E/A Sports Predicts the WAC, Part One

We did 25 simulations of each game for all nine WAC teams. In nearly all of the matchups, we are able to call a winner. If anyone asks you who will win in any game involving a WAC team, now you know! (This is Part One of the WAC predictions.)

E/A Sports' software "NCAA College Football" is released each year to much anticipation.  While many avid followers are excited about the lifelike video game possibilities, I have noticed it to be one of the best predictors of college football games.  The score is not necessarily correct and sometimes not even close to the average result, but the outcome can be fairly accurately predicted by simulating the desired matchup several times.  I recommend 50 simulations.  I did that for the Boise State games which will be released later today.  For the other Western Athletic Conference teams, I was able to conduct 25 simulations.  As I point out several times below, the closer simulations require additional testing to produce an accurate result.

 

Each simulation is a possible result and taken together, represent a good approximation of the outcome.  It should be mentioned that the 25esults for each matchup do not come close to representing all of the possible outcomes, but it is a good estimate.  Often, a result might be affected by a key player injury or two for one of the teams.  It might also reflect a costly turnover or penalty one way or the other.  By simulating 25imes, the sample reduces the effect of one of those events, while still recognizing that injuries, penalties and turnovers are a vital part of the game.  The biggest wins for each team represent the extremes that are reflected in the sample size of 25 Should the actual result be outside of the extremes, it is a "red flag" that the player data that E/A Sports used in their software might need to be adjusted up or down.

 

Below, I show all of the games for Boise State 's eight WAC rivals except for the matchup with Boise State , which will be revealed in the other report.  The software is wrong occasionally, and neither past results nor this year's results guarantee the winner of the simulations is going to win, nor does it attempt to reflect a score prediction.  It is all in good fun.

 

 

The Nevada Wolf Pack:

 

 

Nevada vs. Eastern Washington

Nevada won all 25 simulations, with the average score being 50.1 to 9.1.  The closest simulation was 35-17 with most results being similar to 52-0, 55-10, 62-14, 50-0, 55-14 and 48-0. 

 

 

Colorado State at Nevada

Nevada won 21 of 25 simulations.  The Pack won by an average score of 36.3 to 21.6.  The Ram wins were 39-10, 28-12, 25-14 and 34-31.  Nevada 's closest win was 24-21 and the biggest was 41-10. 

 

Colorado State went on to have an average record of 7.1 wins and 4.9 losses.  Their best season was 9-3 achieved twice but they did have a 4-8 record in one simulation.  Still, there is a 96% chance that the Rams will go to a bowl game. 

 

 

Nevada vs. California

Nevada won 16 of 25 simulations, but this one needs more results to officially give the nod to Nevada .  The average score was 36.0 to 28.8 in favor of the Wolf Pack.  Nevada 's biggest win was 381-, although they also had wins of 68-44 and 41-17.  Cal 's biggest win was 31-15. 

 

California had an average season record of 5.7 wins and 6.3 losses.  The Golden Bears' best simulation saw them win 10 games against two losses and yet one simulation was just the reverse at 2-10.  That's an incredibly wide disparity!

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 19 more times to try to get a decisive result.  In those 19 new simulations, Nevada won 14 of them.  Clearly, this new data is sufficient enough to declare this one in the Wolf Pack column.)

 

 

 

Nevada at BYU

Departing Mountain West school BYU is going to be disheartened to hear that incoming MWC school Nevada came out the winner with 16 wins vs. 9 for BYU.  Like the matchup above, this too needs more simulations to be accurate.  But in the 25 simulations here, the average score was Nevada 31.5, BYU 27.3.  The biggest Pack win was 44-17 while the homestanding Cougars' biggest victory was 49-14. 

 

BYU went on to have an average season mark of 8-4.  Their best year was a 10-2 season which they achieved twice.  They also were 5-7 in two simulations.

 

(Note:  Realizing the importance not only in the WAC but on the national state, II simulated this one 19 more times to try to get a decisive result.  In those 19 new simulations, BYU came out on top 10 to 9 .  This is the reason I indicated more simulations were necessary.  After 44 simulations, Nevada holds a 25-19 advantage.  But that isn't enough to give the win to Nevada . It could indeed be a toss-up)

 

 

Nevada at UNLV

Nevada won 24 of 25 simulations against their future conference mate.  The average score was Nevada 38.1, UNLV 12.2.  UNLV's lone win was a 30-27 contest, while Nevada 's biggest win was 45-3. 

 

UNLV had an average season record of 4.1 wins and 7.9 losses.  Their best simulation was a 7-5 mark while they were 2-10 three times. 

 

 

Nevada vs. San Jose State

Nevada won all 25 simulations here, with the average score being 42.2 to 8.5.  The closest game was 34-25 and the biggest win was 59 points (62-3 and 59-0). 

 

 

Nevada at Hawai'i

Nevada won 23 of 25 simulations.  The average score was Nevada 43.5, Hawai'i 21.9.  Hawai'i 's wins were 21-16 and 38-24.  Nevada 's biggest win was 52-10.  Typical games were 49-13, 38-17, 59-27, 51-21, 44-20, 31-20 and 32-20.  

 

 

Nevada at Idaho

Nevada won all 25 simulations.  The average score was 45 to 12.2.  Here is a sample of Nevada wins:  55-10, 68-6, 45-14, 60-24, 37-7, 30-13, 59-7 and 45-17.  It is obvious from looking at Nevada 's simulations that their offense will be on fire. 

 

 

Nevada at Fresno State

Nevada won 19 of 25 simulations against the Bulldogs.  The average score in the 25 simulations was Nevada 38.6, Fresno State 27.8.  Fresno State 's wins were 38-33, 35-13, 45-27, 3824 and 37-31 (twice).  Nevada won some close ones (42-41, 38-35, 38-31 and 31-23) but the rest were by 10 points ore more (59-35, 37-7, 34-17, 46-29, 52-30, 52-24 and 41-27). 

 

 

Nevada vs. New Mexico State

Nevada won all 25 simulations against the Aggies.  The average score was 49.4 to 8.8.  New Mexico State did not score in six simulations, and they were held to 10 or less points in 16 simulations (64%).  Typical scores were 49-0, 59-10, 42-9, 44-7, 70-7, 48-0, 58-0, 59-14 and 59-17. 

 

 

Nevada at Louisiana Tech

Nevada won all 25 simulations against Louisiana Tech as well.  The average score was 46.1 to 12.2.  Typical scores were 35-17, 59-28, 45-10, 59-9, 52-14, 29-6, 48-7 and 28-6. 

 

Analysis:  In the 11 simulation matchups shown above, Nevada was the clear winner in nine of them, and a decided winner in all 11.  Many of the 11 matchups are not close; the two which were (against California and BYU) provided a fairly good sample but more data is needed for the simulations to be a good portrayal of what could actually occur. 

 

Nevada finished in the Top 25 in 17 of the 50 simulations, which means that there is a 34% chance that the Wolf Pack will finish the season nationally-ranked.  Their highest ranking was #2, which put Nevada in the national title game in one simulation.  Nevada finished the year ranked in the Top 10 on seven occasions.  A complete report on national rankings will appear later today in the E/A Sports simulations of Boise State . 

 

Based on the 25 simulations, Nevada likely will win at least nine games.  The two others could go either way, but Nevada is likely going to be favored by the software to win. 

 

After the additional 19 simulations, I was able to call the Cal game but not the BYU game.  The Boise State-Nevada showdown will be profiled in the Boise State simulations.  The software is thus predicting a regular season record anywhere from 10-2 to 12-0.  Nevada made a postseason bowl game in all 25 simulations. 

 

 

 

 

The Fresno State Bulldogs:

 

 

Fresno State vs. Cincinnati

Cincinnati may be favored, but this one went the other way big-time.  The average score was Fresno State 33.0, Cincinnati 26.1.  Cincinnati 's four wins featured one blowout (31-3), two by the count of 27-20 and a 36-34 result.  Fresno State 's wins were 51-17, 48-26, 28-25, 34-3, 37-17, 13-10 and 36-25 for example. 

 

Cincinnati was not nationally-ranked in any of the 25 simulations.  Their average record was 6.4 wins and 5.6 losses.  The best season the Bearcats can hope for is 8-4, which they achieved three times, but a 4-8 season is also possible. 

 

 

Fresno State at Utah State

Fresno State has had to struggle with the Aggies for two consecutive years, but according to the software, Fresno State should win this one.  The Bulldogs won 24 of 25 simulations, with USU 's lone win a 28-27 thriller.  The average score was Fresno State 41.7, Utah State 14.6.  A sample of Fresno 's wins:  56-10, 43-29, 52-13, 41-14, 41-20, 44-27, 34-13, 20-19, 27-0, 37-3 and 52-3. 

 

 

Fresno State at Mississippi

 

This will be one of Fresno 's toughest games.  Ole Miss won 18 of 25 simulations.  The Rebels scored an average of 32.7 to 18.0 for Fresno State .  The Bulldogs won 33-21, 35-31, 23-21, 17-14, 24-17, 17-14 and 34-24.  If the game isn't close, Mississippi will be the one to win—they scored victories of 41-10, 31-7, 51-30, 42-10, 27-9, 42-10 and the like. 

 

Mississippi had an average record of 8.2 wins and 3.8 losses.  In the tough Southeastern Conference, a few bad bounces make all the difference, as the Rebels finished 6-6 four times.  They finished the season ranked in the Top 25 in 10 of the 25 simulations.  They were as high as #2 when they finished 12-0.  So it appears former Bronco Coach Houston Nutt has turned things around down south. 

 

Fresno State vs. Cal Poly

Fresno won all 25 simulations, ranging from the closest game of 25-9 to a 65-0 score.  The average of the 25 games was Fresno State 44.2, Cal Poly 8.2. 

 

 

Fresno State vs. Hawai'i

 

Fresno State won this series, but only but 15 games to 10, again not enough to be conclusive.  The average score was Fresno State 27.0, Hawai'i 27.0—each team had exactly 676 points!  The Warriors won by as little as 27-23 and as much as 31-10.  Fresno State had close wins (16-10, 28-25, and 17-13) and also a few blowouts (41-17, 54-28 and 38-14). 

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 15 more times to try to get a decisive result.  Fresno State won 11 of the 16 and I believe this should be substantial enough to certify the Bulldogs.  They ended up winning 26 of 41 simulations.)

 

 

Fresno State vs. New Mexico State

Fresno State won all 25 simulations, by an average score of 35.7 for the Bulldogs to 11.1 for the Aggies.  Fresno State held New Mexico State to 10 or fewer points in 16 of the 25 simulations.  Fresno 's biggest win in the 25 games was 55-10.  The closest simulation was 38-24. 

 

 

Fresno State at San Jose State

Fresno State won all 25 of these matchups as well.  The average score was Fresno State 38.0, San Jose State 9.6.  The unpredictable nature of college football, however, is illustrated by one simulation in which the Bulldogs escaped with a 34-30 victory.  The most lopsided game was 48-3.

 

 

Fresno State at Louisiana Tech

Fresno State won all 25 of these simulations also.  The average score was Fresno State winning the battle of Bulldogs with 36.8 points per game to 13.5 for Tech.  The closest of the 25 simulations was 30-27 and there was a 34-31 but most were decided by more than 7 points. 

 

 

 

Fresno State vs. Nevada

Nevada won 19 of 25 simulations against the Bulldogs.  The average score in the 25 simulations was Nevada 38.6, Fresno State 27.8.  Fresno State 's wins were 38-33, 35-13, 45-27, 3824 and 37-31 (twice).  Nevada won some close ones (42-41, 38-35, 38-31 and 31-23) but the rest were by 10 points ore more (59-35, 37-7, 34-17, 46-29, 52-30, 52-24 and 41-27). 

 

 

Fresno State vs. Idaho

 

Fresno State won all 25 of these simulations as well.  The average score was Fresno State 37.7, Idaho 10.0.  The closest game was 16-14 but the rest were all decided by more than 13 points.  Fresno 's wins are represented by scores of 37-17, 40-10, 37-6, 48-6, 38-19, 45-10, 33-0, 38-3, 42-0 and 52-0. 

 


Fresno State vs. Illinois

Fresno State won 20 of the 25 simulations, decidedly enough to call the game for the Bulldogs.  Illinois won 32-25, 24-10, 35-31, 27-20 and 24-17.  Fresno State won 21-16 for their closest victory.  The biggest spread was 51-0 for the Bulldogs.  The average score was Fresno State 27.8, Illinois 15.0. 

 

Illinois went on to have an average record of 4 wins and 8 losses.  Their best season was 6-6, achieved four times, while their worst season was 1-11.

 

Analysis:  Fresno State clearly won 8 of 10 matchups, with the Hawai'i game being a toss-up.  (After additional simulations, I have now called that one for Fresno State .)  The Bulldogs qualified for a bowl game in 100% of the simulations.  Thus, with the Boise State result yet to be announced, the Bulldogs have a predicted regular season record of 9-2. 

 

 

The Hawai'i Warriors:

 

 

Hawai'i vs. USC

I already gave you these results Thursday morning, but USC won 24 of 25 simulations.  The only Warrior win was 36-28.  The average score in the simulations was USC 37.2, Hawai'i 13.2.  Obviously, the 49-36 final was much closer than the average.  However, since the software predicted a 36-28 Hawai'i win in one of the 25 simulations, the result is within the range of what was predicted.  The closeness of the score no doubt surprised everyone except E/A Sports and BroncoCountry, which learned that Hawai'i had a 4% chance of winning the morning of the game. 

 

USC went on to have an average record of 9.4 wins and 2.6 losses.  The Trojans' best season was 12-0 while their worst was 7-5

 

 

Hawai'i at Army

 

Hawai'i won 23 of 25 simulations, with the only Army wins being 29-24 and 27-23.  The average score was 33.0 to 13.8 in favor of the Warriors.  Hawai'i held Army to 10 or fewer points in 10 simulations.  The visiting Warriors won by scores of 42-17, 31-10, 44-17, 48-16, 37-13, 38-10, 41-10 and 30-3 for example.

 

Army finished the season with an average record of 3.2 wins and 8.8 losses.  They did have a 5-7 season twice, while their worst year was 2-10, which occurred eight times. 

 

Hawai'i at Colorado

This was fairly close with Colorado winning 17 of 25.  While the Buffaloes won a substantial number, it still is within 15 games and cannot be considered accurate without more simulations.  The average score was Colorado 25.6, Hawai'i 20.0.  Colorado won by as much as 40-3 and 41-14 and as close as 27-24.  Hawai'i 's wins were 17-16, 23-7, 28-17, 38-30, 22-14, 26-20, 42-25 and 14-10. 

 

Colorado is predicted to have a record of about 5-7, with the average being 4.7 wins and 7.3 losses.  Their best season was 7-5, which they achieved four times in 25 simulations.  But they could also have a 1-11 record, which happened once.

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 15 more times to try to get a decisive result.  Colorado won 9 of the 15 new simulations.  That gives them 26 wins against 14 for the Warriors.  I feel confident enough to give this one Colorado .)

 

 

Hawai'i vs. Charleston Southern

 

Hawai'i won all 25 simulations.  The average score was Hawai'i 37.2, Charleston Southern 9.0.  The closest game was 19-13 while Hawai'i also scored a 51-3 win. 

 

 

Hawai'i vs. Louisiana Tech

Hawai'i won 21 of 25 simulations on the island.  Tech's wins were 37-36, 27-20, 33-20 and 30-27.  The Warriors posted wins by as much as 47-7 and 44-6, but they also had a narrow 20-13 win.  The average score was Hawai'i 32.9, Louisiana Tech 13.4.

 

 

Hawai'i at Fresno State

 

Fresno State won this series, but only but 15 games to 10, again not enough to be conclusive.  The average score was Fresno State 27.0, Hawai'i 27.0—each team had exactly 676 points!  The Warriors won by as little as 27-23 and as much as 31-10.  Fresno State had close wins (16-10, 28-25, and 17-13) and also a few blowouts (41-17, 54-28 and 38-14). 

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 15 more times to try to get a decisive result.  Fresno State won 11 of the 16 and I believe this should be substantial enough to certify the Bulldogs.  They ended up winning 26 of 41 simulations.)

 

 

Hawai'i vs. Nevada

Nevada won 23 of 25 simulations.  The average score was Nevada 43.5, Hawai'i 21.9.  Hawai'i 's wins were 21-16 and 38-24.  Nevada 's biggest win was 52-10.  Typical games were 49-13, 38-17, 59-27, 51-21, 44-20, 31-20 and 32-20.  

 

 

Hawai'i at Utah State

Hawai'i won 23 of 25 simulations.  The Utah State wins were 44-26 and 31-27.  The average score was 34.6 to 18.2.  Hawai'i won simulations of 33-14, 37-10, 17-13, 44-10, 45-38, 28-23, 20-17 and 49-10, for example. 

 

 

Hawai'i vs. Idaho

 

Hawai'i won 22 of the 25 simulations.  The average score was 35.5 to 14.2 in favor of the Warriors.  Idaho 's wins were 24-10, 30-17 and 40-33.  Hawai'i won one simulation by a score of 17-3 and another by 24-20.  Most of the rest were more decisive.  The Vandals were held to 14 or fewer points in 15 of the 25 simulations.  The typical wins were 45-14, 34-16, 30-13, 41-12, 42-16, 38-17 and 36-13. 

 

Hawai'i vs. San Jose State

 

Hawai'i won 23 of the 25 simulations.  The average score was Hawai'i 35.6, San Jose State 13.6.  The Spartans were able to win 35-21 and 21-6.  More typical were the Warrior wins of 41-20, 38-7, 39-7, 44-9, 32-6 and 42-21. 

 

 

Hawai'i at New Mexico State

Hawai'i won all of these simulations.  The average score was Hawai'i 37.3, New Mexico State 10.0.  The closest game was 16-14 incredibly enough, while the typical game was 55-10, 44-6, 34-0, 41-24, 48-7 and 41-21. 

 

 

Hawai'i vs. UNLV

 

UNLV won just enough simulations, eight, to throw a monkey wrench into the predictions.  17-8 is not enough of a margin to be significant.  Hawai'i won by an average score of 27.8 to 20.7.  UNLV won one simulation 49-17, showing the unpredictability.  It could be that Hawai'i had several injuries, or committed costly turnovers which resulted in easy Rebel scores but in any case, that result alone shows that this one is too close to call.  Hawai'i won games such as 41-17, 25-20, 48-3, 37-21, 34-24 and 28-22.  But this one needs a bunch more simulations for the software to decide on a winner. 

 

UNLV had an average season record of 4.1 wins and 7.9 losses.  Their best simulation was a 7-5 mark while they were 2-10 three times. 

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 15 more times to try to get a decisive result.  Hawai'i won 9 of the 15 new simulations, giving them a margin of 26-14.  I am confident enough to be able to give this to Hawai'i .)

 

 

Analysis:  Hawai'i won seven of these games clearly, and clearly lost two matchups.  One game was fairly decided in their favor and another was fairly against them and the Fresno game was a toss-up.  After the 15 additional simulations, I can call all three with one going for them and two against.  Thus, the software is predicting Hawai'i will have a regular season record of 8-4.  The Warriors received a postseason bowl berth in all but two simulations (92%). 

 

 

The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs:

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Grambling

 

Tech won all 25 simulations against Boise State 's former I-AA rival.  The average score was Louisiana Tech 35.8, Grambling 11.6.  The closest game was 20-14 while the biggest spread was 38-0. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech at Texas A & M

Tech was not able to win any of these; the Aggies prevailed in all 25.  The average score was A & M 40.5, Louisiana Tech 7.7.  The typical score was 38-14, 53-16, 42-7, 44-14 and 48-3.

 

Texas A & M is going to be a factor this year according to the software.  They finished in the Top 25 in 15 of these 25 simulations, including a #1 ranking after a 12-0 season.  The Aggies' average record was 8.8 wins and 3.2 losses.  Besides the perfect 12-0, they also had an 11-1 season and numerous 10-2 years.  One simulation had them going 6-6 but most simulations resulted in a much better season record than that. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Navy

Louisiana Tech was only able to win 4 of 25.  The software is predicting Navy to have an outstanding year, as they finished in the Top 25 in 7 of the 25 simulations.  The average score was Navy, 34.6, Louisiana Tech 15.6.  Tech's wins were 27-10, 46-43, 21-19 and 28-21 although one loss was 26-25 and another was 37-31.  Navy's biggest win was 41-3.

 

The Midshipmen went on to have an average record of 8.9 wins and 3.1 losses.  Navy finished with an 11-1 record five times and a 10-2 record five times.  Their worst year was 7-5, which occurred five times as well. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Mississippi

Tech had a tough time with the Golden Eagles, only able to win 2 of 25 simulations.  The average score was Southern Mississippi 28.4, Louisiana Tech 12.9.  The only Bulldog wins were 26-19 and 31-27—both occurred when USM had two of their worst seasons.  The only close losses were 24-17, 19-16, 17-16 and 19-14; every other result was 11 points or more (33-7, 29-17, 27-3, 51-6, 35-13, 20-0, 34-21, 34-7, etc.) 

 

Southern Mississippi is projected to have a good season and, depending on how the cards fall, possibly a great one.  Their average record in the 25 simulations was 7.1 wins and 4.9 losses.  Their worst record was 5-7 which happened twice.  In one simulation, everything went right for them and they were 11-1 but in most they were 7-5.  The Golden Eagles finished the season ranked in the Top 25 in two of the 25 simulations.  

 

 

Louisiana Tech at Hawai'i

Hawai'i won 21 of 25 simulations on the island.  Tech's wins were 37-36, 27-20, 33-20 and 30-27.  The Warriors posted wins by as much as 47-7 and 44-6, but they also had a narrow 20-13 win.  The average score was Hawai'i 32.9, Louisiana Tech 13.4.

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Utah State

 

The results of this contest are inconclusive.  Tech won 13 and Utah State 12.  There needs to be a separation of at least 15 games for the results to be accurate.  If you are a fan of either of these two teams (or just want to find out which team is most likely to win), pick up where I left off and keep simulating until one team has a 15-game advantage!  Believe it or not, the average score is just as close—in 25 simulations, each team scored 528 points, for an average of 21.6 points each!  The possible results are all over the map, with Utah State winning by as much as 47-17 and Louisiana Tech winning by as much as 31-6.  Needless to say, this one could go either way.

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 15 more times to try to get a decisive result.  In those 15 new simulations, Louisiana Tech won 9 to 6 for Utah State .  This still isn't enough separation and remains too close to call.)

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Idaho

Louisiana Tech won 19 of 25 simulations.  This is one case in which increased Vandal ratings would necessitate more simulations and could affect the predicted winner.  The average score was Louisiana Tech 22.5, Idaho 16.1.  Idaho 's wins were 16-7, 23-16, 24-19, 24-17, 24-21 and 17-14.  Tech won several close games (28-21, 20-17, 31-24, 23-21, 22-18, 19-13, 24-21 and 31-28).  If the increased ratings put Idaho over the top in all of those games decided by a touchdown or less, they would grab the simulation lead.  As a result, depending on the next three Idaho games, this could be too close to call.

 

(Note:  I simulated this one 11 more times to try to get a decisive result.  In those 11 new simulations, Louisiana Tech won 9 of them.  The total in 36 simulations was Louisiana Tech 28, Idaho 8.  This is plenty of separation to declare Tech the winner.)

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Fresno State

Fresno State won all 25 of these simulations.  The average score was Fresno State winning the battle of Bulldogs with 36.8 points per game to 13.5 for Tech.  The closest of the 25 simulations was 30-27 and there was a 34-31 but most were decided by more than 7 points. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State

The fact that Louisiana Tech did not win all 25 simulations told me right away what kind of season the software expects for the Bulldogs.  Tech won 18 of 25 simulations.  The average score was 25.0 to 17.8 in favor of Louisiana Tech.  The New Mexico State wins were 30-27, 26-20, 27-10, 27-4, 28-24 and 24-17.  Most of the Bulldog wins were close (17-14, 16-10, 24-20, 19-14, 24-20, 20-17, etc.) There was one 41-6 game, a 37-6 win, a 30-7 win and a 30-10 victory. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech at San Jose State

Louisiana Tech won 21 of 25 simulations, with the average score being Tech 27.7, San Jose State 15.4.  The San Jose State wins were 31-24, 17-12, 10-7 and 20-6.  Some games were close in Tech's favor (33-27, 24-17, 22-19, and 21-16) but most were decided by 10 points or more. 

 

 

Louisiana Tech vs. Nevada

Nevada won all 25 simulations against Louisiana Tech as well.  The average score was 46.1 to 12.2.  Typical scores were 35-17, 59-28, 45-10, 59-9, 52-14, 29-6, 48-7 and 28-6. 

 

Analysis:  Tech was 4-6 in 10 matchups that could be called.  The Utah State game is a toss-up and needs many more simulations.  The Bulldogs received bowl invitations in six of the 25 simulations (24%).


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