Oklahoma State Game Preview Part 2

The Cowboys from Oklahoma State are coming to town this weekend. Who has the edge on offense and defense against each other? Find out inside BearsIllustrated.com

The Baylor Bears, winners of three of their last four games, look to close out the 2012 regular season against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. The Pokes come in a game better than the Bears, but are also coming off an emotional loss to their hated rivals, the Sooners of Oklahoma. Over the past few season, the Cowboys have destroyed the Bears, even during last year's 10-win season. Will this year be any better? Will the Bears under Art Briles finally beat the Cowboys and Mike Gundy?

Baylor Offense vs. Oklahoma State Defense

Scoring

Passing

Yards / Pass

Rushing

Yards / Rush

Total Yards

Yards / Play

Yards / Point

Points / Play

Baylor O

44

363.1

9.5

215.5

4.9

578.6

7

13.2

0.529

Rank

3

2

2

19

26

1

1

33

9

31.2

305.1

6.9

131

3.7

436.1

5.3

14

0.3803

Rank

79

120

46

23

24

85

46

68

56

Last week, the Bears ran into a great passing defense that really struggled to stop the run. This week, they run into the exact opposite. The Cowboys have proven to be pretty good against the run all year, and have not allowed over 200 yards rushing in any game this year. The most they have allowed is 191 to Kansas State. They only allow 124 yards per game on the ground over the entire season, and have shut down the last three rushing attacks they have seen.

West Virginia – 35 rushes for 78 yards, 2.2 ypc

Texas Tech – 34 rushes for 99 yards, 2.9 ypc

Oklahoma – 30 rushes, 106 yards, 3.5 ypc

The Cowboys though have been terrible against passing attack recently. They allowed 512 yards passing against OU, and 401 against West Virginia in two of their three last games. They were much better against Texas Tech, only allowing 284 yards, but as a whole, they have struggled to stop aerial attacks.

The Bears offensive attack has morphed from what it was at the beginning of the year, to what it is now. At first, we were an amazing passing offense that could not run really well all. We would attack vertically quite a bit and hit big plays time and time again. Recently though, we have seen the passing attack go for less yards per attempt. Big plays are still there, just not as prevalent as earlier in the year. What has replaced those big plays though is a dominating running game.

So, which offense will the Bears come out and feature? Will we see the one we saw against West Virginia or the one against Texas Tech?

Baylor Defense vs. Oklahoma State Offense

Scoring

Passing

Yards / Pass

Rushing

Yards / Rush

Total Yards

Yards / Play

Yards / Point

Points / Play

Baylor D

40.1

325

7.6

194.6

4.8

519.6

6.2

13

0.479

Rank

117

122

76

90

88

123

99

92

102

Oklahoma State O

41.8

337.2

9.1

197.3

4.9

534.5

6.9

12.8

0.533

Rank

6

7

6

30

26

5

2

23

7

The Cowboys also have one of the best passing attacks in the country, surprisingly so. They lost two HUGE pieces to their passing attack last year in first round draft choices Brandon Wheeden and Justin Blackmon. While their top receiver position has been capably filled, their quarterback spot has been a carousel. Injuries have been the main reason for that, and despite three guys getting starts this year, their performance has been pretty good overall.

The expected bell cow for the Cowboys offense was supposed to be a great running game featuring Justin Randle. While it has been a good running attack, it has not been nearly as great as expected this year. Is that due to the injuries Randle had to come back from that he suffered late last year? Is it the change in personnel related to the passing game that is not giving enough room for Randle to roam free? Make no mistake though; this is still a good running attack, just not a great one.

The Bears defense took a bit of a step back last week. They allowed a staggering 208 yards rushing to the Red Raiders on their way to 567 total yards of offense. What saved the Bears was their ability to get timely turnovers, two of which coming with the Red Raiders in the red zone. The Cowboys turn the ball over 1.8 times per game (68th most in the country), so the Bears will have to continue to force turnovers if they are to allow so many yards.

Summary

As mentioned earlier, Art Briles has never tasted sweet victory over the Oklahoma State Cowboys. In fact, he has really even tasted a good game. In the four previous meetings, the Bears have lost 34-6, 34-7, 55-28, and 59-24. That is an average score of 45.5 – 16.25. Not pretty for the Bears against Oklahoma State.

The Pokes have just been a terrible matchup for Baylor the past few years, mainly due to exceptional quarterback play and the ability to run the ball out of the spread offense. While the quarterback play has not been up to the level most Cowboy fans are accustomed to, their running game is as good as ever.

If Clint Chelf has a good or even great game against Baylor, the Cowboys will probably score 50 or 60 points on the Bears. But Chelf is the key. Offensively, the Bears should be able to move the ball and score on the Cowboys. We might see an attack more like the one we saw against West Virginia, passing the ball 50+ times, but they should be able to score.


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