22nd Ranked Baylor Hosts TCU

The Baylor Bears (12-3, 2-1) host the TCU Horned Frogs (9-6, 1-2) looking to both extend their winning streaks in Big 12 play.

The Baylor Bears look to win their 3rd straight Big 12 game as they take on the TCU Horned Frogs.  TCU is 9-6 on the season, and has already claimed a victory in Big 12 play over Texas at home.  This is an improved TCU squad, led by 4th year head coach Trent Johnson.  With a beautifully redone home arena, the Frogs are looking to really turn their program around after years mired in the cellar.  

TCU is led by sophomore post Vladimir Brodziansky, who averages a team high 12 points per game, and is second on the team in rebounds with 5.  Junior Karviar Shepherd gives them another capable big man, as he averates 9 points and 7 rebounds per game. Junior College transfer, Malique Trent, gives the Frogs some skill in the backcourt with his finishing ability at the rim. 

Media Information

No. 22/22 Baylor (12-3, 2-1) vs. TCU (9-6, 1-2)

Date

Jan. 13, 2016 | 7:15 p.m. CT

Location

Waco, Texas | Ferrell Center (10,284)

TV

 ESPNEWS and WatchESPN

Radio

ESPN Central Texas

Online Audio

Listen Online

Live Stats

Gametracker

Twitter @BaylorMBB

Storylines

  • Baylor has won all 7 series meetings against TCU as Big 12 opponents, by an average of 18.7 points per game. 
  • All 3 of Baylor’s losses have been true road games against AP Top 25 teams (Oregon, TAMU, Kansas). 
  • Baylor has won 24 straight home games against unranked opponents — last loss to WVU on Jan. 28, 2014. 
  • Baylor’s last home loss was 338 days ago, when Oklahoma State won 74-65 on Feb. 9, 2015. 
  • Rico?Gathers needs 6 rebounds to pass Nebraska’s?Aleks Maric (1,015) for 7th on the Big 12 career rebounds list. 
  • Baylor has a .710 winning percentage over the last four-plus seasons (115-47). 
  • Baylor beat TCU twice last season, extending its winning streak in the series to seven straight. 
  • BU won 66-59 in overtime in the game in Fort Worth on Jan. 10 and 77-57 in Waco on Feb. 4. 
  • The Bears averaged a rebounding advantage of 46-35 in those games. 

Keys to the Game

1. Keep them off of the Foul Line - While the Frogs have improved in 2015-16, they are still an offense that struggles quite a bit at times.  They turn the ball over too much, they don't shoot it well (especially from the 3-point line) and take too many bad shots.  What they do best though is get to the free throw line.  They get 26.4% of their points from the line, good for the 3rd highest rate in the nation.  They have four players that are in the Top-400 in terms of drawing fouls, with Malique Trent and Karviar Shepherd both excellent at that hidden skill.  The Bears will need to defend the paint without fouling, something that they have done very well this year.  

2.  Win Behind the Arc- TCU is a bad 3-point shooting team, while the Bears are a strong one.  Simply put, Baylor should easily outscore the Frogs behind the arc.  TCU makes just 31.7% of their 3-point shots, compared to Baylor's 37%.  Starting wing Brandon Parrish has been on fire this year behind the arc, making over 53% of his shots.  Chauncey Collins is another nice wpeaon, making 36%. The Bears will want to make Malique Trent shoot from deep, something that he loves to do.  He takes a team high 4.6 3-point shots per game, but is only shooting 20.3% from there.  That is an absurd amount of shots for such a poor shooter.  

3.  Take Care of the Ball - TCU's biggest improvement has been on the defensive side of the ball, where they play an aggressive man defense that is adept at forcing turnovers.  They are 22nd in the nation in Turnvoer % forced, causing a turnover on 22.1% of the opposition's possessions.  Malique Trent is the main man to watch, as the sophomore point guard is one of the better on-ball defensive guards in the Big 12. The Bears have been quite strong at avoiding turnovers (17.5%, 108th in the nation), but they need point guard Lester Medford to really manage this game.  

What Happened Last Time?

The Bears pulled away late for a 77-57 victory over TCU in Waco.  The Frogs were down just 45-39 with 15 minutes to go, but a 13-0 put the game away.  Rico Gathers led the Bears with 14 points and 17 rebounds, one of 5 Bears to score in double figures.  Baylor outrebounded TCU 43-29. 

Predictions

KenPom.com – Baylor wins 78-65 (90% chance for win)

Massey.com – Baylor wins 78-64 (91% chance for win)

Tim Watkins BearsIllustrated.com Writer– Bears win 71-56

The Frogs are just not a very good offensive team.  They average just 71 points per game, good for 233rd in the nation. They are a poor shooting team, especially from behind the 3-point line.  Expect the Bears zone to dominate this game. TCU has been playing at a much faster tempo this year, but I think they try and slow this one down a bit. TCU will keep it close for a while, but the Bears talent and strength will wear down the Frogs.  


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