Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon

Arizona will finish up the regular season on Saturday against Oregon. Read on for a complete positional breakdown, statistics, and more.

Arizona at Oregon
Mar. 8 at 2 pm
Matthew Knight Arena


Overall Record 28-2 (.933) 21-8 (.724)
Location Record 9-2 (.818) on the road 14-1 (.933) at home
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank) 74.1 (89) 58.2 (5) 82.9 (7) 74.3 (280)
Rebound Margin/G: RM(Rank) 9.2 (3) 1.6 (142)
5.7 (224) 8.0 (23)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
15.2 (39) 14.8 (50)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank) 47 (51) 46.7 (59)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank) 35.6 (116) 38.5 (36)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank) 38.3 (8) 43.5 (167)
Ranking: Coaches' Poll #3 N/A
AP Poll
#3 N/A


1 (.6789) 32 (.5989)
Point Guard

PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Jr.) vs. Johnathan Loyd (5-8, 163, Sr.)

McConnell played one of his worst games of the season in the first one against Oregon, shooting 2-9 from the field and only finishing with three assists. However, Loyd was not any better and had more turnovers than assists. McConnell is absolutely the better player here and we feel he should be aggressive early in order to try and set the pace in what is sure to be a hostile environment. Loyd is not a great defender, so an aggressive McConnell would be beneficial for Arizona, especially if he is hitting. As long as McConnell's efficiency numbers don't change, he has the advantage here.

Shooting Guard

SG: Gabe York (6-3, 180, So.) vs. Damyean Dotson (6-5, 209, So.)

Dotson is actually pretty similar to York in that they are both shooters that are not likely to impact the game in other ways. Both have the capability of getting hot from the field, but they also are capable of being non-factors. In the first meeting, Dotson had 12 points on nine shots and York had 8 points on three shots. We're guessing that this game will produce something similar, but if either team is able to get a big advantage here, its chances of winning will increase dramatically.

Small Forward

SF: Nick Johnson (6-3, 200, Jr.) vs. Joseph Young (6-2, 185, Jr.)

If you take away a hot stretch that Young had in the first meeting, Johnson guarded him about as well as you can, as he finished with 14 points on 4-13 shooting. Johnson wound up scoring 18 points, but shoot poorly. Johnson is easily the better defender here, but Young is probably more dangerous on offense. If Johnson can make his life difficult, Arizona will be much better off. Should Young get going early, it will be a long night for Johnson and his teammates. We're going to give the advantage to Johnson because he impacts the game in more ways than Young, but he has to be careful here.

Power Forward

PF: Aaron Gordon (6-9, 225, Fr.) vs. Mike Moser (6-8, 211, Sr.)

Moser really struggles to shoot against bigger teams due in large part to the fact that he is not good at getting his own shot. In terms of rebounding, there is no denying that Moser is one of the best in the conference on the glass. Gordon should be able to take away Moser's offensive game, but he needs to do better rebounding. His two rebounds against Oregon State are unacceptable and we are guessing he realizes that. Gordon went to the line 11 times in the first meeting because nobody on Oregon could guard him. Sure, he only hit two, but he has improved since then and it shows his ability to get into the lane and on the free-throw line.


C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 235, So.) vs. Waverly Austin (6-11, 257, Sr.)

Austin came off the bench in the first meeting and did absolutely nothing. He has played better since then, which is one of the reasons why he is in the starting lineup. He actually played more minutes against Arizona State than he had in the previous three games combined, as he finished with 5 points, 5 blocks, and 10 rebounds against the Sun Devils. We would be surprised if he came close to that line on Saturday and we also have little doubt he is going to struggle mightily with Tarczewski.


Bench: Oregon is another team that probably is not as deep as it looks. The Ducks will play Jason Calliste, Richard Amardi, Ben Carter, and Dominic Artis. Carter isn't a good basketball player to put it bluntly, but the others are capable of having an impact. Calliste is dangerous because he is a good shooter and his 14 points in the first meeting came when he got hot from three, which accounted for each of his four field goals. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson is the best player coming off the bench, but beyond that the Ducks have a slight advantage.

Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Dana Altman

Miller already has the Pac-12 title wrapped up and Altman is fighting to get in the tournament. Oregon has plenty of talent, but Altman did a poor job of putting this team together and it is proof that you can't just get a bunch of players and expect them to play together. Not to mention, Altman's coaching in the last few minutes of the win over UCLA probably set the profession back 40 years.


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This game is really difficult to predict. For starters, Oregon has everything to lose and gain in this game. A win and the Ducks are in the tournament, a loss and it becomes much more difficult. Arizona is going into this game with a one seed basically wrapped up and a conference title definitely in hand. So how do the teams react? Arizona is going to have to match Oregon's energy, but the Ducks have to make sure they do not come out too tight against an Arizona team that will probably be loose. I have been leaning towards Oregon for days, but the way the Ducks defend, or don't, still bothers me.

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