It wasn’t a great week for the Almost Perfect Picks Department at BamaMag.com, but we’re not putting it all on that disappointed group of geeks. What happened to the coaching in the Southeastern Conference last week?
For instance, all Alabama Coach Nick Saban had to do was get one more score, even a field goal. Sure, the Crimson Tide won the game against his alma mater by 48-0, and the APP had Bama winning and Alabama winning by more than the line at 44 points. But it came up short on the over-under, which was 50.
Or Jim McElwain at Florida, whose team just collapsed in the SEC headliner at Tennessee. Our APP nerds figured Tennessee to win, which the Vols did by 38-28, but thought fewer points would be scored considering Florida’s vaunted defense and the Gators not having a quarterback. Thus, while we had the winner, we were wrong both on the spread and the o-u.
And, of course, the APP never can figure out Vanderbilt, a 31-30 overtime winner at Western Kentucky.
So here’s the bottom line from last week:
In picking the actual winner, the APP was 6-3 (correctly getting Alabama, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Tennessee, Missouri, and Texas A&M, but missing on Vandy, South Carolina losing to Kentucky, and LSU falling to Auburn.
The nerds thought that Les Miles should have been fired after that game.
And now the sad side of the APP selections: Against the line (or point spread), it was 2-6. Against the over-under (total points to be scored by both teams) it was 2-6.
Thus, through four weeks, the APP is 36-8 in selecting winning SEC teams, but against the spread it is only 16-23 and vs. the over-under only 22-17.
The geek group is hard at work trying to bounce back this week, and considering the SEC schedule this week, it should be a good one.