Breakdown: Arizona vs. Oregon State

Arizona will be out for revenge on Friday night when the Wildcats host the Oregon State Beavers. Read on to find out more about the game, including statistics, a positional breakdown, and score prediction.


Oregon State at Arizona
Jan. 30 at 8 pm
TV: Pac-12 Network
McKale Center

ARIZONA

Oregon STATE
Overall Record
19-2 (.905)
14-6 (.700)
Location Record
12-0 (1.000) at home
2-4 (.333) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
75 (36)
59.5 (33)
63.7 (265)
56.9 (12)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
7.1 (19)
2.7 (110)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.3 (69)
7.6 (58)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
13.8 (102)
12.5 (186)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
49.2 (12)
44.2 (135)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
36 (105)
34.5 (159)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
40.2 (87)
36.6 (7)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking: KenPom
4 (.9584O)
76 (.7377)
RPI
5 (.6689)
81 (.5560)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Gary Payton II (6-3, 185, Jr.)

This Oregon State team is only going to go as far as Payton II can take it. He has played great and is one of the better players in the conference. In the first meeting, McConnell played him evenly and kept Arizona in the game at times. We think with the way McConnell has been aggressive since that game, he is the better player, but the reality is that neither guy has a major advantage over the other.

Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Malcolm Duvivier (6-2, 205, So.)

There’s no way around the fact that Johnson was terrible in the first meeting. We would be shocked if it happened again. The freshman has some a long way since that game and is a nightmare for Oregon State, especially considering it can no longer bring Victor Robbins off the bench. Duvivier is not a very good player and although he stepped up for the Beavers in the first game, Arizona should be just fine.

Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Langston Morris-Walker (6-5, 216, Jr.)

Morris-Walker was probably the reason that Oregon State won the first meeting, as he had 12 points and 8 rebounds. This goes back to Robbins not being in and Arizona now having the ability to keep Hollis-Jefferson on Walker, which will basically take him out of the game. It’s hard to find many better defenders than Hollis-Jefferson and he should have a nice stage to show that on Friday.

Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Olaf Schaftenaar (6-10, 224, Jr.)

Arizona pretty much knows what it is going to get with Shaftenaar. He is going to shoot threes and not really impact the game in other areas. In a way, that makes him more dangerous because defenders are tempted to leave him due to the fact that he does not rebound. Ashley did not play well at all in the first game and, like others, it served as a wakeup call. He is easily the better player, but he needs to show it.

Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Daniel Gomis (6-10, 223, Jr.)

The meeting earlier this season was a nightmare for Tarczewski. It attacked him on the perimeter and he only played 23 minutes while failing to grab a rebound. Gomes only had six points and three rebounds, but he still outplayed Tarczewski. There’s no excuse this time: Arizona’s center has to be better on the glass. Our guess is that he will be.

Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Without Victor Robbins, the Beavers don’t have much of a bench. Jarmal Reid is the main option and he is decent, but shouldn’t be too dangerous. Arizona now has a major advantage in this area, especially with Dusan Ristic really coming into his own.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Wayne Tinkle

Unless Oregon State collapses, which is possible, Tinkle is your front runner for Coach of the Year in the conference. What he has been able to do with this team is remarkable and he deserves plenty of credit. Still, Arizona is the best team in the Pac-12 and Miller has been doing it at a higher level for longer.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
73
50
Prediction: Look, Oregon State did not match up well with Arizona when it won and it doesn’t now. If Arizona is able to play its game, it should win going away. Don’t think for a second that the team doesn’t know and take into consideration that this is the only Pac-12 blemish. With the way the offense is rolling and Arizona is defending, we think the Wildcats send a bit of a message on Friday.

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