a bit more decisive than that with the Tide taking a 38-10 victory and improving its record to 4-1 and evening its SEC mark at 1-1.
For its performance – actually, Alabama’s and the APP’s – in that game in which Alabama was a two-point underdog and the over/under (the predicted number of points to be scored by both teams), the APP was correct on the winner, correct against the point spread, and correct on the over/under.
For the week, the APP was 6-3 in the tough-to-figure fifth week of SEC play. In the eight games in which there was a line and an over/under the APP was 5-3 against the spread and 4-4 vs. the over/under.
For the year, the APP is 42-10 straight up, 20-24 against the line, and 27-17 on the o/a.
Here are the details on other predictions last week:
Mississippi State at Texas A&M (Texas A&M favored by 7, o/u 59) – Guess: Texas A&M 38, Mississippi State 30. Actual: Texas A&M 30, Mississippi State 17. Correct on straight up and point spread, wrong on o/u.
Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky (no line) – Guess: Kentucky 42, Eastern Kentucky 10. Actual: Kentucky 34, Eastern Kentucky 27 (OT). Correct on winner.
The APP is already hard at work on this week’s predictions, including Arkansas playing Alabama in Bryant-Denny Stadium at 6 p.m. CDT with ESPN televising the game.
An early hint is that the APP again this week will not consider the Crimson Tide to be “six foot under already...dead and buried and gone. Gone.”
No matter what you may have heard or read from unreliable reporters.