Breakdown: Arizona vs. Weber State

Arizona will open the NCAA Tournament with a game against 16-seed Weber State on Friday. Read on for a complete positional breakdown, statistics, and more.



Arizona vs Weber State
Mar. 21 at 11:10 am
TV: TNT
Viejas Arena

ARIZONA

WEBER STATE
Overall Record 30-4 (.882) 19-11 (.613)
Location Record 4-1 (.800) on a neutral court

1-0 (1.000) at Viejas

0-0 (N/A) on a neutral court
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank) 73.1 (111) 58.1 (5) 73.2 (93) 66.4 (79)
Rebound Margin/G: RM(Rank) 8.4 (4) 3.4 (68)
Steals/G:
S(Rank)
5.9 (201) 4.1 (339)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
15.1 (39) 13.3 (118)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank) 46.8 (50) 48.1 (19)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank) 35.6 (111) 39.2 (19)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank) 38.1 (7) 42.4 (109)
Ranking: Coaches' Poll #5 N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#4 N/A

RPI

2 (.6664) 149 (.5069)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Jr.) vs. Jordan Richardson (6-1, 180, Sr.)

Richardson has played in more games than anybody in Big Sky history, so experience will likely not be an issue here. He is shooting 36 percent on the season and most of his shots come from behind the arc. Richardson is a decent defender, but his ability does not go much beyond that. He is not going to score a lot of points or even average a lot of assists and if he does, Arizona is in trouble. McConnell should be able to have his way on both sides of the ball and this is one of Arizona's biggest advantages.

Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Even
SG: Gabe York ( 6-3, 180, So.) vs. Jeremy Senglin (6-2, 185, Fr.)

Senglin and York are actually pretty similar in the sense that the majority of their field goal attempts come from three and there is not much of an impact elsewhere. Senglin shoots 40 percent from three, so York needs to be sure that he accounts for him at all times. Senglin is basically a momentum player, so if he does not hit his threes, there is not much going on. York should be able to stop him from getting in a groove and is the better player overall.

Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Nick Johnson (6-3, 200, Jr.) vs. Davion Berry (6-4, 185, Sr.)

Most casual fans would overlook Berry because he is on Weber State, but Arizona fans certainly should not. No matter what level Berry is playing on, he has talent. He averages nearly 19 points per game and does so with pretty good efficiency. Berry absolutely needs to have a good game in order for Weber State to win. Johnson is going to make his life miserable both offensively and defensively, so Berry is going to have his work cut out for him. Weber's recipe for an upset starts with Berry's play and Johnson will likely be up for making sure it ends there.

Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Aaron Gordon (6-9, 225, Fr.) vs. Joel Bolomboy (6-9, 225, So.)

Bolomboy is the best defender on the team and in the conference as well. He is a physical player that has no problem guarding the opposition's best post player. Gordon is still the better defender and offensively there is not much of a comparison. Bolomboy is strong on the glass, but the level of competition is different here. UCLA forced him into five turnovers early in the season and he tends to struggle with more athletic players. There's no reason why Gordon should not have a big game.

Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 235, So.) vs. Kyle Tresnak (6-10, 240, Sr.)

Tresnak is a decent player at this level, but his five rebounds per game is disappointing for a player his size. In addition, Tresnak can find himself in turnover and foul trouble, which is a bad sign against somebody like Tarczewski. As long as Tarczewski hangs on to the ball, he should be just fine. In fact, Arizona would be smart to try and get Tresnak into some foul trouble, because Weber is not built to withstand that.

Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Weber State will use Richaud Gittens as its guard off the bench and Kyndahl Hill as its forward. Gittens is not too bad, averaging seven points in a little more than 20 minutes per game. Hill is good for about 18 minutes and will likely grab a few boards. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson is better than both and Weber doesn't have anybody to match up with him. Throw in Elliott Pitts and Jordin Mayes and Arizona has a nice advantage here.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Randy Rahe

Rahe deserves credit for his success at Weber State, but it is difficult to compare two coaches on different levels and paths. Miller has done a lot more at a higher level and while we doubt this even comes down to coach, he has to have the advantage here.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
80 56
Prediction: Weber State actually is not an awful team. It has a star player that can play for a lot of teams, veteran leadership, and decent starting size. The problem is that its weaknesses play to Arizona's strengths. It is not a big team overall, not strong at rebounding, does not force turnovers, and does not block shots. Arizona is going to absolutely dominate this game inside and although Weber may hit a shot or two early, this will play out as expected.


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