Boise State won its first WAC Commissioner's Cup last year in a tight race with Nevada that wasn't decided until the final weekend of the final sport contested (baseball). How does the race look this year?
Boise State held off Nevada to win its
first Western Athletic Conference Commissioner's Cup in a dogfight that was not
decided until the final weekend of competition in the spring. An analysis of this year's Commissioner's Cup
using projected point totals shows a tight race once again. In fact, the sport of golf will determine who
wins the Cup this year.
virtue of their strong indoor track showing last weekend, Boise State has moved
into the lead in the Commissioner's Cup standings. The Bronco men won the league title, while
the women finished third in competition at Jackson's Track in Nampa. For the year, Boise State now has 39.25 points
to 37.5 for second-place Utah State. Nevada is right in
the thick of the race once again with 36.75 points. The Wolf Pack is followed in the Cup
standings by Idaho (34.75), Hawai'i (33.25), San Jose State (33.00), Fresno State (23.25), New Mexico State (21.00) and
Louisiana Tech with 17.50.
Broncos did not have a particularly strong fall, with the obvious exception of
the Fiesta Bowl-winning football team and the men's cross country team that
placed second in the WAC
Championships. Boise State finished
fifth in women's soccer, sixth in women's cross country and tied for sixth in
That put Boise State in fifth
place in the Commissioner's Cup standings, ahead of only Hawai'i, New Mexico State, Fresno State and Louisiana
Tech. The Broncos were already 8 ½
points behind Cup leader San Jose State when football was decided and even
though Boise State won the WAC title, the
Spartans finished in a tie for third.
Therefore, the track and field teams really saved the day for the
Broncos' hopes of repeating as Commissioner's Cup Champions.
are awarded in 19 league sports with points in each sport allocated based on
the number of league teams that participate in that sport. The Boise State men's track and field team,
for example, was awarded just five points even though they won the league
championship, because there are only five WAC teams that
participate (one is affiliate member Cal State-Northridge.)
2005-2006 WAC Commissioner's Cup was not decided
until the final week of the season, when Boise State held off Nevada to win
their first ever Commissioner's Cup. The
Broncos captured four men's conference championships, more than any other
school in the nation except for Notre Dame and UCLA, and had a sizeable lead (16.75
points over Nevada) going into
baseball and softball. The agonizing
thing for Boise State was that they
do not field teams in either sport…yet.
All they could do was wait and see how many points Nevada would
accumulate in those two sports. To make
matters worse, Nevada was one of
the league favorites in both sports and if they won them both, the Wolf Pack
would claim the title by 1.25 points over Boise State.
current standings, rankings and results, you can see that this year's race will
be close with four schools having a chance to win—Boise State, Fresno State, Nevada and Utah State. Of those, however, only Boise State and Nevada will be left
to battle at the top once again, as the data below shows. This makes individual sport competition
between the Broncos and Wolf Pack all the more important.
basketball, allocated points will be split between the regular season and the
conference tournament. Thus, upsets will
play a huge role in the Cup standings.
With one week remaining, the current men's standings show Nevada with a 13-1
league record for nine points. New Mexico State (10-4) would get eight, followed by Fresno State, Utah State and
Boise State (8-6, each getting six points), Louisiana Tech (7-8—four points),
Hawai'i (6-8—three points), San Jose State (3-12—two points) and Idaho
women's standings and projected points go as follows:
Tech (11-4—nine points)
Boise State (10-4—eight
Fresno State and Nevada (9-5—6.5
Utah State (7-7—four
New Mexico State (5-9—three
San Jose State (3-12—two points
the results of the conference tournaments will be averaged with the above
results to get the allocated points for both men's and women's basketball. Using the regular season standings and point
allocations above, you get the following projected Cup standings after
- Boise State--53.25
- Utah State—47.5
- Fresno State—35.75
Only three official WAC teams compete
in gymnastics: Utah State, San Jose State and Boise State. Three affiliate members (Sacramento State, Southern Utah and Cal
State-Fullerton) join those three that compete in the league championships for
a total of six points. The top-ranked
league team is Utah State, followed by Southern Utah, San Jose, Sacramento State, Boise State and Cal
State-Fullerton. Utah State would get six
points for a championship, San Jose State four points
and Boise State two points,
barring a shakeup in the league results.
Going into spring, the results would be:
- Boise State—55.25
- Utah State—53.50
- Fresno State—35.75
Boise State and Fresno State have the #1 and #2 teams in both men's and women's
tennis, so that is essentially even. And
Boise State's strength in
outdoor track is negated by the fact that the Broncos do not have a baseball or
a softball team. Hawai'i is currently in
first place in softball, followed by New Mexico State, Fresno State, Louisiana
Tech, Utah State, San Jose State and Nevada.
San Jose State is tops in baseball, followed by Louisiana Tech, Hawai'i,
New Mexico State, Nevada and Fresno State.
Factoring in the results of those six sports (based on last year's
results and this year's records) Boise State extends their
- Boise State--82.25
- Utah State—71.00
- Fresno State—64.75
These projections show every WAC
sport except golf. There are nine points
awarded for men's golf and seven for women's.
does not field a women's team, so the Aggies would have a projected maximum of
State could only get to 80.75
projected points by winning both league titles in golf.
So, the race for the WAC
Commissioner's Cup will once again come down to Boise
State and Nevada. If the point totals hold for basketball,
outdoor track, tennis, softball and baseball, it will be a two-school
race. If Nevada
wins the WAC tournament in both softball and
baseball, the Pack could gain 4.5 points on the above, giving them a projected
maximum of 76.25. That leaves the
Broncos six points ahead before considering golf.
Last year, the Wolf Pack men went into the WAC
Tournament as the favorite, but ended up finishing sixth. If Nevada
were to capture titles in both men's and women's, they would collect 16 points
for a total of 92.25. Therefore, to win
a second consecutive WAC Commissioner's Cup,
the Bronco men's and women's golf teams must score a combined 11 points. In 2006, the Boise
State women finished last, while
the men finished in a tie for fourth.
You can see that given the projections and maximum points
possible for Nevada, those finishes
in golf would not be enough to guarantee the Cup for Boise
State. Put another way, watch the golf results
closely. If Nevada
does not outscore Boise State
by at least six points in men's and women's golf (or an average of three places
for each gender), the Broncos will clinch the Cup.
We will keep you updated on BroncoCountry's Olympic Sports
Message Board and here on the front page as results unfold.