Turner had nine points and six rebounds in the first meeting while Anderson did not do much. Anderson actually had three very strong offensive games before facing Arizona State and St. John's, where he struggled. The assumption is that Anderson won't kill Arizona offensively, so it all depends on what Turner shows up. If the Turner against USC shows up, he will have the advantage. However, since that is not a guarantee, we will make this even.
Arizona did a great job on Jones defensively in the first meeting, forcing him to shoot 5-16 from the field. Fogg, on the other hand, had one of the worst games against UCLA that he has had in his career. Jones is very capable of putting together a nice offensive game, but it just makes more sense for Fogg to outplay him. This is Fogg's last game at McKale and he even made a point after the USC game to say that he wants to go out with a bang against a team that he has done well against throughout his career.
Powell has seen his minutes increase as of late and has been inserted into the starting lineup. However, he has not done a ton with the minutes and while we like his potential as a player, it may not work in this system. Johnson had an awful game against the Bruins in the first meeting and while he may not have a spectacular game on Saturday, he should be able to at least match Powell.
Wear got a ton of attention and credit because he had one of his strongest games of the season. However, Hill was one of the bright spots for Arizona in that game and finished with 16 and 11. Wear seems like guarantee to hit double digits, but if Arizona can keep him off the glass and the shooting percentages low, it will be a success.
Wear is not a great matchup for Perry because he can take him on the perimeter and shoot over him. Travis Wear had one of the best performances of Arizona that any player has had this season and you can be sure that Sean Miller is prepared for that. Perry is going to have to play better than he has the past few games but, until he does, we have to give Wear the advantage.
Bench: Josh Smith poses problems for Arizona, but the Wildcats will likely be able to run up and down the court in order to try to get him out of the game. While Smith is dangerous, he is extremely inconsistent. The better bet is that Tyler Lamb will be able to contribute and he had four steals in the first meeting. Still, Angelo Chol has come a long way since the first meeting and you get the feeling Brendon Lavender is going to play well in his last home game.
Coaches: Sean Miller vs. Ben Howland
Howland has not been successful this season and seems to be on the hot seat starting next season. Miller has a chance to coach Arizona into the tournament and has the Wildcats going in the right direction.
Prediction: It makes a lot of sense to pick UCLA because of how Arizona matches up and the fact Arizona has struggled in Saturday games. However, this one just has a different feel to it. there are five seniors playing in their last game, McKale will be electric, and there is too much on the line.
Arizona 68, UCLA 63