Breakdown: Arizona vs. Southern

Arizona will host Southern University on Thursday night. Read on for a complete breakdown of the game, including statistics and a score prediciton.



Southern at Arizona
Dec. 19 at 7 pm
TV: Pac-12 Network
McKale Center

ARIZONA

SOUTHERN
Overall Record 11-0 (1.000) 3-7 (.300)
Location Record 7-0 (1.000) at home 1-5 (.167) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank) 76.9 (95) 59.1 (8) 73.3 (181) 71.7 (191)
Rebound Margin/G: RM(Rank) 14.2 (2) -1.4 (245)
Steals/G:
S(Rank)
5.0 (288) 5.8 (229)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
15.7 (40) 13.4 (151)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank) 49.6 (24) 44.0 (206)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank) 37.9 (67) 31.9 (228)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank) 37.5 (13) 39.1 (37)
Ranking: Coaches' Poll #1 N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#1 N/A

RPI

8 (.6756) 287 (.4192)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Jr.) vs. Trelun Banks (6-1, 170, Fr.)

Banks averages about as many turnovers as he does assists and does not make up for it with scoring ability, as he averages ten points on 37 percent shooting. He can get into the mentality that he needs to shoot more, which has not been successful for him this season. McConnell should be able to have his way on Thursday and it will be interesting to see if he becomes a little more aggressive with his shooting because of it.

Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Nick Johnson (6-3, 200, Jr.) vs. YonDarius Johnson (6-4, 190, Sr.)

Johnson is easily Southern's best player and it works out well for Arizona that Nick will be the one guarding him. Johnson averages about 14 points per game on 49 percent shooting, but does not do a ton else. Still, it is hard to imagine Southern having any type of chance in this game, or the majority of them, if Johnson struggles. Nick should be able to contain him while having a solid game on offense as well.

Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Aaron Gordon (6-9, 225, Fr.) vs. Malcolm Miller (6-6, 200, Sr.)

Miller takes ten shots per game, but only makes three of them. He is going to have his hands full on both sides of the ball with Gordon, who is bigger, stronger, more athletic, and simply better. We would be surprised if Gordon is not able to go back to his double-digit rebounding ways. There is a good chance Miller is going to get his shots off, but Gordon is obviously good enough defensively to make sure they aren't good ones.

Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-8, 230, So.) vs. Damien Goodwin (6-8, 200, Fr.)

Goodwin has not seen many players like Ashley in his college career and afterwards he will probably wish he won't see many more. Ashley is playing fantastic basketball and has the obvious skill advantage in this one. Goodwin is not the type of player to put up a lot of shots and is mostly in there for his size. He tends to struggle with guys that can match his size, which Ashley can. We're guessing Goodwin gets in some foul trouble here.

Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 235, So.) vs. Javan Mitchell (6-9, 250, Sr.)

Mitchell has been more aggressive in the last two games, taking 17 of his total 25 shot attempts. The big question here is whether or not Tarczewski will play, but either way Arizona should have the advantage. Korcheck should be able to outrebound Mitchell, who really has not been a factor there at all. It would not be a surprise to see Southern go a bit small, but that is not going to fix the size issue.

Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Senior guard Tre Lynch was actually starting until the previous game, but he is averaging 10 points on 44 percent shooting and will take the majority of his attempts from three. Beyond that, there is not much and Arizona should be able to counter with Gabe York and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. It will be interesting to see if anybody else gets some time as well, especially if Tarczewski does not play.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Roman Banks

Banks has done a nice job with Southern and had Gonzaga sweating in the tournament last season. However, Banks continues to coach at a lower level and Miller has the better track record so far. It's also difficult to prove you are a good coach when there is such a difference in talent.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
78 59
Prediction: Southern is not going to come into McKale and be intimidated, but it does not really matter. Arizona is clearly the better team and although there may have been some concern with a game during finals week, there really should not be one here. The size of Arizona is going to be too much and it is going to affect Southern right from the tip.


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