Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. Colorado

<p>Although California lost to see its record slip to 4-3, they can take some consolation in the effort of Rod Benson (25 points), and some stellar bench play from reserves Martin Smith (+8) and Eric Vierniesel (+4)</p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Martin Smith 16 33 25 +8
Eric Vierniesel 13 27 23 +4
David Paris 18 25 23 +2
Kevin Langford 7 11 10 +1
Rod Benson 34 53 53 0
Richard Midgley 35 54 56 -2
Marquise Kately 31 40 47 -7
DeVon Hardin 19 28 38 -10
Dominic McGuire 24 29 40 -11

Comment:   California came out strong in the first half, jumping out to leads of 11-4 and 17-10, before the Buffaloes rallied a little to keep the game close. With the Bears taking a halftime 30-23 lead, nobody in foul trouble and the Bears getting good bench production from David Paris and Martin Smith - they were in a good position to start the second half.  But in the second half, the Buffaloes roared out to a 11-1 run to take a 34-31 lead. Curiously, Cal did not call time out during that run, instead choosing to wait for the automatic timeout with less than 16 minutes to go in the half. The lead went back and forth for much of the second half, until the Buffaloes until Colorado jumped ahead, 59-57 with 1:23 to go.  Except for a three-point jumper at the buzzer, the Bears were unable to score the rest of the way...Rod Benson continues his string of strong performances. He scored 21 of Cal's first 40 points, but only four of the team's last 20...Aside from Benson's 11-for-18, the rest of the team shot 12-of-42 from the field.

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Rod Benson - 26-14, +12
Second Half Top - Martin Smith + Eric Vierniesel 21-14, +7

First Half Bottom - Eric Vierniesel - 6-9, -3
Second Half Bottom - Dominic McGuire - 9-26, -17

Difference Makers


Martin Smith in 16:21 - 33-25, +8
Without Smith in 23:39 - 27-38, -11

Eric Vierniesel in 13:34 - 27-23, +4
Without Vierniesel in 26:26 - 33-40, -7

Starting Lineup

Ubaka, Midgley, Kately, McGuire and Benson in 14:02 - 16-28, -12
All other combinations in 25:58 - 44-35, +9

Backcourt #2

Vierniesel and Smith in 13:14 - 27-23, +4
All other combinations in 26:46 - 33-40, -7

Thick and Thin

Benson and Paris in 13:11 - 21-16, +5
All other combinations in 26:49 - 39-47, -8

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Smith 16 -1.20 +8 +9.20
Vierniesel 13 -0.98 +4 +4.98
Paris 18 -1.35 +2 +3.35
Benson 34 -2.55 0 +2.55
Langford 7 -0.53 +1 +1.53
Midgley 35 -2.63 -2 +0.63
Kately 31 -2.33 -7 -4.67
Hardin 19 -1.43 -10 -8.57
McGuire 24 -1.80 -11 -9.20

Note:  The Bears got a  nice pick-up from the play of Smith and Vierniesel. The were oncourt together for much of the evening, and accounted for a +4 in slightly more than 13 minutes. Usually both of them were swapped in for McGuire and Kately. While one might wonder where the offense was going to come from with a Smith/Vierniesel backcourt, they were actualy more productive than Kately and McGuore.

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

 


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   California came out strong in the first half, jumping out to leads of 11-4 and 17-10, before the Buffaloes rallied a little to keep the game close. With the Bears taking a halftime 30-23 lead, nobody in foul trouble and the Bears getting good bench production from David Paris and Martin Smith - they were in a good position to start the second half.  But in the second half, the Buffaloes roared out to a 11-1 run to take a 34-31 lead. Curiously, Cal did not call time out during that run, instead choosing to wait for the automatic timeout with less than 16 minutes to go in the half. The lead went back and forth for much of the second half, until the Buffaloes until Colorado jumped ahead, 59-57 with 1:23 to go.  Except for a three-point jumper at the buzzer, the Bears were unable to score the rest of the way...Rod Benson continues his string of strong performances. He scored 21 of Cal's first 40 points, but only four of the team's last 20...Aside from Benson's 11-for-18, the rest of the team shot 12-of-42 from the field.

(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Rod Benson - 26-14, +12
Second Half Top - Martin Smith + Eric Vierniesel 21-14, +7

First Half Bottom - Eric Vierniesel - 6-9, -3
Second Half Bottom - Dominic McGuire - 9-26, -17


Martin Smith in 16:21 - 33-25, +8
Without Smith in 23:39 - 27-38, -11

Eric Vierniesel in 13:34 - 27-23, +4
Without Vierniesel in 26:26 - 33-40, -7

Ubaka, Midgley, Kately, McGuire and Benson in 14:02 - 16-28, -12
All other combinations in 25:58 - 44-35, +9

Backcourt #2

Vierniesel and Smith in 13:14 - 27-23, +4
All other combinations in 26:46 - 33-40, -7

Thick and Thin

Benson and Paris in 13:11 - 21-16, +5
All other combinations in 26:49 - 39-47, -8

  The Bears got a  nice pick-up from the play of Smith and Vierniesel. The were oncourt together for much of the evening, and accounted for a +4 in slightly more than 13 minutes. Usually both of them were swapped in for McGuire and Kately. While one might wonder where the offense was going to come from with a Smith/Vierniesel backcourt, they were actualy more productive than Kately and McGuore.

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

 

©Copyright 2004, TheBearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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