Fun With Numbers - Cal vs. Oregon

<p>Marquise Kately had one of his best games of the year, scoring 15 points in 24 minutes and have a +12 plus/minus number in Cal's 65-62 win over Oregon at Haas Pavilion on Thursday. Yet Kately was second on the team to DeVon Hardin's +14 in just 14 minutes reflecting a contribution far deeper than his 4 points and 3 rebounds would indicate.</p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
DeVon Hardin 14 34 20 +14
Marquise Kately 24 46 34 +12
Rod Benson 30 50 45 +5
Martin Smith 33 54 50 +4
Ayinde Ubaka 31 50 51 -1
Eric Vierneisel 10 13 14 -1
Kevin Langford 11 15 17 -2
Alex Pribble 1 0 2 -2
Dominic McGuire 22 32 35 -3
David Paris 24 31 42 -11

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Martin Smith - 34-17, +17
Second Half Top - Eric Vierneisel - 10-2, +8

First Half Bottom - Eric Vierneisel - 3-12, -9
Second Half Bottom - Martin Smith - 20-33, -13

Difference Makers


With DeVon Hardin in 14 minutes - 34-20, +14
Without Hardin in 26 minutes - 31-42, -11

With Marquise Kately in 24 minutes - 46-34, +12
Without Kately in 16 minutes - 19-28, -9

Starting Lineup/Other Lineups

(Starting) Ubaka, Smith, McGuire, Benson and Paris in 12:21 - 19-19, 0  
Ubaka, Smith, Kately, Langford, and Hardin in 2:55 - 10-1, +9
Ubaka, Vierneisel, Kately, Hardin, and Benson in 2:14 - 8-2, +6
Smith, Kately, McGuire, Benson, and Hardin in 2:44 - 9-4, +5
All other combinations in 19:46 - 19-36, -17

Offensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Hardin 2.43
Kately 1.92
Benson 1.67
Smith 1.64
TEAM 1.62
Ubaka 1.61
McGuire 1.45
Langford 1.36
Vierneisel 1.30
Paris 1.29
Pribble 0.00

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

Defensive Efficiency

Player PPM*
Vierneisel 1.40
Kately 1.42
Hardin 1.43
Benson 1.50
Smith 1.51
Langford 1.55
TEAM 1.55
McGuire 1.59
Ubaka 1.64
Paris 1.75
Pribble 2.00

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Hardin 14 +1.05 +14 +12.95
Kately 24 +1.80 +12 +10.20
Benson 30 +2.25 +5 +2.75
Smith 33 +2.47 +4 +1.53
Vierneisel 10 +0.75 -1 -1.75
Pribble 1 +0.08 -2 -2.08
Langford 11 +0.83 -2 -2.83
Ubaka 31 +2.33 -1 -3.33
McGuire 22 +1.65 -3 -4.65
Paris 24 +1.80 -11 -12.80

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Scoring Pull

Player Minutes Team Points Scored Player Points Scored %
McGuire 22 32 12 37.5
Kately 24 46 15 32.6
Benson 30 50 15 30.0
Vierneisel 10 13 3 23.1
Ubaka 31 50 9 18.0
Hardin 14 34 4 10.2
Smith 33 54 5 9.2
Paris 24 31 2 0.7
Langford 11 15 0 0
Pribble 1 0 0 0

Description:  This chart measures the amount of a team's points a player scores while he's on the floor.  For example, when David Paris was on the floor, the Bears scored 49 points. Of those 49 points, Paris scored 20, giving him a percentage of 40.8.


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","mobileBody":"

(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Martin Smith - 34-17, +17
Second Half Top - Eric Vierneisel - 10-2, +8

First Half Bottom - Eric Vierneisel - 3-12, -9
Second Half Bottom - Martin Smith - 20-33, -13


With DeVon Hardin in 14 minutes - 34-20, +14
Without Hardin in 26 minutes - 31-42, -11

With Marquise Kately in 24 minutes - 46-34, +12
Without Kately in 16 minutes - 19-28, -9

(Starting) Ubaka, Smith, McGuire, Benson and Paris in 12:21 - 19-19, 0  
Ubaka, Smith, Kately, Langford, and Hardin in 2:55 - 10-1, +9
Ubaka, Vierneisel, Kately, Hardin, and Benson in 2:14 - 8-2, +6
Smith, Kately, McGuire, Benson, and Hardin in 2:44 - 9-4, +5
All other combinations in 19:46 - 19-36, -17

Offensive Efficiency

*Points per minute scored by Cal while player was on the court.

*Points per minute scored by opponent while player was on the court.

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Scoring Pull

  This chart measures the amount of a team's points a player scores while he's on the floor.  For example, when David Paris was on the floor, the Bears scored 49 points. Of those 49 points, Paris scored 20, giving him a percentage of 40.8.

©Copyright 2005, TheBearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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