ITAT Picks The SEC: Week 12

Mark Murphy, Jason Caldwell and Stephen Atkinson are joined by board member FlaTiger in attempting to pick another week of SEC football.

Editor's Note: The winner of our weekly Inside the Auburn Tigers prediction contest will receive an invitation to join staff members to give their takes in the SEC picks column. Last week's winner, FlaTiger, is our guest.

Here is the link for this week's picks contest: Click here.

Week 11Overall%
Pick'em Winners*

* - 5xTiger, dukeofga, rabungap61, OkAUBURNTiger, AUgold, autigrs, eagle70, Antibammer, rlshm, corynd

Louisiana-Monroe (3-7, 2-4 Sun Belt)at Ole Miss (5-4, 3-3), 2 p.m. CT
Jason's Take: ULM made a run at a win against Arkansas earlier this season, but that's as close as they'll come to getting a win over the SEC in 2008. Ole Miss is playing to become bowl eligible and that shouldn't be a problem in this one. Ole Miss 31, ULM 10
Mark's Take: The rested Rebels, with an extra week off since knocking off Auburn, should become bowl eligible with a comfortable home victory. Ole Miss 34, Louisiana-Monroe 14
Stephen's Take: Sometimes you feel like a Nutt, sometimes you don't. A win over either La-Monroe, LSU or Mississippi State and the Rebels are going to the postseason. I hope Arkansas fans enjoy watching the Rebels' bowl game on TV next month. Ole Miss 24, Louisiana at Monroe 10
FlaTiger's Take: Charlie Weatherby, head coach at ULM, is a heck of a nice guy but that will not count for much this weekend as Ole Miss runs and passes their way to victory. Ole Miss 38, Louisiana at Monroe 21

South Carolina (6-3, 3-3) at Florida (7-1, 5-1), 2:30 p.m. CT, CBS
Jason's Take: Steve Spurrier goes back to the scene of his greatest football achievements hoping to add to his legacy on Saturday. The Gamecocks shouldn't win this game and I don't believe they will, but don't be shocked when the outcome is much closer than many anticipate. Florida 30, South Carolina 20
Mark's Take: Fresh chicken is on the menu this Saturday at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, which is more fuel for the Gators' SEC title run. Florida 35, South Carolina 10
Stephen's Take: I think when it's all said and done on Jan. 8 that the Gators will win their second national title in three years, but this week may be the biggest hurdle. This one won't be easy. Florida 31, South Carolina 24
FlaTiger's Take: As much as I would like to see the Ol' Ball Coach stick it to his former team, it is hard to pick against the Gators in this one. Urban Meyer will try to earn style points for his team as they try to be the pick of the litter of one-loss teams striving to reach the national championship game. Florida 45, South Carolina 21

Mississippi State (3-6, 1-4) at Alabama (9-0, 5-0), 6:45 p.m. CT, ESPN
Jason's Take: Mississippi State has defeated Alabama two consecutive years and will looking for the biggest win ever against the Crimson Tide. It won't come this time around though as the Bulldogs can't score enough to keep this one close. Alabama 34, MSU 13
Mark's Take: A disappointing season for the Bulldogs continues against the SEC West's hottest team. Alabama 27, Mississippi State 7
Stephen's Take: Championship teams somehow have the ability to play well every Saturday. So far Alabama has looked like a championship team and has continued to take care of business. Alabama 28, Mississippi State 7
FlaTiger's Take: Mississippi State is hoping that the Croom magic will return with another victory over the Tide, but reality will raise its ugly head as Alabama gets ready to come into the Iron Bowl undefeated and #1. Alabama 31, MSU 17

Vanderbilt (5-3, 3-2) at Kentucky (6-3, 2-3), 7 p.m. CT, ESPN2
Jason's Take: Vanderbilt won its first five games and has since lost four in a row. Needing a win to get to that magical number six they'll face a Wildcat team with too much offense for them to get over the hump. Who would have thought Tennessee would be the most winnable game on Vanderbilt's remaining schedule? Kentucky 25, Vandy 13
Mark's Take: Could this be the week the Commodores become bowl eligible? Maybe, but maybe not. Kentucky 28, Vandy 24
Stephen's Take: "History repeats itself." No truer words could be spoken for Vanderbilt football when reaching five wins in a season. In 1984 the Commodores were 5-3 and finished 5-6. In 1991 they were 5-5 and lost the finale. In 1993 they went from 5-4 to finish 5-6. The same scenario played out in 1994. 1999 brought on a 5-3 start only to finish 5-6 once again. Last season Vanderbilt, at 5-3, needed just one win to become bowl eligible, but lost the remaining four games. In 2008 a 5-0 start has turned into 5-4. Vanderbilt has lost 19 straight games with five wins. NINETEEN STRAIGHT. No way my I'm going with Vanderbilt. Kentucky 24, Vanderbilt 14.
FlaTiger's Take: Thanks to the Tennessee collapse these teams are not playing their annual battle to see who is the worst of the East. The Commodores lost whatever they had as they won their first five games and will have to beat UT to get a bowl bid. Kentucky 24, Vandy 10

Troy (6-3, 4-1 Sun Belt) at LSU (6-2, 3-2), 7 p.m. CT, PPV
Jason's Take: LSU and Troy come in with identical records and while the Bengal Tigers are reeling, it won't matter in this one. LSU is too physical and too fast even without decent quarterback play. LSU 24, Troy 16
Mark's Take: The Bayou Bengals leave the league this week, but don't leave home where they are trying to overcome the feeling of knowing they of let one get away last week. LSU 34, Troy 14
Stephen's Take: The funny thing about LSU's down year is that it has lost just one more game than the 2007 national championship team. Realistically this year's squad is nowhere near as good. Troy is good for a Sun Belt opponent but... LSU 34, Troy 17
FlaTiger's Take: The Faux Tigers will have their way with Troy this weekend if they can get over last weekend's heartbreaker. Even if they aren't recovered they still handle the Trojans but it might not be as easy as many think. LSU depth wins in the end. LSU 31, Troy 20

Georgia (7-2, 4-2) at Auburn (5-5, 2-4), 11:30 a.m., CT, Raycom
Jason's Take: This game is all about Auburn's offense. Can the Tigers get enough done to hang with the league's most explosive offense led by Matthew Stafford. Georgia's defense has been horrific in the last month, giving up 38, 49 and 38 points in the last three weeks, but Auburn hasn't shown it can score points against bunches against anyone. Until that happens consider me skeptical. Georgia 31, Auburn 17
Mark's Take: There isn't sufficient evidence to conclude the Tigers are ready to pull off an upset this week even though the Bulldogs have struggled on defense in recent games. Georgia's highly productive offense is the difference in this installment of the SEC's oldest rivalry. Georgia 31, Auburn 17
Stephen's Take: In the Deep South's Oldest Rivalry, teams in Auburn's position usually have more success than not. I'm not smart enough to understand why that happens so I'll pin it on coincidence. The Tigers could be poised for their best game of the year, but that may not be enough. In the end Auburn can't put enough points on the board. Georgia 24, Auburn 21
FlaTiger's Take: As much as I would like to pick Auburn to pull the upset, I just don't see the defense stopping both Moreno and Stafford. If the Tigers sell out to stop the run and play straight man defense then they will have a hard time stopping Georgia's receivers. If they drop off and defend the pass, Moreno has a big day running. The only chance is if Auburn's defensive line is rested enough after not playing Saturday to control the line of scrimmage and put pressure on Stafford. Georgia 31, Auburn 17

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