Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. UC Riverside

<p><i>The basketball version of Fun With Numbers looks at the plus/minus for each Cal player, how the team is affected by its most efficient player performance that game, a contribution evaluation chart, and a point distribution chart. For the first two games of this season, the basketball version of Fun With Numbers is presented compliments of The Bear Insider. To read it regularly, sign up for a subscription. </p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Richard Midgley 24 46 26 +20
Dominic McGuire 25 45 28 +17
Martin Smith 18 40 26 +14
David Paris 22 47 33 +14
Eric Vierniesel 18 44 30 +14
Rodrique Benson 13 20 12 +8
Ayinde Ubaka 25 41 37 +4
Marquise Kately 29 46 43 +3
Kevin Langford 10 21 23 -2
DeVon Hardin 11 23 26 -3
Alex Pribble 6 17 21 -4

Comment:   Although the final score would suggest that the game was reasonably close, the Bears were up by 20 for the entire second half and were never seriously threatened. Early on, a few substitution patterns did emerge - Midgley and Ubaka saw the lion's share of minutes at the guard positions with Smith filling in. Viernesel alternated with Kately, occupying the role that McGuire played last season. Between Benson and McGuire, Cal used Langford, Paris and Hardin as frontcourt reserves, mixing and matching them in just about every combination possible...One thing to keep an eye on is how the prospect of early foul trouble would affect the lineup. In the first half, Benson picked up his second foul at the 14:58 mark - Benson sat for the rest of the half and was immediately replaced by Langford. In the second half, McGuire picked up his third foul at the 18:48 mark and was immediately replaced by Paris...Cal was a +20 during Midgley's 24 minutes, in the remaining 16 minutes, Cal played the Highlanders just about even - although UC Riverside did trim seven points off the lead during mop-up time in the last 8:28 of the game....

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Dominic McGuire - 33-13, +20
Second Half Top - Rod Benson - 11-5, +6

First Half Bottom - Rod Benson - 9-7, +2
Second Half Bottom - Devon Hardin - 16-24 and Kevin Langford 12-19, -7

Difference Makers


Richard Midgley in 24:27 - 46-26, +20
Without Midgley in 15:33 - 32-35, -3

Dominic McGuire in 24:49 - 45-28, +17
Without McGuire in 15:11 - 33-33, even

Starting Lineup

Ubaka, Midgley, Kately, McGuire and Benson in 6:14 - 9-7, +2
All other combinations in 33:46 - 69-54, +15

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Pribble 2.83
Vierniesel 2.44
Smith 2.22
Paris 2.14
Langford 2.10
TEAM 1.95
Midgley 1.92
Hardin 1.92
McGuire 1.80
Ubaka 1.64
Kately 1.58
Benson 1.54

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Benson 0.92
Midgley 1.08
McGuire 1.12
Smith 1.44
Kately 1.44
Ubaka 1.48
Paris 1.50
TEAM 1.53
Vierniesel 1.66
Hardin 2.17
Langford 2.30
Pribble 3.50

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Midgley 24 +10.20 +20 +9.80
McGuire 25 +10.63 +17 +6.37
Smith 18 +7.65 +14 +6.35
Vierniesel 18 +7.65 +14 +6.35
Paris 22 +9.35 +14 +5.65
Benson 13 +5.53 +8 +3.27
Langford 10 +4.25 -2 -6.25
Pribble 6 +2.55 -4 -6.55
Ubaka 25 +10.63 +4 -6.63
Hardin 11 +4.68 -3 -7.68
Kately 29 +12.33 +3 -9.33

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Point Distribution Chart

  TP 2pt 3pt FT 2pt% 3pt% FT%
David Paris 16 10 0 6 62.5% 0 37.5%
Eric Vierniesel 12 0 12 0 0 100% 0%
Richard Midgley 9 6 0 3 66.7% 0 33.3%
Marquise Kately 9 6 0 3 66.7% 0 33.3%
Dominic McGuire 8 6 0 2 75.0% 0 25.0%
Rod Benson 8 4 0 4 50.0% 0 50.0%
Ayinde Ubaka 8 0 6 2 0 75.0% 25.0%
Martin Smith 2 2 0 0 100% 0 0
Kevin Langford 2 0 0 2 0 0 100%
DeVon Hardin 2 2 0 0 100% 0 0
Alex Pribble 2 2 0 0 100% 0 0
Cal 78 38 18 22 48.7% 23.1% 28.2%
UC Riverside 61 34 15 12 55.7% 24.6% 19.7%
TP - total points; 2pt. - points scored on 2 pt. field goals; 3pt. - points scored on 3 pt. field goals; FT - points scored on free throws; 2pt% - % of points scored on 2 pt field goals, 3pt - % of points scored on 3 pt. field goals, FT% - % of points scored on free throws; LYFT - last year's % of points scored on free throws.

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If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

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   Although the final score would suggest that the game was reasonably close, the Bears were up by 20 for the entire second half and were never seriously threatened. Early on, a few substitution patterns did emerge - Midgley and Ubaka saw the lion's share of minutes at the guard positions with Smith filling in. Viernesel alternated with Kately, occupying the role that McGuire played last season. Between Benson and McGuire, Cal used Langford, Paris and Hardin as frontcourt reserves, mixing and matching them in just about every combination possible...One thing to keep an eye on is how the prospect of early foul trouble would affect the lineup. In the first half, Benson picked up his second foul at the 14:58 mark - Benson sat for the rest of the half and was immediately replaced by Langford. In the second half, McGuire picked up his third foul at the 18:48 mark and was immediately replaced by Paris...Cal was a +20 during Midgley's 24 minutes, in the remaining 16 minutes, Cal played the Highlanders just about even - although UC Riverside did trim seven points off the lead during mop-up time in the last 8:28 of the game....

(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Dominic McGuire - 33-13, +20
Second Half Top - Rod Benson - 11-5, +6

First Half Bottom - Rod Benson - 9-7, +2
Second Half Bottom - Devon Hardin - 16-24 and Kevin Langford 12-19, -7


Richard Midgley in 24:27 - 46-26, +20
Without Midgley in 15:33 - 32-35, -3

Dominic McGuire in 24:49 - 45-28, +17
Without McGuire in 15:11 - 33-33, even

Ubaka, Midgley, Kately, McGuire and Benson in 6:14 - 9-7, +2
All other combinations in 33:46 - 69-54, +15

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

©Copyright 2004, TheBearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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