After climbing out of an early second half deficit to take a 38-33 lead, it looked like Cal was primed to stretch their lead and enter the New Year with a three-game winning streak and an Office Depot Golden Bear championship trophy in their pocket. Yet a gritty Air Force team limited the Bear offense to six points in the final eight minutes and emerged as a 49-44 victor, overcoming a magnificent performance by Cal's Leon Powe.

"> After climbing out of an early second half deficit to take a 38-33 lead, it looked like Cal was primed to stretch their lead and enter the New Year with a three-game winning streak and an Office Depot Golden Bear championship trophy in their pocket. Yet a gritty Air Force team limited the Bear offense to six points in the final eight minutes and emerged as a 49-44 victor, overcoming a magnificent performance by Cal's Leon Powe.

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Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. Air Force

<p class="txt">After climbing out of an early second half deficit to take a 38-33 lead, it looked like Cal was primed to stretch their lead and enter the New Year with a three-game winning streak and an Office Depot Golden Bear championship trophy in their pocket. Yet a gritty Air Force team limited the Bear offense to six points in the final eight minutes and emerged as a 49-44 victor, overcoming a magnificent performance by Cal's Leon Powe.</p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Leon Powe 29 38 33 +5
Rodrique Benson 6 8 5 +3
Ayinde Ubaka 32 38 36 +2
Marquise Kately 24 23 21 +2
David Paris 2 0 0 0
Martin Smith 0+ 0 1 -1
Richard Midgley 32 36 41 -5
Dominic McGuire 22 25 31 -6
Amit Tamir 33 38 45 -7
A.J. Diggs 15 14 21 -7
Conor Famulener 5 0 11 -11

Comment:  Powe was the only player who had a standout +/- number - in the first half only he (+10), Ubaka (+8), and McGuire (+2) had positive numbers...Powe's 25 points came in 29 minutes, during which Cal only scored 38 points, meaning that he accounted for 66% of the Bears' offense when he was on the floor...Famulener had one of his worst +/- games, going -11 in five minutes of play. When he was on the floor, Cal didn't score...Going down the stretch Braun substituted defense for offense, using Diggs and Famulener for Midgley and Powe during the last five minutes of play. During this spell, Powe was +1, Midgley was 0, Famulener was -4 and  Diggs was -5. If the final +/- numbers were adjusted so that the difference was evenly split, the revised numbers would have Powe finishing at a +1.5, Diggs at -4.5,  Midgley at -7.5, and Famulener at -9.5....

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Leon Powe, 20-10, +10
Second Half Top - Marquise Kately - 14-11, +3

First Half Bottom - Conor Famulener, 0-7, -7
Second Half Bottom - Ayinde Ubaka, 20-26, -6

Difference Maker


Leon Powe in 29 minutes - 38-33, +5
Without Powe in 11 minutes - 6-16, -10


Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Benson 1.33
Powe 1.31
Ubaka 1.19
Tamir 1.15
McGuire 1.13
Midgley 1.13
TEAM 1.10
Kately 0.96
Diggs 0.93
Paris 0.00
Famulener 0.00
Smith 0.00

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Paris 0.00
Benson 0.83
Kately 0.88
Smith 1.00
Ubaka 1.12
Powe 1.14
TEAM 1.23
Midgley 1.28
Tamir 1.36
Diggs 1.40
McGuire 1.41
Famulener 2.20

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Powe 29 -3.63 +5 +8.63
Ubaka 32 -4.00 +2 +6.00
Kately 24 -3.00 +2 +5.00
Benson 6 -0.75 +3 +3.75
Paris 2 -0.25 0 +0.25
Smith 0+ -0.13 -1 -0.87
Midgley 32 -4.00 -5 -1.00
Tamir 33 -4.13 -7 -2.87
McGuire 22 -2.75 -6 -3.25
Diggs 15 -1.88 -7 -5.12
Famulener 5 -0.63 -11 -10.37

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

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