Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. UCLA

<p><em><small>David Paris works his way past UCLA's Lorenzo Mata. (AP Photo/Chris Pizzello)</p></em></small> <p>Behind career highs of 20 points for David Paris and 14 rebounds for Rod Benson, the California Golden Bears stunned the UCLA Bruins 64-51 at Haas Pavilion. Cal roared out of the gate to a 24-12 lead as the Bruins were unable to solve the Bears' zone defense - shooting 30% from the field and 5-of-27 from three-point territory.</p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Dominic McGuire 23 35 17 +18
David Paris 27 49 35 +14
Ayinde Ubaka 28 49 35 +14
Martin Smith 34 53 40 +13
Rod Benson 30 44 37 +7
Marquise Kately 16 20 14 +6
Alex Pribble 7 15 13 +2
Kevin Langford 7 14 14 0
DeVon Hardin 13 15 16 -1
Eric Vierneisel 14 23 26 -3
Steve Panawek 1 3 8 -5

Comment:    California gradually worked its way to a 24-12 first half lead, stretched its advantage to 15 at halftime, and then saw the lead go as low as 10 and as high as 21 in the first half.  While UCLA's three-point shooting woes contributed to the Bruins first half offensive sputter, the Bears used a zone defense, often with Benson and McGuire at the wings, forcing the Bruins to shoot over tall defenders who also leap well.

David Paris played perhaps his best game as a Bear, scoring a career-high 20 points, making aggressive moves to the basket, and on one fast break play beating the entire Bruin defense downcourt for an easy basket. The Bruins did begin the second half by double-teaming Paris (and later Benson), which helped them close the deficit from 15 (33-18) to 10 (41-31), but they eventually went away from that strategy, allowing Paris to score easily against Michael Fey and Lorenzo Mata.

Although Dominic McGuire had a modest game by box score standards (8 points, 3 assists, 1 rebound, and 1 block), he topped the bears with a +18 while he was on the floor. Cal's defense played its best during the 23 minutes that he was on the floor, as the Bears allowed only UCLA 17 points (0.74 points/minute). During the 17 minutes that he sat, Cal gave up 34 points (2.00 pts/min)

Also faring well were Ayinde Ubaka (+14 in 27 minutes), Paris (+14 in 28 minutes), and Martin Smith (+13 in 30 minutes).

After being held scoreless for five minutes during the late stages of the second half, UCLA scored 11 points in the final two minutes, including 8 in the final 36 seconds, which will have adverse impacts on the numbers for the lineup that was on the court at the time - Vierneisel, Panawek, Langford, Pribble, and Hardin.

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Martin Smith - 31-18, +13
Second Half Top - Dominic McGuire - 18-9, +9

First Half Bottom - Kevin Langford - 6-6, 0
Second Half Bottom - Eric Vierneisel - 9-18, -9

Difference Makers


With Dominic McGuire in 23 minutes - 35-17, +18
Without McGuire in 17 minutes - 29-34, -5

With David Paris in 27 minutes - 49-35, +14
Without Paris in 13 minutes - 15-16, -1

With Ayinde Ubaka in 28 minutes - 49-35, +14
Without Ubaka in 12 minutes - 15-16, -1

Starting Lineup/Other Lineups

Ubaka, Smith, Vierneisel, Langford and Paris in 3:59 - 6-6, 0 
Ubaka, Smith, McGuire, Benson and Paris in 4:20  - 11-3, +8
All other combinations in 31:41 - 47-42, +5

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Panawek 3.00
Pribble 2.14
Langford 2.00
Paris 1.81
Ubaka 1.75
Vierneisel 1.64
TEAM 1.60
Smith 1.56
McGuire 1.52
Benson 1.48
Kately 1.25
Hardin 1.15

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
McGuire 0.74
Kately 0.87
Smith 1.17
Benson 1.23
Hardin 1.23
Ubaka 1.25
TEAM 1.28
Paris 1.29
Pribble 1.85
Vierneisel 1.86
Langford 2.00
Panawek 8.00

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
McGuire 23 +7.48 +18 +10.52
Paris 27 +8.78 +14 +5.22
Ubaka 28 +9.10 +14 +4.90
Smith 34 +11.05 +13 +1.95
Kately 16 +5.20 +6 +0.80
Pribble 7 +2.28 +2 -0.28
Langford 7 +2.28 0 -2.28
Benson 30 +9.75 +7 -2.75
Hardin 13 +4.25 -1 -5.25
Panawek 1 +0.33 -5 -5.33
Vierneisel 14 +4.55 -3 -7.55

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Scoring Pull

Player Minutes Team Points Scored Player Points Scored %
Paris 27 49 20 40.8
Benson 30 44 14 31.8
Hardin 13 15 4 26.7
McGuire 23 35 8 22.8
Langford 7 14 2 14.2
Smith 34 53 6 11.3
Ubaka 28 49 4 8.2
Kately 16 20 1 5.0
Vierneisel 14 23 0 0
Pribble 7 15 0 0
Panawek 1 3 0 0

Description:  This chart measures the amount of a team's points a player scores while he's on the floor.  For example, when David Paris was on the floor, the Bears scored 49 points. Of those 49 points, Paris scored 20, giving him a percentage of 40.8.


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    California gradually worked its way to a 24-12 first half lead, stretched its advantage to 15 at halftime, and then saw the lead go as low as 10 and as high as 21 in the first half.  While UCLA's three-point shooting woes contributed to the Bruins first half offensive sputter, the Bears used a zone defense, often with Benson and McGuire at the wings, forcing the Bruins to shoot over tall defenders who also leap well.

David Paris played perhaps his best game as a Bear, scoring a career-high 20 points, making aggressive moves to the basket, and on one fast break play beating the entire Bruin defense downcourt for an easy basket. The Bruins did begin the second half by double-teaming Paris (and later Benson), which helped them close the deficit from 15 (33-18) to 10 (41-31), but they eventually went away from that strategy, allowing Paris to score easily against Michael Fey and Lorenzo Mata.

Although Dominic McGuire had a modest game by box score standards (8 points, 3 assists, 1 rebound, and 1 block), he topped the bears with a +18 while he was on the floor. Cal's defense played its best during the 23 minutes that he was on the floor, as the Bears allowed only UCLA 17 points (0.74 points/minute). During the 17 minutes that he sat, Cal gave up 34 points (2.00 pts/min)

Also faring well were Ayinde Ubaka (+14 in 27 minutes), Paris (+14 in 28 minutes), and Martin Smith (+13 in 30 minutes).

After being held scoreless for five minutes during the late stages of the second half, UCLA scored 11 points in the final two minutes, including 8 in the final 36 seconds, which will have adverse impacts on the numbers for the lineup that was on the court at the time - Vierneisel, Panawek, Langford, Pribble, and Hardin.

(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Martin Smith - 31-18, +13
Second Half Top - Dominic McGuire - 18-9, +9

First Half Bottom - Kevin Langford - 6-6, 0
Second Half Bottom - Eric Vierneisel - 9-18, -9


With Dominic McGuire in 23 minutes - 35-17, +18
Without McGuire in 17 minutes - 29-34, -5

With David Paris in 27 minutes - 49-35, +14
Without Paris in 13 minutes - 15-16, -1

With Ayinde Ubaka in 28 minutes - 49-35, +14
Without Ubaka in 12 minutes - 15-16, -1

Ubaka, Smith, Vierneisel, Langford and Paris in 3:59 - 6-6, 0 
Ubaka, Smith, McGuire, Benson and Paris in 4:20  - 11-3, +8
All other combinations in 31:41 - 47-42, +5

Offensive Efficiency

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Scoring Pull

  This chart measures the amount of a team's points a player scores while he's on the floor.  For example, when David Paris was on the floor, the Bears scored 49 points. Of those 49 points, Paris scored 20, giving him a percentage of 40.8.

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If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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