Dean Legge / Dawg Post

Almost Perfect Picks Department going with Georgia in an upset

Look for Auburn and Tennessee to win in romps this week

One thing we don’t have to worry about this week is the Geek Gang in the Almost Perfect Picks Department at suffering from sleep deprivation. We wandered down towards the Situation Room and that wasn’t the buzzing of busy bees we heard. We know a snore when we hear one.

And who can really blame them. This is not a week of really big Southeastern Conference games, particularly with Alabama having the week off.

CBS just out of habit, presumably, will be in Jacksonville for what once was known as the World’s Biggest Outdoor Cocktail Party. “So what are they serving?” one of the nerds asked. “Stale beer?”

The biggest game by far is Auburn at Ole Miss, but that’s a case of one team (Auburn) one of the hottest in the country and the other (Mississippi, of course) in Deep Freeze mode.

For the year, the Almost Perfect Picks Department is 59-11 in picking SEC winners, 24-37 against the point spread (or line), and 33-30 on the over-under (number of points to be scored by both teams).

In addition to Alabama (8-0 overall, 5-0 SEC), other teams not playing this week are Arkansas (5-3, 1-3),  LSU (5-2, 3-1 , and  Vanderbilt (4-4, 1-3).

Here are this week’s Almost Perfect Picks with the line and the over-under taken from a random morning newspaper:

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Kentucky (4-3 overall, 3-2 SEC) at Missouri (2-5, 0-3) at 11 a.m. CDT on SEC Network (Series: Tied 3-3) – Missouri favored by 4 ½ points, over-under 70 1/2 – Everyone is expecting Missouri quarterback Drew Lock to have a big day and for Kentucky to continue its habit of turning the ball over and for the Tigers to walk away with a win over the Wildcats. But we seem to remember last week when Kentucky got a much-needed upset win over Mississippi State while Missouri was being upset by Middle Tennessee State. Kentucky 37, Missouri 31.

Samford (6-1) at Mississippi State (2-5, 1-3) at 2:30 p.m. CDT on SEC Network (Series:?MSU leads, 16-1-1) – There is no line on this game – The Birmingham Bulldogs don’t play at as high a level as the Starkville Bulldogs, but don’t think that Samford is going to roll over. Samford has a nice football team, and no one has said that about Mississippi State this year. Still, Samford isn’t South Alabama. Mississippi State 38, Samford 17.

Florida (5-1, 3-1) vs. Georgia (4-3, 2-3) at 3:30 p.m. EDT (2:30 p.m. central) on CBS (Series:?UGA leads, 49-42-2) – Florida favored by 7 ½, o-u 44 – It’s a former Alabama offensive coordinator, Jim McElwain of Florida, against a former Alabama defensive coordinator, Kirby Smart of Georgia. Other than blowing a big lead to Tennessee, the Gators have been good, particularly on defense. Florida has to get a decent game out of quarterback Luke Del Rio (also formerly of Alabama). It’s hard to get past Georgia’s loss to Vanderbilt, but the Florida record is misleading against a weak schedule. Our upset special: Georgia 24, Florida 17.

Auburn (5-2, 3-1) at Ole Miss (3-4, 1-3) at 6:15 p.m. CDT on SEC Network (Series: AU leads, 29-11) – Auburn favored by 4 ½, o-u 63 – There is speculation that Ole Miss intends to voluntarily eliminate itself from bowl consideration this year as a preemptive strike against the bombshell expected from the NCAA. The Rebels may not have to volunteer to stay home for the holidays, one of the SEC’s most talented groups of players having managed a losing record thus far. Auburn expected to romp Arkansas last week (though probably no one expected 56-3) and the Tigers should be feeling great about this one. Auburn 38, Mississippi 17.

Tennessee (5-2, 2-2) at South Carolina (3-4, 1-4) at 7:15 p.m. EDT (6:15 central) on ESPN2 (Series:?UT leads, 25-7-2) – Tennessee favored by 13 ½, o-u 50 ½ -- Whoever thought we’d miss the self-proclaimed Ball Coach, but this game lacks any color. Sort of like those Tennessee gray uniforms. Tennessee was expected to be a strong team this year, and the Vols are still likely to win the SEC East. A week off to get over some of their many injuries should help UT put the expected clobber on the Gamecocks. Tennessee 41, South Carolina 14.

New Mexico State (2-5) at Texas A&M (6-1, 4-1) at 6:30 p.m. CDT on ESPNU (Series:?First Meeting) – Texas A&M favored by 43 ½, o-u 69 ½ -- There is a long history of teams that play Alabama having a tough time the next week. The Aggies have a way around that post-Bama hangover by bringing in one of the nation’s weakest teams. A&M will have to be on its toes on defense as the visitors will throw it around, but the Aggies ground game should thrive. Texas A&M 58, New Mexico State 13.

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