PLUS/MINUS vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Comment: The loss overshadowed a return to form for Amit Tamir. Setting up at times from the high post and low post, he was able to nail a couple of turnaround jumpers, successfully pass out of the double team, and come tantalizing close to hitting cutters for open baskets. His effectiveness of passing out of the double-team was such that later in the game, the Cougars stopped using it...The Cougars were successful in double- and triple-teaming Powe early; the Bear offense couldn't take advantage of that for easy scores. Powe didn't force the ball (at least early, he didn't), but he wasn't able to work his way to the free throw line either. With Cal likely to see a heavy dose of this sort of defense from here on in, look for the Bears to find ways to get him the ball as he's moving to the basket... One problem that has continued to dog Cal lately is it's inability to hold a second-half lead. The Bears have lost second-half leads against Cal Poly, BYU, St. Joseph's, Air Force, Washington, and now Washington State. While the Bears did manage wins against BYU and Washington - generally they're still learning to play with a lead and finding ways to put teams away.
First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)
First Half Top - Martin Smith - 9-6 and Dominic McGuire - 11-8, +3
Second Half Top - Dominic McGuire - 6-6, 0
First Half Bottom - Marquise Kately - 18-21, -3
Second Half Bottom - Leon Powe - 17-22 and Richard Midgley - 15-20, -5
Amit Tamir in 34:41 - 43-43, 0
Without Tamir in 5:19 - 7-12, -5
Dominic McGuire in 15:29 - 17-14, +3
Without McGuire in 24:31 - 33-41, -8
Martin Smith in 7:34 - 9-6, +3
Without Smith in 32:26 - 41-49, -8
Ubaka, Midgley, Kately, Powe and Tamir in 15:24 - 19-23, -4
All other combinations in 24:36 - 31-32, -1
*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.
*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.
Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.
Comment: Cal didn't use the "second unit" against Washington State - in the first half the Bears substituted both Powe and Tamir early in the first half, and Ubaka, Midgley, and Kately a little later in the first half. All five starters were on the floor during Washington State's late game run where they extended the lead from 49-48 with 3:57 left to 53-48 with 2:49 left. One area of concern might be the heavy minutes that some of the players are accumulating and how this might affect their sharpness towards the end of the game. In the second half, Tamir played 18:06, Powe played 17:17 and Kately played 16:00. Cal's most impressive win this season was against Wyoming - when Powe and Tamir had to sit out a significant amount of time in the first half with foul trouble, but had significantly less game mileage on them when the Bears were able to break the game open. But it should be pointed out that playing 35 minutes in a game with this pacing is far different than playing 35 minutes in a game where the teams are both scoring in the 80s.
|Point Distribution Chart|
|It's never a good sign when the percentage of points scored on three-pointers creeps up into the 40% range. For most teams it's tough to win games on a regular basis if they have to be that reliant on the three-point shot. Only one Bear had more than two two-point field goals. The most glaring number is that Leon Powe had no field goals. The Cougars did a terrifc job of double-teaming him - a good counter would have involved quick ball movement and decisive action, preventing the defense from fully resetting, but Cal struggled with that. With teams tending to be copycats in exploiting opponent's flaws - as an example, go to football season, where Oregon looked invincible early. Washington State picked up a problem in the Duck passing attack and Kellen Clemens' effectiveness tailed off considerably the rest of the season - at least against teams where the pass rushers remembered to keep their hands up - look for Powe to be double-teamed extensively the rest of the season.|
|TP - total points; 2pt. - points scored on 2 pt. field goals; 3pt. - points scored on 3 pt. field goals; FT - points scored on free throws; 2pt% - % of points scored on 2 pt field goals, 3pt - % of points scored on 3 pt. field goals, FT% - % of points scored on free throws; LYFT - last year's % of points scored on free throws|
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