Breakdown: Arizona vs. Stanford

Arizona will hit the road to face off against Stanford on Thursday night. Read on to find out more about the game, including statistics, a positional breakdown, and a score prediction.


Arizona at Stanford
Jan. 22 at 7 pm
TV: ESPN2
Maples Pavilion

ARIZONA

STANFORD
Overall Record
16-2 (.888)
13-4 (.765)
Location Record
2-2 (.500) on the road
9-0 (1.000) at home
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
74.3 (42)
58.8 (26)
73.1 (64)
63.6 (127)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
7.8 (17)
4.5 (61)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.4 (70)
6.3 (207)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
14.3 (83)
12.8 (164)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
48.9 (16)
43.9 (152)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
35.7 (119)
40.2 (12)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
39.5 (60)
40.7 (102)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#7
#25
Ranking:
AP Poll
#7
NR
Ranking: KenPom
5 (.94564)
32 (.8529)
RPI
8 (.6612)
24 (.6165)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: PG: .J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Chasson Randle (6-2, 195, Sr.)

A good amount of people would probably give this matchup to Randle, but we can’t do it with the way McConnell has been playing. Yes, Randle is averaging almost 20 points per game, but he is shooting 42 percent from the field and only has nine more assists than turnovers this season. Randle is going to get his shots up and it does not matter if they are good or bad. Arizona generally does well with those type of players
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Marcus Allen (6-3, 190, So.)

This is why Stanford will play zone. Allen isn’t a bad player, but he is the weak link of the starting five and has absolutely no shot at guarding Johnson. Allen averages three points and two rebounds in about 15 minutes of action and although he has been playing better as of late, we know by now what Johnson can do. It will be interesting to see what Stanford tries to throw at him.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Even
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Anthony Brown (6-6, 215, Sr.)

Brown is playing the best basketball of his career, averaging 15 points and 7 rebounds. He has also improved dramatically as a defender and is often put on the opposition’s best offensive player when Stanford decides to go man. Hollis-Jefferson is struggling with his offense a bit, but his defense is as good as it has ever been. We doubt either player gets a major advantage here and this should be a fun matchup to watch.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Even
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Rosco Allen (6-9, 220, Jr.)

Allen kind of reminds us of a poor man’s Kyle Wiltjer in that he is skilled offensively, but relatively soft on defense. Allen takes about half of his shots from behind the arc and is hitting at a decent 37 percent clip. Ashley should be able to stay in front of him and Allen isn’t physical enough to push Ashley around. We do wonder if Allen can guard Ashley, which is why we’re back to Stanford playing zone.
Center

ADVANTAGE: Even
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Stefan Nastic (6-11, 245, Sr.)

Nastic is one of the most underrated players in the conference and you might be able to extend that nationally as well. He is averaging 14 points, 7 rebounds, and two assists per game while shooting 47 percent from the field. It is possible to get Nastic in foul trouble and our guess is that Arizona will try to attack him early in order to see if it can get him on the bench. Tarczewski is scoring at a decent rate, but this is another matchup where he needs to be better on the glass.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Stanford does not have much of a bench. Michael Humphrey is the only big option and he has not done much this season. Robert Cartwright will play some point and Christian Sanders will get action, but these guys are more for rest than anything. Arizona has a nice advantage, especially if Elliott Pitts continues to play well.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Johnny Dawkins

Dawkins finally has Stanford playing up to its potential and it feels like it has been a while since we have said that. Still, nobody would make an argument that he is an above average coach and if this one does come down to late game coaching situations, Stanford is not going to be the school with the advantage.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
73
67
Prediction: Stanford is a strong team at home and it would not be a surprise if this is a tough game. I am of the belief that it is difficult to match high intensity two games in a row and that is what Arizona is going to need to do. Still, figuring the defense does not fail it, Arizona should be able to contain Stanford’s best players and the others simply are not good enough to step up.

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