Breakdown: Arizona vs. UCLA

Arizona will meet up with UCLA in the semifinals of the PAC-12 tournament on Friday. Read on to find out more about the game, including statistics, a positional breakdown and more


UCLA vs. Arizona
Mar 16 at 6 pm
TV: Pac-12 Network
MGM Grand

ARIZONA

UCLA
Overall Record
28-3 (.903)
20-12 (.625)
Location Record
4-0 (1.000) on neutral court
2-3 (.400) on neutral court
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
76.6 (20)
58.9 (17)
71.5 (77)
67.9 (218)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
8.7 (3)
4.4 (50)
Steals/G:
S (Rank)
7.2 (67)
6.7 (109)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
14.1 (69)
13.9 (86)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
49.1 (5)
43.5 (178)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
35.6 (111)
35.4 (121)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
39.2 (28)
41.7 (115)
Ranking:
Coaches' Poll
#5
N/A
Ranking:
AP Poll
#6
N/A
RPI
7 (.6543)
50 (.5716)
Point Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Bryce Alford (6-3, 180, So.)

Alford is what he is. Not matter what, he is going to get his shots up. When you have a player like that, he can be dangerous. Alford played well in the first meeting, though he disappeared near the end of the game. McConnell is certainly the better point guard, but it still comes down to whether or not the green light is in full effect and going in.
Shooting Guard

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Isaac Hamilton (6-5, 185, So.)

Look, if Isaac Hamilton drops 36 points again, Arizona isn’t winning this game. However, it isn’t happening again. There is probably a better chance that Hamilton is going to come into this game and shoot more because of Thursday’s effort. Johnson did well on him in the first meeting and there’s no way Hamilton can stay with him. This matchup is the main reason why UCLA has absolutely no chance but to play zone.
Small Forward

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Norman Powell (6-4, 215, Sr.)

We’re big fans of Norman Powell and UCLA’s chances are only as good as his play. He is one of the more underrated defenders in the conference and may have to put the Bruins on his back. Hollis-Jefferson played with insane energy on Thursday and when he is diving on the floor and dunking in transition, there aren’t many players that are better. If Hollis-Jefferson can contain Powell offensively, the Bruins are likely in for a long night.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Even
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Kevon Looney (6-9, 220, Fr.)

We won’t know about Looney until game time, but even if he plays we have doubts about just how good he can be. Looney is better than Ashley, but it is not a wide margin. The Bruins are significantly weaker without Looney and the rebounding and interior presence will suffer dramatically. We’re going to make this even because Looney has not been ruled out, but if he is, it’s a huge advantage for Arizona
Center

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Tony Parker (6-9, 260, Jr.)

If Looney is out, there is a lot of pressure on Parker. Heck, even if he isn’t, you could probably say that. Parker played poorly in the last meeting and UCLA got killed on the glass because of it. If he plays well, the Bruins are a much more dangerous team and he is a legitimately good player. Tarczewski did not play well against Cal, but that isn’t common as of late. We expect Arizona to go to Tarczewski early in order to get Parker on the bench.
Bench

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Bench: Gabe York might be better than any player the Bruins can offer off the bench and it’s get ugly if Looney is out. Thomas Welsh isn’t bad, but he is not better than Dusan Ristic right now. Expect Arizona to send waves at UCLA.
Coaching

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Steve Alford

We don’t think Alford is as bad as others do, but this should be a tournament team. To his credit, he has the Bruins playing very well right now and it would be a surprise if UCLA doesn’t come out strong. All that being said, Miller has proven more and is simply the better coach.

Outcome

ADVANTAGE: Arizona
78
69
Prediction: A lot of this game is based on whether or not Looney plays, but Arizona should still come out the winner. The Wildcats completely dominated the glass in the first matchup and if there isn’t a horrible offensive lapse, the game isn’t close. UCLA defending that well would be somewhat of a surprise, though we think the Bruins come out strong. In the end, Arizona just has too much.

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