Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon

Arizona will look to bounce back against Oregon on Thursday. Read on for a complete positional breakdown, statistics, and more.



Oregon at Arizona
Feb. 6 at 7 pm
TV: ESPN
McKale Center

ARIZONA

OREGON
Overall Record 21-1 (.955) 15-6 (.714)
Location Record 14-0 (1.000) at home 3-3 (.500) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank) 73.5 (132) 56.8 (5) 84.7 (5) 75.4 (291)
Rebound Margin/G: RM(Rank) 9.5 (6) 2 (130)
Steals/G:
S(Rank)
5.7 (224) 8.4 (21)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
15.1 (43) 15.1 (43)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank) 47.3 (44) 47.2 (45)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank) 35.9 (118) 38.3 (42)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank) 37.6 (6) 44 (198)
Ranking: Coaches' Poll #3 N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#2 N/A

RPI

2 (.6875) 42 (.5952)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Jr.) vs. Dominic Artis (6-1, 186, So.)

Artis just is not playing well this year and there is no way around it. He is shooting 32 percent from the field, turning it over nearly as many times as he gets an assist, and just has not been able to get in the groove of things. McConnell is coming off a Cal game in which he failed to record an assist, but he has been consistent throughout the season. It will be interesting to see if McConnell is more aggressive offensively, but he is still the better point guard here and if Artis' slump continues, this is a big advantage for the Wildcats.

Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Nick Johnson (6-3, 200, Jr.) vs. Joseph Young (6-2, 185, Jr.)

Describing Young is simple, because he is a scorer. He may not affect the game in many other ways, but he knows how to score and does it pretty efficiently. Speaking of efficient, Johnson is coming off the worst game of his career. His offensive burden is going to increase in Ashley's absence, but his defense is still what is going to make him successful. Young is not a great defender, so we could see an aggressive Johnson offensively. He is the better player here, but he can't try too hard not only to make up for Ashley's absence, but to come off of last game.

Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 215, Fr.) vs. Damyean Dotson (6-5, 209, So.)

This is a heck of a chance for Hollis-Jefferson, who has now gone from a sixth man to a player that will get 30 minutes per game. Dotson is actually more effective when he takes fewer shots, because it means he is not forcing things. There have been some games where he has put up more shots than he really should and struggled because of it. Dotson is better than Hollis-Jefferson offensively, but he is going to have trouble with his size and strength on defense. In addition, Hollis-Jefferson should be able to give Dotson some fits.

Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Aaron Gordon (6-9, 225, Fr.) vs. Mike Moser (6-8, 211, Sr.)

Moser is the type of player that should be much better than he really is. He has never really reached his potential, despite averaging a solid 13 points and 7 rebounds per game. Moser tends to drift away from the basket, which is a bad decision because he is not a good shooter. We're guessing Gordon is going to try to do the same thing, which is to take him off the glass and make him a perimeter shooter. Offensively, this may not be a good game for Gordon to get back into a groove, as Moser is pretty decent defensively. The key here is where Gordon is going to be on offense and how Ashley's absence affects him on that side of the ball.

Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 235, So.) vs. Ben Carter (6-8, 220, So.)

Carter only averages 13 minutes or so per game and that isn't going to change on Thursday. He is basically good for one field goal and a handful of boards each game in addition to a few fouls. Tarczewski is another player with a big opportunity and we would fully expect Arizona to get the ball to him in the post as much as possible, especially early in the game. Tarczewski's real key to success is going to be on the glass and there's no reason why he shouldn't be fine there.

Bench

ADVANTAGE: Oregon
Bench: And here we are. Without Ashley, Arizona basically has no bench. Gabe York will be the main guy and now the Wildcats have to find a player in addition to Matt Korcheck, who should really only be playing a few minutes per game. Oregon likes to use its bench plenty with guard Jason Calliste being one of the main guys. He averages 12 points and is shooting 51 percent from behind the arc, so Arizona needs to account for him. Richard Amardi is a big body that will get legitimate minutes and attacks the glass well, averaging nearly five rebounds on 17 minutes per outing. He does struggle with fouls, so that is something to keep an eye on. Lastly, the Ducks will play Johnathan Loyd nearly 25 minutes per game and he has been Oregon's best pure passer this season. This is a clear advantage for the Ducks and a scary one for Arizona.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Dana Altman

Altman probably is not a bad coach, but he has handled this year's team poorly. The Ducks have talent, but Altman has not been able to get them to mesh and it is obvious by watching them. It likely has something to do with the way Altman likes to bring in transfers, but that is a different story. Miller has Arizona in position to win the Pac-12 and build on previous success, so he gets the advantage here.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
72 63
Oregon actually does not match up well with Arizona at all. The key for the Ducks will to try to make it a track meet, because it is not going to win a game in which Arizona makes it defend and run half court sets. If the Ducks are forced to do both, they are going to likely fail because they just are not very good at it. Miller is a good enough coach to have the Wildcats respond well to the loss of Ashley and Johnson is not going to have a second awful game in a row.


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