Breakdown: Arizona vs. USC

Arizona will host USC on Thursday night. Read on to find out more about the game including stats between the teams, a positional breakdown and score prediction.


USC at Arizona
Feb. 19 at 7 pm
TV: Pac-12 Network
McKale Center

ARIZONA

USC
Overall Record
22-3 (.880)
10-15 (.400)
Location Record
13-0 (1.000) at home
2-6 (.250) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
75.9 (24)
59.3 (22)
67.2 (180)
70 (270)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
7.9 (14)
-0.8 (225)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.4 (62)
6.6 (139)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
13.8 (92)
12.5 (185)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
49.7 (7)
41.9 (253)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
35.7 (112)
31.4 (276)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
40.1 (68)
42.1 (140)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#7
NR
Ranking:
AP Poll
#7
NR
Ranking: KenPom
3 (.9594)
151 (.5297)
RPI
7 (.6549)
169 (.5006)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Julian Jacobs (6-4, 180, So.)

Jacobs has to play the point because of the injury to Jordan McLaughlin and it is not the ideal situation. He turned the ball over eight times against Oregon State and is going to struggle against Arizona’s defense. The size advantage is nice for USC, but it would mean more if Jacobs is a true point guard. McConnell is certainly the better player here and should be able to put together another nice game..
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Elijah Stewart (605, 180, Fr.)

Stewart is good enough to hurt Arizona, but he might not be consistent enough. He scored 19 points against Oregon State and his success this season has a lot to do with whether or not the three is falling for him. If he hits a few early, there is a good chance that Stewart is going to get going. We find it difficult to believe that Johnson is going to have two bad games in a row and considering his history with USC, we think he puts together one of the better games.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Katin Reinhardt (6-6, 205, So.)

Reinhardt may not start, but he is getting starter minutes. Hollis-Jefferson makes sense here because the last thing Arizona wants is for Reinhardt to get hot from behind the arc. Like Stewart, Reinhardt is not going to be very effective if his long-range jumpers are not falling. That’s a scary thought for the Trojans considering who is going to be guarding him.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Darion Clark (6-7, 220, So.)

We aren’t a fan of Clark’s at all. Sure, he grabs six rebounds in 23 minutes, but he can’t defend and struggles with fouls because of it. Also, Clark has a tendency to try to handle the ball too much and when he does, there is a good chance he is going to turn the ball over in bunches. It makes sense to give the ball to Ashley as much as possible here because he is the considerably better player.
Center

ADVANTAGE: Even
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Nikola Jovanovic (6-11, 230, So.)

Jovanovic has been struggling as of late, but we still think he is currently the best player on the Trojans. He averages 12 and 7, though he has not reached his scoring average since McLaughlin went out. Much of that has to do with the fact that he is better when being able to score off an interior pass as opposed to backing his man up in the post. Tarczewski should be able to guard him, though rebounding may wind up being an issue.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: USC will bring four players off the bench, but that isn’t necessarily a good thing. Malik Marquetti is more of an intangible player, but won’t have much of an impact. Malik Martin will provide some size and fouls. Really, the Trojans don’t have any depth and Arizona is expected to be completely healthy.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Andy Enfield

Enfield is on the hot seat, but likely deserves at least another year. He is recruiting pretty well and his team is very young. This game is not going to be decided by coaching, but if it was, Arizona would rightfully feel just fine.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
81
51
Prediction: It’s difficult to see where USC’s points are going to come from. Reinhardt is not good enough to score consistently on Hollis-Jefferson and the other players just aren’t good enough in general. Arizona isn’t going to lose this game at home and if it did, it would be one of the biggest Pac-12 upsets in recent memory.

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