Air Force Good Test For Bears

<p class=txt>The time has come. At 9 a.m. Pacific Daylight Time Saturday you can put away preseason rankings and last year's bowl game victory. All the other preseason hype does not mean a thing. Preseason becomes season and Cal fans will finally get a chance to see how good the 2004 edition of Cal football is.

As is the case with any opening game, this one has an abundance of questions. How good is Cal? How good is Air Force? Will the option cause problems? How did the off-season surgeries go? Will the altitude be a factor? Why are they playing soooooo early in the morning?

Last question first. They are playing so early because ESPN asked them to and signed a fat check to sweeten the deal 

Last time these two teams met was during the 2002 season at Berkeley. The Falcons came into Strawberry Canyon ranked 23rd in the nation, and Cal was fresh off a road win against a highly touted Michigan State team. The Bears lost 23-21 giving up two touchdowns in the fourth quarter before scoring themselves with thirty-one seconds left. Only a failed two-point conversion kept the game from going into overtime.

The 2004 Bears are a much better football team than the 2002 Bears. But what about Air Force? The Falcons return only six starters, but Cal Coach Jeff Tedford is not letting that fool anybody.

"I think it's a little misleading to say that they only have six starters back, said Tedford. "(Other players) may not have been (among the) six starters, but they played. There are a lot of guys on their list that made tackles last year, so we understand that they have played. Maybe they weren't listed as starters, but they have experience on the field."

In the 20 years that Fisher DeBerry has been head coach, Air Force has been the epitome of "they do what they do." They run a modified wishbone/option attack and it changes very little with different personnel, perhaps as you would expect from a military academy team.

Where Air Force's inexperience will show most is at quarterback. DeBerry selected freshman Shaun Carney as his starter this week. Replacing Chance Harridge who the Falcons lost to graduation was going to be tough even if Harridge's heir apparent (Adam Fitch) had not ruptured an Achilles tendon in spring practice, or if Fitch's heir apparent (Andy Gray) had not lost the job to Carney. 

DeBerry said all the right things in naming the freshman to run his offense.

"Shaun Carney gives us the best chance at this time to beat the University of California," DeBerry said. "He brings a great deal of confidence to the field and just makes plays. He (Carney) played at the Prep School and gained a lot of experience playing against good junior college teams last year. Competition does not seem to bother Carney, it seems to excite him. This young man has something special."

The young man may "have something special," but usually when a true freshman beats out a junior it is more a matter of "(the junior) can't play" than "wow (the freshman) is great." Especially true at a place like Air Force that does not specialize in highly recruited quarterbacks.

In addition to the inexperience at quarterback, none of the Falcon offensive or defensive linemen were starters last year, the defense returns only three starters, and both the punter and kicker were lost to graduation.

In the plus column for Air Force is the altitude. Simply put, they are used to it while everyone else is not. Other positives are the Falcon's phenomenal record in home openers under DeBerry (17-3), and just who they are. They are the Air Force Academy. You know they are not going to quit. Cal will have to stay focused and overcome the awe and pageantry involved with an Air Force home opener. 

So, what is in Cal's plus and minus column, and how do they approach the task at hand? For starters, Cal is bigger, faster, stronger, and more experienced. They are the better team. The better team does not always win. 

Cal needs to start fast. Offensively they need to control the ball and put points on the board early. The Air Force offense is not designed to play catch-up. The best counter to altitude is a lead and a ticking clock. Look for a combination of mis-direction plays and a vertical game to Geoff McArthur, Chase Lyman, and Jonathan Makonnen, combined with some smash-mouth football to make use of Cal's size and strength advantages. The Cal offense must make this an athletic battle, not a tactical one. 

Defensively Cal will want to confuse and disrupt. "Shock and awe" would be the ideal tactic against the Air Force. This would be a great game for Lorenzo to Alexander to step-up and establish himself as a dominant tackle. If the Cal defense is able move the line of scrimmage and gain numerical superiority at the point of attack, Air Force will not be able to move the ball. 

Most football games are won at the line scrimmage and that may be even more true here than in other games. Cal's trademark in the Tedford years has been taking care of business on the road. If they stick to their fundamental superiority, they should win. Against a disciplined Air Force team, it won't be easy.

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As is the case with any opening game, this one has an abundance of questions. How good is Cal? How good is Air Force? Will the option cause problems? How did the off-season surgeries go? Will the altitude be a factor? Why are they playing soooooo early in the morning?

Last question first. They are playing so early because ESPN asked them to and signed a fat check to sweeten the deal 

Last time these two teams met was during the 2002 season at Berkeley. The Falcons came into Strawberry Canyon ranked 23rd in the nation, and Cal was fresh off a road win against a highly touted Michigan State team. The Bears lost 23-21 giving up two touchdowns in the fourth quarter before scoring themselves with thirty-one seconds left. Only a failed two-point conversion kept the game from going into overtime.

The 2004 Bears are a much better football team than the 2002 Bears. But what about Air Force? The Falcons return only six starters, but Cal Coach Jeff Tedford is not letting that fool anybody.

\"I think it's a little misleading to say that they only have six starters back, said Tedford. \"(Other players) may not have been (among the) six starters, but they played. There are a lot of guys on their list that made tackles last year, so we understand that they have played. Maybe they weren't listed as starters, but they have experience on the field.\"

In the 20 years that Fisher DeBerry has been head coach, Air Force has been the epitome of \"they do what they do.\" They run a modified wishbone/option attack and it changes very little with different personnel, perhaps as you would expect from a military academy team.

Where Air Force's inexperience will show most is at quarterback. DeBerry selected freshman Shaun Carney as his starter this week. Replacing Chance Harridge who the Falcons lost to graduation was going to be tough even if Harridge's heir apparent (Adam Fitch) had not ruptured an Achilles tendon in spring practice, or if Fitch's heir apparent (Andy Gray) had not lost the job to Carney. 

DeBerry said all the right things in naming the freshman to run his offense.

\"Shaun Carney gives us the best chance at this time to beat the University of California,\" DeBerry said. \"He brings a great deal of confidence to the field and just makes plays. He (Carney) played at the Prep School and gained a lot of experience playing against good junior college teams last year. Competition does not seem to bother Carney, it seems to excite him. This young man has something special.\"

The young man may \"have something special,\" but usually when a true freshman beats out a junior it is more a matter of \"(the junior) can't play\" than \"wow (the freshman) is great.\" Especially true at a place like Air Force that does not specialize in highly recruited quarterbacks.

In addition to the inexperience at quarterback, none of the Falcon offensive or defensive linemen were starters last year, the defense returns only three starters, and both the punter and kicker were lost to graduation.

In the plus column for Air Force is the altitude. Simply put, they are used to it while everyone else is not. Other positives are the Falcon's phenomenal record in home openers under DeBerry (17-3), and just who they are. They are the Air Force Academy. You know they are not going to quit. Cal will have to stay focused and overcome the awe and pageantry involved with an Air Force home opener. 

So, what is in Cal's plus and minus column, and how do they approach the task at hand? For starters, Cal is bigger, faster, stronger, and more experienced. They are the better team. The better team does not always win. 

Cal needs to start fast. Offensively they need to control the ball and put points on the board early. The Air Force offense is not designed to play catch-up. The best counter to altitude is a lead and a ticking clock. Look for a combination of mis-direction plays and a vertical game to Geoff McArthur, Chase Lyman, and Jonathan Makonnen, combined with some smash-mouth football to make use of Cal's size and strength advantages. The Cal offense must make this an athletic battle, not a tactical one. 

Defensively Cal will want to confuse and disrupt. \"Shock and awe\" would be the ideal tactic against the Air Force. This would be a great game for Lorenzo to Alexander to step-up and establish himself as a dominant tackle. If the Cal defense is able move the line of scrimmage and gain numerical superiority at the point of attack, Air Force will not be able to move the ball. 

Most football games are won at the line scrimmage and that may be even more true here than in other games. Cal's trademark in the Tedford years has been taking care of business on the road. If they stick to their fundamental superiority, they should win. Against a disciplined Air Force team, it won't be easy.

©Copyright 2004, GoCyberBears.com and The Insiders. All rights reserved.

============

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to CyberBears so that you can participate in the CyberBear Insider community - and get access to the premium content across the entire Insider's network.

CyberBear Staff Writers regularly visit the CyberBears Insider board, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article or about Cal Athletics.

= GreyBear, Webmaster

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