Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

13th Ranked Baylor hosts Kansas State

The 13th ranked baylor Bears look to win their 5th straight game as they host the 11-6 Kansas State Wildcats.

The 13th ranked Baylor Bears welcome the 11-6 Kansas State Wildcats to Waco Wednesday evening.  The Bears have won 4-straight games, while the Wildcats have lost four of their last five games.  KSU is just 1-3 in road games this year, with losses to Texas, Oklahoma and Texas A&M.  

MEDIA INFORMATION

No. 13/15 Baylor (14-3, 4-1) vs. Kansas State (11-6, 1-4)

Date

Jan. 20, 2016 | 7:15 p.m. CT

Location

Waco, Texas | Ferrell Center (10,284)

TV

ESPNEWS and WatchESPN

Radio

ESPN Central Texas

Online Audio

Listen Online

Live Stats

Gametracker

Twitter @BaylorMBB

STORYLINES

  • Wednesday is the 33rd series meeting. Baylor is 15-17 all-time against K-State, including a 7-5 mark in Waco.
  • Baylor has won 3 of its last 4 games against K-State.?The teams split two meetings last season. 
  • Baylor has won 14 straight home games, one shy of the Ferrell Center-record 15 straight set Feb. 2010-Jan. 2011. 
  • Baylor's bench has out-scored opponents 113-41 over the last 3 games.

KEYS TO THE GAME

1.The Bears have run into some of the poorer shooting teams in the Big 12 these last 3-games.  In fact, the Red Raiders, Horned Frogs and Wildcats are the three worst offensive teams in the Big 12, according to KenPom.  Kansas State is last in the conference in 3-pont shooting at just 26.9% during conference play, and has the second worst effective field goal percentage as well.  The Bears came out in zone against TCU and Texas Tech previously, so we can expect them to showcase the zone defense early again.  Forcing long jumpers from Justin Edwards (29%), Dean Wade (26%) and Kamau Stokes (31%) usually work out for the opposition.  

2. Kansas State has a very good defense, ranking 24th in the nation on KenPom.  THey do a good job of pushing teams off of the 3-point line, giving up just 25% of opposition points to 3-pointers (300th in the nation).  Teams only make 27.6% of tier 3-point shots (5th lowest in the nation), so this is the focus for the Wildcats.  They do this with great size at point guard, wing, and in the post.  They really only play 1-below average starter size wise, in Kamau Stokes, a 6-foot shooting guard.  

Even with that size though, the Wildcats do not block shots or challenge in the paint.  They get a block on just 6.6% of their defensive possessions. Freshman center Dean Wade is much more of an exterior player at this point of his career, while forward Stephen Hurt does bring good strength to the paint.  The Bears, with their depth and abilitt down low, should be able to foce the issue around the rim. 

3. While their post players may not be adept at blocking shots, they are a very good offensive rebounding team.  They rank 35th in the nation with a second chance on 35.6% of their possessions (Baylor ranks 5th at 40.8%). The Wildcats attack the offensive glass with both of their posts and starting small forward Wesley Uwandu.  This leaves them open to transition points, something that the Bears have improved on during this winning streak.  Baylor has been a very good defensive rebounding team this year, led by senior forward Rico Gathers. Look for Baylor to push the ball on those defensive rebounds, especially when Kansas State crashes the glass hard.  

WHAT HAPPENED LAST TIME?

The Bears blew out the Wildcats 69-42 to secure their 20th win of the 2014-15 season.  Taurean Prince scored 14 points, while Rico Gathers had a 13 point, 10 rebound double-double with three other players scoring in double figures.  Baylor shot 49.1% from the field, and made 8-16 three-pointers, while Kansas State was just 1-16 from behind the arc.  Kansas State scored only 17 points in the second half, making just 30% of their shots.  

PREDICTIONS

KenPom.com – Baylor wins 72-64 (79% chance for win)

Massey.com – Baylor wins 73-64 (80% chance for win)

Tim Watkins, BearsIllustrated.com - Baylor wins 67-51

The Wildcats are a rebuilding team right now, with two freshmen in the starting lineup and another playing major minutes off of the bench.  They have little options behind the 3-point arc, making just 28.7% of their 3-pointers all season.  This is just a bad matchup for the Wildcats, as the Bears can match their size in the front-court, and can take away the best things that KSU can do on either side of the court.  Bears win big. 


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