Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon State

Arizona will face Oregon State on Friday. Read on for a complete breakdown of the game, including a prediction.

PG: Jordin Mayes (6-2, 196, So.) vs. Ahmad Starks (5-9, 165, Jr.)

The stats did not show up for Mayes against UCLA, as he struggled from the field and often pushed things a bit too much. However, he did not turn the ball over and ran the offense just fine, which is really what Arizona needs him to do. Starks is an interesting player because it is all about tempo for him. Against Washington State, he hit numerous threes early and then completely disappeared. Starks was a little bit against Washington, but still shot 41 percent from the field. Arizona needs to keep a body on him and make sure he starts off slow, because he tends to struggle when that happens. Still, we need to give him the advantage here due to the fact that is scoring ability is still high.

Advantage: Oregon State

SG: Kyle Fogg (6-3, 188, Sr.) vs. Jared Cunningham (6-4, 194, Jr.)

This is a huge matchup for Arizona and one that can decide the game. Oregon State defeated Washington State with a mediocre performance from Cunningham, but he needed to step up against UW and did. The Beavers will need another strong performance here and Arizona will do whatever it takes to make that difficult. Cunningham was two assists away from a triple double against Washington and has 22 points in the first meeting between these two teams. Arizona was able to foul Cunningham out, but he still made an impact. Fogg's defense will need to be elite and there is a good chance that happens, but Cunningham has more potential as a player and gets the advantage because of it.

Advantage: Oregon State

SF: Nick Johnson (6-2, 198, Fr.) vs. Eric Moreland (6-10, 200, Fr.)

This is where defense becomes difficult for Arizona because of the size difference. The guess here is that Angelo Chol will get a solid amount of time in order to match Oregon State's size, but Johnson is going to have to guard Moreland at times. Moreland is not a huge offensive threat, but he can be dangerous on the glass. He finished with 10 rebounds against Arizona in the first meeting, but is really an inconsistent player. Moreland has a tendency to get in some foul trouble and the Wildcats would love to make that happen again. Johnson needs to step up offensively because the Wildcats are going to need to score some points in order to keep up with Oregon State.

Advantage: Even

PF: Solomon Hill (6-6, 226, Jr.) vs. Devon Collier (6-7, 206, So.)

I'm a big fan of Collier, but Hill had a look in his eye on Thursday that we have not seen all season. He knows that he needs to have impressive games if Arizona is going to advance and we don't see him disappearing on Friday. Hill finished with only two shot attempts in the first meeting and that obviously will not cut it this time around. Here is where the matchup problems come up for Oregon State and the guess here is that Collier pretty much plays the whole game and stays on Hill.

Advantage: Arizona

C: Jesse Perry (6-7, 217, Sr.) vs. Angus Brandt (6-10, 237, Jr.)

Brandt is going to get extended minutes against Arizona due to his size. He did not do much against the Wildcats in the first meeting and likely will not do a lot in this meeting as well. The issue is whether or not Perry will be bothered by his size as he was in the first meeting. However, that does not erase the fact that Perry is the better player and it is difficult not to give him the advantage here.

Advantage: Arizona

Bench: Neither team has a deep rotation and Oregon State may actually use less than Arizona. However, Joe Burton is the best player coming off the bench in this game, so the Beavers have an advantage there. In the first meeting, he only had eight points and was kept off the glass because he is somewhat of a liability on defense. The interesting aspect here is how he will bounce back from playing 33 minutes the night before.

Advantage: Oregon State

Coaches: Sean Miller vs. Craig Robinson

Oregon State tends to do well against Arizona, but Robinson is similar to Lorenzo Romar in that he does less with more. Oregon State has arguably the best player in the league and numerous other pieces that should make it a major contender. However, a loss means the Beavers will be kept out of the postseason completely.

Advantage: Arizona

Prediction: A large part of me thinks that Arizona wins this game likely by more than people think. However, Oregon State looked great against Washington and is built for tournaments because it plays a zone and a style of play that helps the Beavers. Arizona gave it all to beat UCLA and you wonder how much it has left to give. While Arizona is likely the favorite, I'm going to go with the upset here.

Oregon State 74, Arizona 73

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