Breakdown: Arizona vs. Stanford

Arizona will host Stanford on senior day in McKale Center on Saturday. Read on to find out more about the game, including stats, a positional breakdown, and more.


Stanford at Arizona
Mar. 7 at 2 pm
TV: CBS
McKale Center

ARIZONA

STANFORD
Overall Record
27-3 (.900)
18-11 (.621)
Location Record
16-0 (1.000) at home
4-7 (.364) on the road
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
75.4 (26)
58.5 (17)
73 (47)
66.3 (164)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
8.7 (5)
4.9 (37)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.1 (72)
5.6 (255)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
13.6 (102)
12.4 (193)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
48.6 (10)
43.7 (135)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
35.1 (135)
38.7 (35)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
39.3 (31)
42.1 (131)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#6
N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#5
N/A
Ranking: KenPom
2 (.9660)
42 (.8167)
RPI
7 (.6548)
65 (.5637)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Chasson Randle (6-2, 195, Sr.)

By now you probably know what we think of Randle. He’s not a point guard and is going to get his shots up whether they are good or not. McConnell and Hollis-Jefferson will share time on him and should be able to at least contain Randle. In the first game, Randle got 10 of his 26 points at the line and Arizona held him to 7-18 shooting. Expect less free-throws, but around the same shooting percentage.
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Marcus Allen (6-3, 190, So.)

Allen had eight points and did not miss a shot in the first meeting, but this matchup is a nightmare for Stanford. The Cardinal simply don’t have the bodies to guard Arizona man to man and the zone isn’t much better. Johnson completely dominated Stanford earlier in the season and there isn’t much reason to think it won’t happen again.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Anthony Brown (6-6, 215, Sr.)

Brown is the best player on Stanford and easily its best defender as well. He had 18 points and 9 boards in the meeting earlier this season and he is generally efficient. The issue he often finds is that Randle is not getting him the ball enough. The only chance Stanford probably has is if Brown plays well and it’s Hollis-Jefferson’s job to make sure that does not happen. Hollis-Jefferson is the better player because of just how good on defense he is, but this is a closer matchup than some may expect.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Rosco Allen (6-9, 220, Jr.)

Michael Humphrey was finally starting to find his groove before spraining his ankle and missing the ASU game. As of now he is questionable and that is a relatively big loss when you consider that Allen’s minutes have been decreasing. Allen has become merely a jump shooter and his lateral speed is lacking, thus he can’t guard Ashley. In the first meeting, Ashley finished with 17 points in 16 minutes and it’s not like Allen’s going to be able to stop him now.
Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Stefan Nastic (6-11, 245, Sr.)

These two players generally play pretty evenly with both struggling with fouls when facing each other. Arizona does a nice job of attacking Nastic and getting him off the court because it knows just how important he is to Stanford’s rebounding efforts. You can expect the Wildcats to do the same and considering the success before, it will likely happen again.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Reid Travis did not play in the first meeting and he is going to be a nice player eventually. He is not a major scoring threat, but Reid might be the best rebounder Stanford has and he is going to play considerable minutes at the four. Beyond that, Stanford really has nothing to write about.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Johnny Dawkins

I was going to write something creative, but I have nothing. The sign of a complacent program is having Johnny Dawkins as your coach.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
83
69
Prediction: Sean Miller said that this was a statement week and that will continue against Stanford. We already know Dawkins isn’t going to out-coach Miller to victory and now the Cardinal may have decreased depth if Humphrey is out. This is senior day against an overmatched team and it would be a shock if this game was close.

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