Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon State

Arizona finishes its road trip with a game against Oregon State on Sunday night. Read on for statistics between the two teams, a positional breakdown, and a score prediction.


Arizona at Oregon State
Jan. 11 at 8 pm
TV: Fox Sports One
Gill Coliseum

ARIZONA

OREGON STATE
Overall Record
14-1 (.933)
10-4 (.714)
Location Record
2-1 (.666) on the road
9-0 (1.000) at home
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
76.3 (35)
60.3 (55)
66.5 (208)
56.9 (17)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
6.7 (38)
3.9 (91)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
8.4 (40)
8.3 (47)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
15.3 (54)
13.4 (134)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
50.1 (14)
43.9 (160)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
37.4 (68)
34.4 (158)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
39.4 (70)
33.7 (15)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#7
N/A
Ranking: KenPom
7 (.9357)
92 (.6863)
RPI
9 (.6491)
114 (.5321)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Gary Payton II (6-3, 185, Jr.)

Payton has been one of the biggest surprises in the conference, averaging 12 points, eight rebounds, and three assists per game. In addition he is a solid defender, getting three steals each outing. McConnell is going to have his work cut out for him and it will be interesting to see if he can match his aggressiveness from the Oregon game or if he goes back to being a pass first point guard that needs to be a little more aggressive. Either way, he is probably the better player, but this is the most important matchup of the game.
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Malcolm Duvivier (6-2, 205, So.)

This is pretty much why the Beavers have to go zone. Duvivier has no chance at all at guarding Johnson and he isn’t a good enough offensive player to give Johnson fits. Duvivier is shooting 35 percent from the field and while he has the ability to score in bunches, he is the type of player that Arizona generally does well with. If Oregon State makes the mistake of going man to man, Johnson should be attacking the whole game.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Langston Morris-Walker (6-5, 216, Jr.)

Hollis-Jefferson is one of the best defenders in the country, which isn’t a good thing for Morris-Walker. He is shooting 36 percent from the field and averages four three-point attempts per game despite only making 28 percent of them. As long as Hollis-Jefferson doesn’t let Morris-Walker get into any type of rhythm, he should be fine. However, we can’t say the same for Morris-Walker guarding Hollis-Jefferson.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Olaf Schaftenaar (6-10, 224, Jr.)

Schaftenaar is questionable with a sprained ankle that kept him out of the second half against ASU. Should he play, half of Schaftenaar’s shot attempts are going to come from behind the arc, which actually might be a positive for Ashley. He has struggled guarding physical players so far this season and Schaftenaar isn’t that. Schaftenaar might be the most dangerous player on Oregon State because of his ability to stretch the defense and make threes. Ashley is the better player, but he has to be careful here.
Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Daniel Gomis (6-10, 223, Jr.)

Gomis doesn’t score much, nor does he really rebound. His main objective is to be a big body in the paint and defend. He is averaging four points and three rebounds in about 17 minutes of game time and does not have the capability of having a breakout game. We know we sound like a broken record, but Tarczewski deserves some early touches.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Oregon State will bring forwards Victor Robbins and Jarmal Reid off the bench. Robbins is the better scorer and is not shy about shooting the ball. Arizona will have to account for him at all times because of that, but he isn’t really a dynamic player. Arizona’s bench was awful against Oregon and the hope is that it can bounce back. This is a nice opportunity for Gabe York, but he has to take advantage of it.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Wayne Tinkle

Tinkle deserves props for getting talent to Oregon State, but that talent isn’t coming for another year. This is certainly a better coached team than last season with the main issue being that you can only coach up mediocre talent so much.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
76
58
Prediction: The Wildcats are coming off an impressive win against Oregon and seem to be clicking since the break. Despite the fact that Oregon State is overmatched at every position, Corvallis is not an easy place to play. Our guess is that we see somewhat of a slow start, but that Arizona eventually becomes too much and pulls away for a relatively easy win.

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