ITAT Picks The SEC: Week 10

Mark Murphy, Jason Caldwell, Stephen Atkinson and board member rlshm pick this week's SEC games.

Editor's Note: The winner of our weekly Inside the Auburn Tigers prediction contest will receive an invitation to join staff members to give their takes in the SEC picks column. Last week's winner, rlshm, is our guest.

Here is the link for this week's picks contest: Click here. It will be open until Saturday morning.

Week 9Overall%
Stephen6-152-13.800
Jason5-250-15.769
Mark5-247-18.723
Pick'em Winners*
3-438-15.717

* - 5xTiger, dukeofga, rabungap61, OkAUBURNTiger, AUgold, autigrs, eagle70 and Antibammer

Tulsa (8-0, 5-0 C-USA) at Arkansas (3-5, 1-4), 1 p.m. CT, PPV
Jason's Take: Tulsa enters the game as one of the country's most explosive offensive teams. They'll face an Arkansas team that is improving on offense but still giving up tons of points defensively. That means shootout and in a shootout I'll take Tulsa every time. Not to mention Gus Malzahn's return to Fayetteville. He wants nothing more than a big game. I think he gets it. Tulsa 34, Arkansas 31
Mark's Take: This isn't exactly a non-conference breather for the Razorbacks as Tulsa comes to Fayetteville with an 8-0 record, a national ranking and an offense that scores points like a basketball team. Tulsa 41, Arkansas 31
Stephen's Take: If Arkansas was average on defense I'd pick them to win. But they're not average. They're bad. And Tulsa's offense is averaging a by far NCAA best 624.7 yards per game. Quarterback David Johnson is averaging 17.2 yards per completion and has an unheard of 212.82 QB rating. Tulsa 41, Arkansas 31
rlshm's Pick: Tulsa

Kentucky (5-3, 1-3) at Mississippi State (3-5, 1-3), 1:30 p.m. CT
Jason's Take: Kentucky is coming off an embarrassing performance at Florida last weekend and the Wildcats need a win over Mississippi State to become bowl eligible. The Bulldogs have played better of late offensively. That's enough to get the win. MSU 20, Kentucky 16
Mark's Take: The Wildcats are headed south, figuratively and literally, as they take on the Bulldogs in Starkville so look for the home team to prevail. Mississippi State 17, Kentucky 14
Stephen's Take: The Bulldogs don't have any offensive firepower, but neither do the Wildcats without Lyons and Locke. Without a single playmaker in the game, this one will be won on the ground with Ducre and Dixon. Mississippi State 20, Kentucky 14
rlshm's Pick: Mississippi State

Arkansas State (4-3, 2-1 Sun Belt) at Alabama (8-0, 5-0), 2 p.m. CT, PPV
Jason's Take: Alabama gets a break from the schedule this week as they take on Arkansas State, a team that scored 83 points in a game this season. They won't come anywhere close to that this week. Alabama 38, Arkansas State 13
Mark's Take: Expect a better outcome for the Tide than the last time they played a team from the Sun Belt Conference when Bama suffered a homefield loss to Louisiana-Monroe last year. Alabama 31, Arkansas State 10
Stephen's Take: The Crimson Tide continue to play sound football... Alabama 28, Arkansas State 10
rlshm's Pick: Alabama

Florida (6-1, 4-1) vs. Georgia (7-1, 4-1), 2:30 p.m. CT, CBS
Jason's Take: The World's Largest Cocktail Party is the game of the day in the SEC once again as both teams enter with just one loss. After last season's dance fever tryout by the Dawgs look for the Gators to get some serious revenge. Florida 34, Georgia 24
Mark's Take: The Gators would like nothing better than to dance on the Dawgs this Saturday after UGA went over-the-top last year with the organized unsportsmanlike conduct celebration. This should be a good one matching two teams in an offensive groove. Florida 35, Georgia 28
Stephen's Take: I have a hard time picking against Georgia right now, but an even harder time picking against Florida. It took the Gators longer than expected to get things going, but they are rolling now. After last year's low-class antics by Richt and his puppies, Florida gets revenge where it matters most–on the scoreboard–and pick up their domination in the series. Florida 38, Georgia 28
rlshm's Pick: Florida

Tennessee (3-5, 1-4) at South Carolina (5-3, 2-3), 6 p.m., ESPN2
Jason's Take: Looking for that elusive sixth victory South Carolina will pull out all the stops against Tennessee this weekend in Columbia. Steve Spurrier would like nothing better than to put another nail in the coffin of his longtime nemesis Phil Fulmer. South Carolina 16, Tennessee 13
Mark's Take: Tennessee has dominated the series with a 21-3-2 all-time record vs. South Carolina, but this is not a normal UT team. The Vols' offensive struggles will likely continue so look for the Gamecocks to pick up their seventh victory as they jockey for a good bowl game. South Carolina 27, Tennessee 14
Stephen's Take: The Vols are getting worse and the Gamecocks are getting better. Spurrier can help seal the fate for long-time rival Phil Fulmer. South Carolina 24, Tennessee 17
rlshm's Pick: South Carolina

Tulane (2-5, 1-3) at LSU (5-2, 3-2), 7 p.m. CT, PPV
Jason's Take: LSU will try to recover after getting hammered at home by Georgia last weekend. Tulane won't put up much of a test and should be just the medicine for the Tigers to get well. LSU 38, Tulane 14
Mark's Take: The 2-5 Green Wave should give LSU a chance to rebuild confidence after the Bayou Bengals gave up 52 points last week to the Georgia Bulldogs. Tulane's chances of an upset are hurt by an injury to featured running back Andre Anderson. LSU 35, Tulane 14
Stephen's Take: The Tigers have a lot of wounds to lick this week to get ready to make a run at Alabama for the West title. LSU 35, Tulane 10
rlshm's Pick: LSU

Auburn (4-4, 2-3) at Ole Miss (4-4, 2-3), 11:30 a.m. CT, Raycom
Jason's Take: Both teams are desperate for a win as the serious question of bowl eligibility is looming for both Auburn and Ole Miss. Auburn had a better offensive performance for a half against West Virginia last Thursday night and the Tigers will need a full game to pull out a win at Ole Miss. They may not get that but my guess is they'll get enough. Auburn 27, Ole Miss 23
Mark's Take: An Auburn team that has suffered wounds to its pride, won/loss record and many key players will try to snap its losing streak against an opponent it has had much success against over the years. The Tigers are overdue for a win and way overdue for a good second half performance. This could be the week both happen if Kodi Burns continues to improve now that he is the full-time quarterback. Auburn 24, Ole Miss 20
Stephen's Take: Ole Miss is playing well despite just a 4-4 record. The Rebels were a play away from beating Wake Forest, Vanderbilt and Alabama and lost to South Carolina by just seven points. Auburn is getting worse as the season goes along and I would expect the Tigers' losing streak to hit four games. Ole Miss 27, Auburn 14 rlshm's Pick: Ole Miss


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