ITAT Picks The SEC: Week 5

Inside The Auburn Tigers picks the games in the Southeastern Conference for week five.

Editor's Note: The winner of our weekly Inside the Auburn Tigers prediction contest will receive an invitation to join staff members to give their takes in the SEC picks column. Last week's winner, OkAUBURNTiger, is our guest.

Here is the link for this week's picks contest:

SEC Prediction Contest

Ole Miss (2-2, 0-1) at Florida (3-0, 1-0), 11:30 a.m. CDT, Raycom
Jason's Take: The Rebels are coming off a self destruction at home against the Vanderbilt Commodores but it won't take that to lose in The Swamp. Florida is too good and this one won't be close. Florida 34, Ole Miss 13

Mark's Take: Florida vs. Ole Miss has been a rather infrequently played game over the history of SEC football. Ole Miss holds an 11-10-1 edge. Look for the Gators to pull even on Saturday in Gainesville on the strength of a speedy offense and a defense that is showing plenty of teeth this year. Florida 31, Ole Miss 14

Stephen's Take: Many people predicted Ole Miss to contend for a bowl game this season. That doesn't look to be happening as the Rebels lost close ones to Wake Forest and Vanderbilt. Combined with USC's loss and Georgia playing Alabama, the Gators have a chance to move up into the top two in the polls. What will Meyer find to cry about this week? Florida 33, Ole Miss 13

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: Nutt has the Rebels playing better this year and they have played the Gators fairly well over the last few years but Tebow and Whiny Meyer should send the Rebs back to the Grove with another loss. Gators 24 – Rebels 10.


Arkansas (2-1, 0-1) at Texas (3-0), 2:30 p.m. CDT, ABC
Jason's Take: Arkansas was horrible in a loss at home to Alabama last week as the defense couldn't stop anyone and Casey Dick completed two perfect TD tosses to Crimson Tide db's. If that happens this week it will get really ugly. My guess is the Hogs play better but not good enough. Texas 30, Arkansas 17

Mark's Take: This might not be a great Texas team, but that won't matter on Saturday in a renewal of the old rivalry from the long-gone Southwest Conference. The Razorbacks' chances of winning should be long-gone by halftime as the Longhorns stampede to victory. Texas 41, Arkansas 14

Stephen's Take: I don't know much about Texas, but I've seen enough of Arkansas to know they're not going to win this game. Texas 38, Arkansas 17

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: The Hawgs are awful, how soon before Pigtrino bolts from Hawgland? The Texas fans like the aggressiveness Muschamp has brought to the defense and Colt McCoy is playing well. Could the ‘Horns be looking ahead to Boulder next week? No way. ‘Horns 41 – Hawgs 17.


Western Kentucky (2-2) at Kentucky (3-0), 6 p.m. CDT, PPV
Jason's Take: The Hilltoppers will have plenty to play for in this in-state battle but in the end it will be all Wildcats. Kentucky 42, WKU 14

Mark's Take: This might be a good basketball matchup, but the Hilltoppers will be overmatched at Commonwealth Stadium on Saturday night. The first-ever football game between Western Kentucky and the Wildcats will be one Coach David Elson's team won't enjoy as UK improves to 4-0. Kentucky 38, Western Kentucky 10

Stephen's Take: Who would have thought that Kentucky and Vanderbilt would be undefeated heading into October? Kentucky 35, Western Kentucky 13

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: This should be a tune up for the Cats before next weeks game against the Tide. Kentucky 38 – WKU 10


UAB (1-3) at South Carolina (2-2), 6 p.m. CDT, PPV
Jason's Take: Steve Spurrier is looking for a quarterback to step up for the Gamecocks and in this one he may plenty of players do just that against the woefully bad Blazers. South Carolina 30, UAB 13

Mark's Take--South Carolina won the only previous matchup 42-10 in 2003 and should win again. Neither team is playing well right now. Steve Spurrier will try a new quarterback, Stephen Garcia, to spark his struggling offense. Beating UAB shouldn't be an issue no matter who is throwing the pigskin around for the Ol' Ball Coach. South Carolina 27, UAB 3

Stephen's Take: The UAB defense serves as a confidence boost for Gamecock quarterbacks before the Gamecocks get into the heart of their schedule. South Carolina 31, UAB 17

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: UAB is not very good at anything and South Carolina is just decent at everything. USC 27 – UAB 6.


Mississippi State (1-3, 0-1) at LSU (3-0, 1-0), 6:30 p.m. CDT, ESPN2
Jason's Take: Coming off a big win on the road at Auburn, LSU is riding high into a matchup against the hapless Bulldogs. This may be the most lopsided conference game of the season. LSU 38, MSU 6

Mark's Take: The Bayou Bengals have dominated this series over the years, including this decade, and nothing we have seen this season gives us a reason to believe that will change. Look for a ninth straight win for the boys from Baton Rouge over the Bulldogs who are 112th nationally in scoring at 14.2 points per game. LSU 31, Mississippi State 7

Stephen's Take: The Bulldogs are averaging 7.7 points per game against Division I opponents. That's not a good stat to carry into Tiger Stadium. LSU 31, Mississippi State 3

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: The Dawgs have gotten whipped bad by the Tigers the last several years and that should not change this weekend. LSU 33 – State 9.


Alabama (4-0, 1-0) at Georgia (4-0, 1-0), 6:45 p.m. CDT, ESPN
Jason's Take: The game of the day in the SEC is in Athens as Alabama comes into the contest on a roll. Georgia is the better team and is playing at home in another blackout game but Alabama won't make it easy. Georgia 27, Alabama 23

Mark's Take: In the five previous matchups when both teams have been nationally ranked, Georgia has beaten Bama. The Tide is off to a stronger than expected start, but there is no reason to expect that trend to change. Georgia 27, Alabama 17

Stephen's Take: The Bulldogs have much more firepower, but the Crimson Tide are playing sound, mistake-free football. This one comes down to a field goal. Georgia 27, Alabama 24

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: Bama looks pretty good against poor coached and less talented teams but they have a big step up this week. Moreno, Stafford, and the Dawgs drop a load on Delusional Island. UGA 30 – Tide 17.


Tennessee (1-2, 0-1) at Auburn (3-1, 1-1), 2:30 p.m. CDT, CBS
Jason's Take: Tennessee played terrible in a home loss to Florida last weekend while Auburn took LSU to the wire before losing on a last second touchdown pass. The Vols are playing for their lives and will put up a strong fight but the Tigers will be too much. Auburn 27, Tennessee 17

Mark's Take: The Big Orange is not off to a big start this year, but Phil Fulmer has a history of getting his team to bounce back from slow starts so the Tigers need to beware of a wounded group of Vols that desperately need a victory. Auburn needs this one, too, and will have to play well to win, but Tommy Tuberville's Tigers should be able to rebound from a disappointing loss to LSU. Auburn 24, Tennessee 14

Stephen's Take: For a team without leadership, it's difficult to tell which way Tennessee will bounce back after the loss to Florida. The Vols started 1-2 last season and won the East. Don't look for that to happen this year as this is the beginning of the end for Phil Fulmer in Knoxville. Auburn 24, Tennessee 10

OkAUBURNTiger's Take: UT appears to have severe mental problems after watching them against Florida and Auburn, irritatingly slow, like fingernails scratching on a chalkboard, appears to be making progress on offense. The Great Pumpkin needs more than a week of psychiatric help to beat the Tigers. Auburn 27 - Vols 13

Week 4Overall%
Stephen6-131-5.861
Pick'em Winners*
4-320-4.833
Mark5-228-8.778
Jason5-228-8.778

* - 5xTiger, dukeofga and rabungap61

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