Saturday the Red Wolves played their way out of an unshared Sun Belt title and likely cost themselves a trip to New Orleans.
With the Cajuns and South Alabama having a game yet to play, this is what we know so far.
No matter what happens we know with certainty at this point that three teams with seven losses are going to bowls. Welcome to post-season Hawaii (6-7), North Texas (5-7) and Mississippi State (5-7). Also in bowls will be 6 win Army who had two FCS opponents.
If one of USA and ULL loses this week, Texas is in line at 5-7 and may decline because of the coaching change. Following Texas is Northern Illinois. The Huskies are in if both USA and ULL lose or one loses and Texas declines. If both USA and ULL lose and Texas declines, next up is ULM.
If the Cajuns win and USA loses:
NOLA: ULL, Mobile: Troy, Montgomery: AState , Orlando: App, Tucson: Idaho
If the Cajuns lose and USA wins:
NOLA: Troy, Mobile: App, Montgomery: AState/USA, Orlando: AState/USA, Tucson: Idaho
If the Cajuns lose and USA loses:
NOLA: Troy, Mobile: App, Montgomery: AState, Orlando: Idaho unless an acceptable replacement sends Idaho to Tucson
If the Cajuns win and USA wins:
NOLA: ULL, Mobile: App, Montgomery: AState/USA, Orlando: App, Tucson: Idaho, At-large replacement elsewhere: AState/USA