Almost Perfect Picks Lived Up To Name

The Almost Perfect Picks Department didn’t have much pressure last week because it was the bye week for the team followed most closely, and with fewer beads of sweat on the brow the result was pretty good.

Hopefully that group of geeks spent some time working on this week’s predictions, and particularly on the top game in the nation as Alabama hosts LSU at 7 p.m. CDT Saturday with CBS televising the game.

With a Thursday Southeastern Conference game this week (Mississippi State at Missouri – I know, you can’t wait) our picks this week will be out Thursday on seven games, all SEC teams in action this week against other SEC teams.

Last week the APP was correct on 5-6 picking winners. The lone miss was affected by loyalty, the APP considering that its chairman’s daughter is a Vandy graduate. That was a serious miscalculation, the worst pick of the week by far.

The APP has not been good in picking against the line (also known as the spread, and the number of points by which a team is favored) this year, and that trend was only slightly changed as the result was 3 right, 2 wrong.

The APP has done pretty well vs. the over/under (the predicted number of points to be scored by both teams) and was 4-1.

For the year, the APP is 61-16 in picking SEC winners and 44-24 vs. the over/under, but only 31-37 vs. the spread.

Here are the game-by-game results from last week:

Ole Miss (6-2 overall, 3-1 SEC) at Auburn (4-3, 1-3). Ole Miss favored by 7 1/2, over/under 57 1/2. PREDICTION: Ole Miss 31, Auburn 17. ACTUAL: Ole Miss 27, Auburn 19. Correct on winner, correct on line, correct on o/u.

South Carolina (3-4, 1-4) at Texas A&M (5-2, 2-2). Texas A&M favored by 16 1/2, o/u 56 1/2. PREDICTION: Texas A&M 42, South Carolina 21. ACTUAL: Texas A&M 35, South Carollna 28. Correct on winner and o/u, wrong against the line.

Georgia (5-2, 3-2) vs. Florida (6-1, 4-1) at Jacksonville. Florida favored by 2 1/2, o/u 46. PREDICTION: Florida 24, Georgia 21. ACTAL: Florida 27, Georgia 3. Correct on winner, correct against the spread, correct on o/u.

U-T Martin (6-2) at Arkansas (3-4, 2-2). No Line. PREDICTION: Arkansas 35, U-T Martin 17. ACTUAL: Arkansas 63, U-T Martin 28. Correct on winner.

Vanderbilt (3-4, 1-3) at Houston (7-0). Houston favored by 12 1/2, o/u 50. PREDICTION: Vanderbilt 24, Houston 21. ACTUAL: Houston 34, Vanderbilt 0. Wrong on winner and against the spread, correct on o/u.

Tennessee (3-4, 1-3) at Kentucky (4-3, 2-3). Tennessee favored by 8 1/2, o/u 57. PREDICTION: Tennessee 28, Kentucky 24. ACTUAL: Tennessee 52, Kentucky 21. Correct on winner, wrong on spread and o/u.

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