5-Things: Owning the State

With a resounding 83-60 win over rival Texas, the Bears and Scott Drew continued their dominance of the State of Texas. They also took another step towards a NCAA tournament worthy profile and back to back trips to the NCAA tournament for the first time in school history.

1. It all started with the Baylor Bears resounding 83-60 win over Texas, a game that they never trailed in, and in fact, after the 12-0 start, Texas was always more than 1 possession away.

The big picture is even more impressive. A 44-8 record over in-state teams since 2009-2010. That record includes a 7-5 record against Texas, 8-2 against Texas Tech, 6-1 against Texas A&M, and 5-0 against TCU. There is no argument right now about which program is the best in Texas. The Bears have proven it time and time again the past 6 years and counting.

2. While the long-term domination of the state is nice, the win this weekend gave the Bears their 3rd Top-20 win at home, and strengthened their resume again. Texas will likely fall out of the Top-25 today, with their 3rd straight loss. With the Longhorns collapse from the lofty preseason rankings, the Big 12 is even more of a mess to figure out. Well, outside of Kansas for the good reasons and Texas Tech for the bad ones. Who is the second best team in the Big 12 right now? The standings say Iowa State or West Virginia with Kansas State, as they are both 1 game back from Kansas at 6-2. Kansas State and Oklahoma are are 5-4, with Baylor at 4-4. I would vote Iowa State, but what do you make of their embarrassing loss on the road to Texas Tech?

West Virginia has played an easier schedule than most so far, and still have trips to Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma and Iowa State remaining. The Sooners looked like the best team for a while, but then lost four of five games before starting their current 2-game winning streak. The Bears have yet to be above .500 in conference play in 2015 and still have to go to Kansas, West Virginia and Iowa State. The line behind Kansas is long and confusing, and that is before we even decide what to do with a Kansas State team that lost at home to Texas Southern but has already beaten Oklahoma and Baylor this year.

In the end, this is still Kansas' race to loose. Iowa State will have to win a tough game on the road, be it at Kansas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State or Texas and hope the Jayhawks slip up enough. After that though, you could make an argument for Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Texas, or even Kansas State and I wouldn't fight you too hard. The battle of attrition has just begun for the Bears and the rest of the Big 12.

3. In my mind, the Bears ball movement is a key indicator of success. I took a look at the 8 Big 12 games so far in 2015, and wondered what was the amount of assists in the wins versus losses. Also, what percent of baskets came from assists? In both cases, the wins were significantly higher.

Baylor Passing is a Key to Success
Assists
Field Goals
Assists/Field Goal
In Big 12 Wins (4) 63 103 61.17%
In Big 12 Losses (4) 45 80 56.25%

Even with the TCU overtime victory (5 assists on 17 made field goals...yuck), the Bears get almost 5% more assists in their wins versus losses. Without the TCU win, the percentage goes up to 67.44%, over 11% higher. When the ball is moving in and out of the paint, either with post up opportunities or via penetration, the Bears have to not only make the pass out of the paint, but that extra pass as well. When they do that, they are a much better offensive team, and much more likely to win.

4. With four wins already in Big 12 play, the Bears are half way to the likely 8 wins they likely need to advance to the NCAA tournament. With the Big 12's depth, and likely 7 or even 8 bids, an 8-win team has a solid chance of advancing to the tournment, if they have the type of non-conference success that Baylor has. The Bears are currently ranked 16th in RPI according to Jerry Palm of CBS, and are 13th in the nation according to KenPom. They already have seven Top-50 wins according to KenPom, with another 2 Top-100 wins. They also have plenty of chances to increase their Top-50 wins, as their next four games (TCU, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, and Kansas) are all against Top-50 teams, with two of those at home. With 5-home games left on the schedule, and two games against the Big 12's lowest ranked team in Texas Tech, the Bears are in excellent position right now.

5. So yes, the Bears are the best basketball program in the state of Texas. There really isn't any argument right now, despite Texas rising in the rankings last year and the early part of the 2014-15 season. With their recent play, that is looking more and more like a blip on the radar than an actual threat to the Bears crown. With at least 4 games left against the State of Texas on the schedule, the Bears have even more chances to assert their dominance and ride that success to their first ever back-to-back NCAA tournament berths.


Bears Illustrated Top Stories

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The big picture is even more impressive. A 44-8 record over in-state teams since 2009-2010. That record includes a 7-5 record against Texas, 8-2 against Texas Tech, 6-1 against Texas A&M, and 5-0 against TCU. There is no argument right now about which program is the best in Texas. The Bears have proven it time and time again the past 6 years and counting.

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2. While the long-term domination of the state is nice, the win this weekend gave the Bears their 3rd Top-20 win at home, and strengthened their resume again. Texas will likely fall out of the Top-25 today, with their 3rd straight loss. With the Longhorns collapse from the lofty preseason rankings, the Big 12 is even more of a mess to figure out. Well, outside of Kansas for the good reasons and Texas Tech for the bad ones. Who is the second best team in the Big 12 right now? The standings say Iowa State or West Virginia with Kansas State, as they are both 1 game back from Kansas at 6-2. Kansas State and Oklahoma are are 5-4, with Baylor at 4-4. I would vote Iowa State, but what do you make of their embarrassing loss on the road to Texas Tech?

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West Virginia has played an easier schedule than most so far, and still have trips to Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma and Iowa State remaining. The Sooners looked like the best team for a while, but then lost four of five games before starting their current 2-game winning streak. The Bears have yet to be above .500 in conference play in 2015 and still have to go to Kansas, West Virginia and Iowa State. The line behind Kansas is long and confusing, and that is before we even decide what to do with a Kansas State team that lost at home to Texas Southern but has already beaten Oklahoma and Baylor this year.

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In the end, this is still Kansas' race to loose. Iowa State will have to win a tough game on the road, be it at Kansas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State or Texas and hope the Jayhawks slip up enough. After that though, you could make an argument for Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Texas, or even Kansas State and I wouldn't fight you too hard. The battle of attrition has just begun for the Bears and the rest of the Big 12. \r\n\r\n

3. In my mind, the Bears ball movement is a key indicator of success. I took a look at the 8 Big 12 games so far in 2015, and wondered what was the amount of assists in the wins versus losses. Also, what percent of baskets came from assists? In both cases, the wins were significantly higher. \r\n\r\n

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Baylor Passing is a Key to Success
Assists
Field Goals
Assists/Field Goal
In Big 12 Wins (4)6310361.17%
In Big 12 Losses (4)458056.25%
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Even with the TCU overtime victory (5 assists on 17 made field goals...yuck), the Bears get almost 5% more assists in their wins versus losses. Without the TCU win, the percentage goes up to 67.44%, over 11% higher. When the ball is moving in and out of the paint, either with post up opportunities or via penetration, the Bears have to not only make the pass out of the paint, but that extra pass as well. When they do that, they are a much better offensive team, and much more likely to win.

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4. With four wins already in Big 12 play, the Bears are half way to the likely 8 wins they likely need to advance to the NCAA tournament. With the Big 12's depth, and likely 7 or even 8 bids, an 8-win team has a solid chance of advancing to the tournment, if they have the type of non-conference success that Baylor has. The Bears are currently ranked 16th in RPI according to Jerry Palm of CBS, and are 13th in the nation according to KenPom. They already have seven Top-50 wins according to KenPom, with another 2 Top-100 wins. They also have plenty of chances to increase their Top-50 wins, as their next four games (TCU, West Virginia, Oklahoma State, and Kansas) are all against Top-50 teams, with two of those at home. With 5-home games left on the schedule, and two games against the Big 12's lowest ranked team in Texas Tech, the Bears are in excellent position right now.

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5. So yes, the Bears are the best basketball program in the state of Texas. There really isn't any argument right now, despite Texas rising in the rankings last year and the early part of the 2014-15 season. With their recent play, that is looking more and more like a blip on the radar than an actual threat to the Bears crown. With at least 4 games left against the State of Texas on the schedule, the Bears have even more chances to assert their dominance and ride that success to their first ever back-to-back NCAA tournament berths.

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See what Baylor fans are saying here

","mobileBody":"

1. It all started with the Baylor Bears resounding 83-60 win over Texas, a game that they never trailed in, and in fact, after the 12-0 start, Texas was always more than 1 possession away.

Very much so. 44-8 v in-state teams since 2009-10 #WOTS RT @BaylorMBB: Baylor's largest win v Texas since 1988 #SicEm pic.twitter.com/jxBxB5M2YR

— Zach Peters (@ZRP_23) February 1, 2015

The big picture is even more impressive. A 44-8 record over in-state teams since 2009-2010. That record includes a 7-5 record against Texas, 8-2 against Texas Tech, 6-1 against Texas A&M, and 5-0 against TCU. There is no argument right now about which program is the best in Texas. The Bears have proven it time and time again the past 6 years and counting.

2. While the long-term domination of the state is nice, the win this weekend gave the Bears their 3rd Top-20 win at home, and strengthened their resume again. Texas will likely fall out of the Top-25 today, with their 3rd straight loss. With the Longhorns collapse from the lofty preseason rankings, the Big 12 is even more of a mess to figure out. Well, outside of Kansas for the good reasons and Texas Tech for the bad ones. Who is the second best team in the Big 12 right now? The standings say Iowa State or West Virginia with Kansas State, as they are both 1 game back from Kansas at 6-2. Kansas State and Oklahoma are are 5-4, with Baylor at 4-4. I would vote Iowa State, but what do you make of their embarrassing loss on the road to Texas Tech?

West Virginia has played an easier schedule than most so far, and still have trips to Kansas, Baylor, Oklahoma and Iowa State remaining. The Sooners looked like the best team for a while, but then lost four of five games before starting their current 2-game winning streak. The Bears have yet to be above .500 in conference play in 2015 and still have to go to Kansas, West Virginia and Iowa State. The line behind Kansas is long and confusing, and that is before we even decide what to do with a Kansas State team that lost at home to Texas Southern but has already beaten Oklahoma and Baylor this year.

In the end, this is still Kansas' race to loose. Iowa State will have to win a tough game on the road, be it at Kansas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State or Texas and hope the Jayhawks slip up enough. After that though, you could make an argument for Oklahoma, Baylor, West Virginia, Texas, or even Kansas State and I wouldn't fight you too hard. The battle of attrition has just begun for the Bears and the rest of the Big 12.

3. In my mind, the Bears ball movement is a key indicator of success. I took a look at the 8 Big 12 games so far in 2015, and wondered what was the amount of assists in the wins versus losses. Also, what percent of baskets came from assists? In both cases, the wins were significantly higher. 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