Breakdown: Arizona vs. Wisconsin

Arizona will get a rematch of last season's Elite Eight against Wisconsin on Saturday. Read on for statistics between the teams, a complete positional breakdown, and a score prediction.

Wisconsin vs. Arizona
Mar 28 at 3:09 pm
Staples Center


Big Ten
Head Coach (Record w/ school)
Sean Miller (163-51)
Bo Ryan (355-124)
Overall Record
34-3 (.918)
34-3 (.918)
Location Record
9-0 (1.000) on neutral court
9-0 (1.000) on neutral court
Scoring/G: PF&PA(Rank)
76.4 (20)
58.6 (15)
72.5 (53)
57.2 (10)
Scoring Margin (Rank)
17.8 (3)
15.2 (6)
Blocks/G (Rank)
3.6 (152)
3.3 (185)
Rebound Margin/G: RM (Rank)
8.8 (2)
5.9 (24)
S (Rank)
7.2 (67)
4.5 (329)
Assists/G: A(Rank)
14.2 (67)
12.7 (162)
Field-Goal Percentage: FG%(Rank)
48.9 (6)
48 (19)
Three-Point Field-Goal Percentage: 3FG%(Rank)
36 (97)
35.7 (111)
Field-Goal Percentage Against: FG%(Rank)
39.2 (26)
42.3 (121)
Coaches' Poll
AP Poll
6 (.6563)
2 (.66630)
2 (.9693)
3 (.9582)
Adjusted Offensive Efficiency (Rank)
116 (11)
125.8 (1)
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency (Rank)
86.4 (3)
95.8 (50)
Leading Scorer (Avg.)
Fr. F - Stanley Johnson (14.1)
Sr. F - Frank Kaminsky (18.4)
Leading Rebounder (Avg.)
So. F - Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6.8)
Sr. F - Frank Kaminsky (8)
Assists Leader (Avg.)
Sr. G - T.J. McConnell (6.4)
Sr. G - Traevon Jackson (9.1)
Point Guard

PG: T.J. McConnell (6-1, 195, Sr.) vs. Bronson Koenig (6-3, 190, So.)

Koenig is a good shooter, hitting 40 percent of his four three-point attempts per game. He’s bigger than McConnell, but doesn’t play the style of the ball where it will really come into play much. Defensively, Koenig is slow. He’s probably Wisconsin’s worst defender and McConnell would be smart to take advantage of his quickness. McConnell can’t have a first half like he did against Xavier, as he will need the full effort for the Wildcats to win.
Shooting Guard

SG: Stanley Johnson (6-7, 245, Fr.) vs. Josh Gasser (6-4, 200, Jr.)

Gasser does not turn the ball over at all. He plays 32 minutes per game and averages less than one turnover per outing. He is also a good defender, though this matchup is a nightmare for him because of Johnson’s athleticism. As long as Johnson is focused defensively, he is going to have the advantage here. Against Xavier, he was aggressive early and kind of disappeared a bit. Against Wisconsin, an aggressive 35 minutes could be the difference.
Small Forward

SF: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (6-7, 220, So.) vs. Sam Dekker (6-9, 220, Jr.)

If Dekker somehow plays like he did against North Carolina, Arizona isn’t winning this game. That was probably the best game of his career and he did it when the Badgers needed him the most. Hollis-Jefferson’s knee might be a bit of a concern, but he still looked like the same defender against Xavier. Arizona doesn’t need Holliis-Jefferson’s offense to win, but it sure as heck needs his defense.
Power Forward

ADVANTAGE: Wisconsin
PF: Brandon Ashley (6-9, 230, Jr.) vs. Nigel Hayes (6-7, 250, Jr.)

Hayes isn’t 250 pounds despite being listed there, but he is still obviously a good player. This is interesting because Hayes struggles with length and Ashley struggles with players that can take him off the dribble. There may not be a more important matchup in the game than this one. Ashley has to show up, which he hasn’t done the last two games. He may also be asked to guard Kaminsky, but either way his role is going to be huge.

ADVANTAGE: Wisconsin
C: Kaleb Tarczewski (7-0, 245, Jr.) vs. Frank Kaminsky (7-0, 234, Sr.)

Kaminsky is going to get his points and there isn’t too much Arizona can do about it. Even if it puts Ashley on him, Kaminsky will still be able to score. The key here is the efficiency he does it at and what his teammates do. Also, Tarczewski is stronger than Kaminsky and it would be nice to see him take advantage of that on offense.

Bench: Traveon Jackson played a little against North Carolina, but he isn’t the same player he was before the injury. Zak Showalter scored six points in eight minutes against UNC and was one of the difference makers. The best player off Wisconsin’s bench is Duje Dukan, who is 6-9 and can shoot the rock. Still, the X-factor here is Gabe York. He is going to have his opportunities and a few threes could go a long way.

Coaching: Sean Miller vs. Bo Ryan

This game isn’t coming down to coaching. Both coaches and teams do what they do and just want to do it better. You will see man to man, two teams that ideally won’t turn it over, and philosophies that won’t change.


Prediction: This is a tough one. One on hand, you have two teams that pose matchup problems for the other. Who guards Kaminsky for Arizona? Who guards Stanley or Rondae for Wisconsin? The Wildcats have yet to play really well this tournament, but you can say the same for Wisconsin. This won’t be an easy game in the slightest and the stress level will be at an all time high. The difference is that Arizona has been hearing for a year about how Wisconsin beat it. That means something or at least it feels like it should.

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