Colvin is interesting because while he is likely an average player, the guard has shown flashes, as evidenced by his 18 points against Washington State and 10 against both Washington and UCLA. Still, Colvin turns the ball over way too much and has 12 turnovers combined in his last three games. He may have an impact on the game, but Turner is the better player and should be able to at least match what Colvin does. Turner came off the bench in the first meeting and had five steals, so we would look for similar pressure in this meeting as well.
Lockett is in a situation where he needs to do too much for his team to succeed and opponents recognize it. In the first meeting, Arizona did a great job of containing him and that will likely be a focal point this time around as well. Lockett has basically played the entire game in his last two outings and struggled in both against the Los Angeles schools. Fogg struggled in the first meeting, but this is his last rivalry game and we just get the feeling he is going to some out firing. Lockett certainly has the ability and potential to have a great game, but so does Fogg.
Gilling is the type of player where if he is feeling good shooting the ball, you can pretty much guarantee he is going to get his shots up. Gilling has seen his minutes increase the past two games but a good part of that is because they had to due to injuries. Gilling is more of a shooter than anything and Johnson will be tested defensively due to the height difference. However, Johnson also poses major fits for the Sun Devils due to his athleticism and scored 14 points in the first meeting. Considering he is playing in front of family and friends and the matchup issues, we can see a similar performance.
Cain fouled out in 12 minutes in the first meeting and this is a terrible matchup for him once again. Even in a zone, he simply is not quick enough laterally or strong enough to cover Hill. Hill posted 11 points and 10 rebounds in the first meeting and while Cain has potential (18 points against Cal), the reality is that he really has not been effective this season. In Cain's last six games, he has not scored above eight points and Hill should be able to remain aggressive while not having to worry too much about Cain getting hot offensively.
Bachynski seems to be getting better almost every week and definitely has the potential to hurt Arizona a bit. He scored 19 points against USC, 20 against Stanford, and a handful of other impressive performances. Bachynski has solid footwork and his size is something that could give Perry fits. However, Perry is likely to go right at him on the perimeter and pose the same problems defensively. Perry really hurt the Sun Devils offensively in the first meeting and we see little reason why that won't happen again.
Bench: In terms of potential, Carrick Felix may actually have the most as far as players that can score goes. However, you have to wonder if he will be a little rusty considering he last played a game February 18. Besides Felix, the Sun Devils will bring Chanse Creekmur and Ruslan Pateev off the bench, but it is nothing that Arizona shouldn't be able to handle. Brendon Lavender only played nine minutes in the first meeting, but that should be increased and the Wildcats should be able to match ASU's size with Angelo Chol.
Coaches: Sean Miller vs. Herb Sendek
You won't find many guys in college basketball nicer than Sendek, but being nice does not get you wins. The record speaks for itself, especially when you consider that ASU is going in the complete opposite direction of Arizona.
Prediction: It would not be a major surprise if this game started off a bit close because Arizona comes out tight knowing what it has to lose. However, talent should be able to take over and Arizona is definitely the better team here. The guess is that the Wildcats go on a large run and then coast, allowing the focus to be turned to the Pac-12 tournament.
Arizona 69, Arizona State 54