After Garrett Cross caught an 18-yard TD pass to put Cal up 17-7 in the 4th quarter against Oregon, it appeared that all the Bears had to worry about was running out the clock. The Duck offense had been tepid for three quarters, neither of their two quarterbacks had played all that well, and the Bear defense had another strong effort. Then it got ugly, and by the time Cal departed Autzen Stadium, they had lost 21-17 and would need to win its final two games to reach a bowl.

"> After Garrett Cross caught an 18-yard TD pass to put Cal up 17-7 in the 4th quarter against Oregon, it appeared that all the Bears had to worry about was running out the clock. The Duck offense had been tepid for three quarters, neither of their two quarterbacks had played all that well, and the Bear defense had another strong effort. Then it got ugly, and by the time Cal departed Autzen Stadium, they had lost 21-17 and would need to win its final two games to reach a bowl.

">

Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. Oregon

<p class="txt">After Garrett Cross caught an 18-yard TD pass to put Cal up 17-7 in the 4th quarter against Oregon, it appeared that all the Bears had to worry about was running out the clock. The Duck offense had been tepid for three quarters, neither of their two quarterbacks had played all that well, and the Bear defense had another strong effort. Then it got ugly, and by the time Cal departed Autzen Stadium, they had lost 21-17 and would need to win its final two games to reach a bowl.</p>

Game Ten - November 8, 2003

1 2 3 4 F
California (5-6) 0 10 0 7 17
Oregon (6-4) 0 7 0 14 21

 

By Quarter

CAL OREGON
TOTAL RUN PASS TOTAL RUN PASS
No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg.
1 20 97 4.8 10 35 3.5 10 62 6.2 8 35 4.4 3 21 7.0 5 14 2.8
2 16 50 3.1 8 25 3.1 8 25 3.1 16 94 5.9 7 26 3.7 9 68 7.6
3 11 15 1.4 8 2 0.3 3 13 4.3 13 59 4.6 5 25 5.0 8 34 4.3
4 20 130 6.5 8 29 3.6 12 101 8.4 24 129 5.4 8 20 2.5 16 109 6.8
Tot 67 292 4.5 34 91 2.7 33 201 6.1 61 317 5.2 23 92 4.0 38 225 5.9

Note:   From a yardage standpoint, more than 40% of both teams gains were made in the fourth quarter.  Cal had limited rushing success in the first half and almost none in the second half. What gains they managed were due primarily to Aaron Rodgers running the option play.  Much of Oregon's fourth quarter yardage game on three long passes --  one was a TD pass to a tight end who broke several tackles, one was on a 4th-and-3 where a receiver broke lose for 20 yards, and the third pass went off its intended receiver's hands into the hands of another receiver.  

 

By Down

DOWN CAL OREGON
TOTAL RUN PASS TOTAL RUN PASS
No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg. No. Yds. Avg.
1 29 112 3.8 17 47 2.8 12 65 5.4 26 120 4.7 10 14 1.4 16 106 6.6
2 23 86 3.7 13 39 3.0 10 47 4.7 21 121 5.8 9 73 8.1 12 48 4.0
3 15 94 6.3 4 5 1.3 11 89 8.1 13 56 4.3 4 5 1.3 9 51 5.7
4 -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- 1 20 20.0 -- -- -- 1 20 20.0
Tot 67 292 4.5 34 91 2.7 33 201 6.1 61 317 5.2 23 92 4.0 38 225 5.9

Note:  The Bears didn't run well on first down. In the first quarter, the Bears averaged 3.6 yards a run on 7 first down carries; the rest of the way they averaged 2.2 yards on 10 first down carries.  After taking a 17-7 lead, the Bears had back-to-back possessions where Echemandu ran on 1st, 2nd, and 3rd down - choosing to keep the clock running as opposed to trying any riskier passes.  At the time, the idea made sense because in its previous six possessions, Oregon had managed four first downs and 0 points, coming no closer to scoring than a missed 52-yard field goal and to that point the Ducks hadn't given much of an indication that they'd make a game of it.

 

Passer Analysis

 

 

Succ. % TP FD+TD TP Yds. Avg. Att. Comp. Pct. Yds. FD TD Int. Sacks Scram
Pl. Yds. Pl. Yds.
Aaron Rodgers, CAL 25.0 32 8 32 201 6.3 27 15 55.6 187 7 1 1 2 -12 3 26
Kellen Clemens, OU 26.3 19 5 19 111 5.8 18 9 50.0 117 4 1 0 1 -6 -- --
Jason Fife, OU 26.3 19 5 17 114 6.7 16 8 50.0 108 4 1 0 1 -5 2 11
Game Note:  Rodgers was 7-of-7 for 54 yards in the first quarter and 8-of-20 for 133 yards the rest of the way.  Oregon's unwieldy quarterback rotation appeared to be just that, with Clemens being ineffective during the team's first two possessions and Fife achieving mixed results in the next seven, and Clemens closing out the last three.   Even though Clemens was 8-of-12 for 103 yards in the fourth quarter, the Bear linemen were aware of his tendency to throw low passes, blocked his first pass and came extremely close to knocking down several others.
Note:   The Success Percentage attempts to measure a QB's effectiveness by looking at how often a quarterback achieves a successful result (a first down or touchdown) out of all pass plays attempted. Current QB rating methodology does not include either sacks or scrambles  - this rewards QBs taking sacks instead of throwing incompletions. In addition, QB rating formulas reward the eight-yard pass on 3rd-and-12 (i.e., it's a completion, it's not an interception, and there's an above average yardage gain).  Key: Succ.% - Touchdowns + First Downs/Total Plays, TP - pass attempts + sacks + scrambles, FD - first downs, TD - touchdowns, Yds - Yards, Avg - Average, Att. - Attempts, Comp. - Completions, Pct. - Completion %, Int - Interceptions, Pl. - Plays)

 

Field Position Advantage

  Total 1st Half

2nd Half

  Pos. Avg. Yd. Dif. Pos. Avg. Yd. Dif. Pos. Avg. Yd. Dif.
CAL 12 26.4   5 18.4   7 32.2  
ORE 12 29.0 +31 4 28.0 +20 8 29.5 +11
Note:  For the game, starting field position was relatively equal - with the exception of Rodgers' interception on the next-to-last play of the game, there were no turnovers - which is unusual given the intensity of the rain. On Oregon's first eight possessions, its average starting field position was its 23. For the last four possessions, its average starting position was its 40 - due to good kick returns and a forced Cal punt.
Explanation:  Defense and special team TDs are counted as a +100. If the player had been pushed out of bounds at the opponent's 1-yard line, the team would be credited with a +99. It makes more sense to credit the team with a +100 rather than disregard the number because the offense doesn't have to take the field.

 

Scoring Success Inside 30

  Scores Chances % Pts. Max Pts. MaxPts% TD FG FGM TO Downs Time
CAL 3 3 100.0 17 21 80.9 2 1 0 0 0 0
ORE 2 2 100.0 14 14 100.0 2 0 0 0 0 0
Note:  Both teams were rarely in scoring position, with Cal only crossing the Oregon 30 on three out of 12 possessions, while Oregon only crossed the Bear 30 on two out of 12 possessions.
Explanation: Many announcers will refer to how often a team scores inside the red zone - the opponents' 20-yard line. This seems like a soft standard to use. Once a team is on the opponents' 30-yard line, they would have a field goal in the 47- or 48-yard line range, which should be well within the range of most D-I kickers.  The Max Pts.% figures out how many points a team scores out of a maximum 7 points per possession inside the opponent's 30.   A team which scored six field goals out of six possessions inside the 30 would have a 100% Score% (6/6) but a MaxPts% of 42.9% (18/42).

 

Passes to Cal Receivers

Incompletion Breakdown

Receiver Att. Comp. Yds.
Geoff McArthur 8 5 42 Thrown Away 4
Garrett Cross 4 3 58 Broken Up 3
Brandon Hall 4 2 21 Overthrown 2
A. Echemandu 3 2 38 Low/Bad Call 1
Burl Toler 3 2 24 Drop 1
Chris Manderino 1 1 4 Interception 1
Thrown Away 4 0 0
Note:    Cal made much greater use of the TE in this game than they have in the past. The Bears threw 11 times to WRs, 8 to TEs, and 4 times to RBs. Rodgers threw four passes away which might have looked ugly, but allowed him to avoid the sack. On a first down play early in the fourth quarter, McArthur made a diving catch which was ruled a trap by the referee. Replays showed that the pass was complete.

 

PENALTIES

CAL OFFENSE ORE DEFENSE
10 Holding 5 Offsides
5 False Start 5 Offsides
10 Holding 15 Unsportsmanlike Conduct
5 Delay of Game 6 Pass Interference
5 Illegal Substitution 15 Face Mask
CAL DEFENSE ORE OFFENSE
1 Too Many Men 5 Offsides
5 Delay of Game
10 Holding
CAL SPECIAL TEAMS ORE SPECIAL TEAMS
10 Holding
Note: All of Cal's penalties (7 for 46 yards) came in the second half. For much of the game, the Bears offense came close to having the play clock elapse on them - causing them to burn four time outs (two in each half) during the process.

  

============

CyberBear Staff Writers regularly visit the CyberBears Insider board, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article or about Cal Athletics.

= GreyBear, Webmaster


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