Key Matchups: Army at Western Kentucky

The tenth game of the year matches the Army Black Knights (Sagarin 159, 3-6) and the Conference USA East Western Kentucky University Hilltoppers (Sagarin 108, 4-5.) Western Kentucky leads the series 1-0 after a very good game at West Point last year, when the Hilltoppers prevailed 21-17.

Background The tenth game of the year matches the Army Black Knights (Sagarin 159, 3-6) and the Conference USA East Western Kentucky University Hilltoppers (Sagarin 108, 4-5.) Western Kentucky leads the series 1-0 after a very good game at West Point last year, when the Hilltoppers prevailed 21-17. This is a very interesting matchup in style and if it is anything like last year’s game, it should be close. Western Kentucky a win over Army to retain any hopes of bowl eligibility. Army looks to keep their chances at a .500 season alive and build on some momentum from their surprisingly good performance at Yankee Stadium.

Last Week In Bowling Green, KY, Senior Quarterback Brandon Doughty completed 23 of 34 passes for 324 yards and three touchdowns, including a 10-yard pass to Leon Allen with 7:41 left, to beat the UTEP Miners 35-27. Doughty found seven different receivers. Senior Joel German had the biggest day with three receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown. Leon Allen caught eight passes out of the backfield for 88 yards and a touchdown and he also rushed 14 times for 48 yards and another touchdown. The Hilltopper offense gained 359 yards against a pretty stout Miner defense.

Western Kentucky was greatly assisted in the game by a 90 yard pick six by junior defensive back Wonderful Terry, with 12:40 left in the game that gave them the lead and significant momentum. A UTEP score would have made a two score differential.

Western Kentucky gave up 394 total yards on the day, 236 rushing. Five Miners carried the ball for a total of 46 times, which was an average of 5.1 yards per carry.

At Yankee Stadium, the Cadets played their best game of the year and beat the UCONN Huskies 35-21. Senior defensive back Chris Carnegie played a huge role as he returned his second interception 99 yards for a touchdown to seal the victory on what would have been a game tying drive for UCONN. It was good to see Carnegie have such a great game as he had been having a tough season coming into the game.

The Black Knight Offense had a decent day. Senior quarterback Angel Santiago was 2 of 3 passing for 38 yards and gained 97 yards and two touchdowns on 25 carries. The Black Knights rushed for 327 yards, and seven players had more than 20 yards. Sophomore running back Joe Walker rushed for 31 yards and two touchdowns on five carries and he had both receptions for 38 yards. What was different offensively from the past three games was that the offensive line was able to keep Husky defenders from penetrating the backfield before the pitch. This allowed Army to hold the ball for 34 minutes and score touchdowns on four of seven drives.

This game was won by the Army defense. They allowed 353 total yards - 190 passing and 163 rushing. UCONN scored on two of seven drives. However it was the two Carnegie interceptions leading to 14 points that was the difference in the game. Sophomore Linebacker Jeremy Timpf made eight tackles, sophomore defensive back Josh Jenkins made seven and freshman linebacker Scott Washle had six. It bodes well that the defense’s best game of the year involved so much youth.

Who is favored? Western Kentucky is favored by 10 points.

What to look for? Look for a ton of scoring.



Western Kentucky averages 504 yards and 40.4 points a game. The Hilltoppers gained 551 yards against Navy earlier in the year. Army has had quite the renaissance on defense the past two weeks, but we doubt that they will be up to the task of stopping an offense that averages 371 yards passing per game.

The Hilltoppers are not good defensively against the run. Their opponents average 229 yards rushing per game. Navy rushed for 412 yards in their loss to Western Kentucky. Army should be able to move the ball with consistency.

Army could use some bad weather, but it looks to be a cool, cloudy day, with no precipitation. For Army to stay in this game, they will need to score on nearly every possession. Defensively, they will have to come up with an occasional stop and a couple of turnovers. We are urging DC Jay Bateman to send blitz packages of every sort to keep Doughty off balance. If Army only rushes four, Doughty could pass for more than 500 yards.

Too many things have to go right for Army to win this game, and keep in mind – the last time Army won a regular season game in an opponent’s home stadium was on November 13, 2010 at Kent State. Unfortunately, we don’t see that drought coming to an end this weekend.

Final Score – Western Kentucky 54 – Army 42 (predictions in 2014, 3-6)

Game will be shown on CBS @ 3:00 PM EST.

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