Post of the Day: MrBsWax

A look at history suggests that Saturday's game between Arkansas and Texas will be close. Here are some thoughts as expressed on our premium message board from poster MrBsWax.

The Razorbacks have not been blown out very many times in the HDN era, so the odds are in favor of a very close game with Texas this weekend, despite a decided advantage in experience by the Longhorns.

In 76 games under Nutt, the Hogs have only been dominated by an opponent 5 times, and only once at home:

1999 @LSU 35-10 (letdown after upset win over Vols)

2000 UGA 38-7 (first game after losing Cobbs for season)

2000 @UTK 63-20 (it's a bad year when you have to draft a QB from the intramural fields)

2002 @UGA 30-3 (SEC title game ... home game for GA ... Hogs just happy to be there)

2003 @LSU 55-24 (national champs had the most talent in Tiger history)

With a senior star QB and the home field advantage, and a talent gap that is not as significant as it has been in years past, Arkansas has a legitimate shot to upset Texas.

Add to that the "pressure factor" ... Texas knows the only way to get to its first ever BCS game is to limit its losses to one, which the Sooners oblige them with annually. Another loss to the Hogs could be the beginning of the end for Mack Brown.

On the other hand, the young Razorbacks should be able to let it all hang out with ... in reality ... nothing the lose. Arkansas is expected to lose this game ... its importance is, for the most part, as a good tune-up for SEC play and a truer picture of where this team is with all its youth and inexperience.

A Hog victory would be icing on the cake (OK, the ice cream, too!).

I think the final score will be something like 28-24 with both teams having a shot at coming out on top. Turnovers and special teams play will be the determining factor in which team leaves the field happy.

-MrBsWax, HawgsIllustrated.com premium poster

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