Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon

Arizona will face off against Oregon on Wednesday night. Read on to find out more about the game, including statistics, a position breakdown, and a score prediction.


Oregon at Arizona
Jan. 28 at 8:00 pm
TV: Pac-12 Network
McKale Center

ARIZONA

OREGON
Overall Record
18-2 (.900)
14-6 (.700)
Location Record
11-0 (1.000) at home
0-2 (.000) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
75 (36)
59.5 (33)
77.9 (19)
70.4 (280)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
7.1 (19)
4.4 (62)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.3 (69)
5.8 (236)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
13.8 (102)
16.1 (20)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
49.2 (12)
45.6 (79)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
36 (105)
35.7 (113)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
40.2 (87)
40.0 (74)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking: KenPom
4 (.9557)
60 (.7570)
RPI
5 (.6689)
77 (.7338)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Ahmaad Rorie (6-1, 175, Fr.)

Rorie is a decent player that averages six points per game and has a 2:1 assist to turnover ratio. He isn’t close to being as good as McConnell on either side of the ball and he will have a tough task ahead of him if McConnell is as aggressive as he was in the first meeting. Arizona has numerous advantages on Wednesday, but this might be the biggest.
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Dillon Brooks (6-6, 205, Fr.)

Brooks actually did not start last game against UCLA, but that could have been more because of matchups. In the first meeting between these two teams, Brooks had five turnovers and could not stay in front of his man. He has the potential to get going from the field, but with the way Johnson has been playing we’re not sure we would give any player in the country an advantage over him.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Even
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Joseph Young (6-2, 185, Sr.)

We said this before the first meeting, but if Young does not play well, Oregon has no chance of winning. He shot 4-15 earlier in the season and the Ducks were predictably blown out. Hollis-Jefferson will have the task of taking Young out of the game again and there is little reason to believe he won’t have pretty good success. Young is the better offensive player for sure, but there are two parts to every game.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Jordan Bell (6-9, 190, Fr.)

Bell is extremely athletic and can block shots with the best of them. He is not a scorer by any means, but he will play hard and make an impact in other areas. Ashley should be able to handle him defensively and is the better player offensively. As long as he minimizes Bell’s overall impact, Ashley will be just fine.
Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Elgin Cook (6-6, 206, Jr.)

We assume that Tarczewski is going to guard the smaller Cook because he is less of an athlete than Bell. This is an interesting scenario because while you would assume Tarczewski would have difficulty with a smaller player, it was Cook who fouled out in just 11 minutes in the first meeting. Arizona does not really have anybody to guard Tarczewski and the Wildcats need to take advantage.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench:It would not be a surprise to see Michael Chandler play more than usual because of his size. Casey Benson will come off the bench and play hard, but he isn’t going to take the game over. Jalil Abdul-Bassit is the next guy off the bench and his overall impact is likely to be minimal. Dusan Ristic would be Oregon’s best bench option and any of the others Arizona brings in are better than what Oregon has.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Dana Altman

We suppose Altman deserves credit for not totally losing this team after the offseason it had. However, he is still the guy in charge and this is not a tournament team. Meanwhile, Miller and Arizona continue to move along.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
79
64
Prediction: This has the feeling of a blowout mostly because Oregon just doesn’t match up with Arizona. The aggressive zone is unlikely to work on the road and the Ducks are not good enough to play man to man. We assume Arizona will control the glass and hold a decent lead before really pulling away midway through the second half.

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