Fun With Numbers - Cal WBB vs. Arizona

<p>Led by Jessica Lawson's 19 points and 12 rebounds, California's women's basketball team upset Arizona 70-61 at Haas Pavilion on Saturday. The Bears (9-13, 3-10 Pac 10) snapped an eight-game losing streak and managed to overcome the second-half woes that have plagued them for much of the year. Trailing 48-46 with 7:30 left, Kiki Williams hit a 3-point shoot giving the Bears the lead for good. Williams and Jacqueline Sanchez each led the plus in +/- with a +15.</p>

Player Min +Pts -Pts Diff
Jacqueline Sanchez 20 44 29 +15
Kiki Williams 18 43 28 +15
Jessica Lawson 30 58 47 +11
Kristin Iwanaga 38 67 59 +8
Leigh Gregory 25 48 43 +5
Renee Wright 24 32 30 +2
Krista Foster 10 15 15 0
Keanna Levy 4 5 5 0
Emmelie Gerraedts 1 2 2 0
Khadijah Coakley 9 10 12 -2
Sarah Pool 20 26 35 -9

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Jacqueline Sanchez - 14-8, +6
Second Half Top - Kiki Williams - 34-19, +15

First Half Bottom - Sarah Pool - 16-21, -5
Second Half Bottom - Khadijah Coakley - 3-8, -5

Difference Makers


With Jacqueline Sanchez in 20 minutes - 44-29, +15
Without Sanchez in 20 minutes - 26-32, -6

With Kiki Williams in 18 minutes - 43-28, +15
Without Williams in 22 minutes - 27-33, -6

Starting Lineup

Pool, Iwanaga, Gregory, Williams and Lawson in 4:12:  8-6, +2
Iwanaga, Sanchez, Gregory, Williams and Lawson in 2:02: 13-8, +5
All other combinations in 33:36: 49-47, +2

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Williams 18 +4.05 +15 +10.95
Sanchez 20 +4.50 +15 +10.50
Lawson 30 +6.75 +11 +4.25
Gerraedts 1 +0.23 0 -0.23
Iwanaga 38 +8.55 +8 -0.55
Gregory 25 +5.62 +5 -0.62
Levy 4 +0.90 0 -0.90
Foster 10 +2.25 0 -2.25
Wright 24 +5.40 +2 -3.40
Coakley 9 +2.03 -2 -4.03
Pool 20 +4.50 -9 -13.50

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.


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(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Jacqueline Sanchez - 14-8, +6
Second Half Top - Kiki Williams - 34-19, +15

First Half Bottom - Sarah Pool - 16-21, -5
Second Half Bottom - Khadijah Coakley - 3-8, -5


With Jacqueline Sanchez in 20 minutes - 44-29, +15
Without Sanchez in 20 minutes - 26-32, -6

With Kiki Williams in 18 minutes - 43-28, +15
Without Williams in 22 minutes - 27-33, -6

Pool, Iwanaga, Gregory, Williams and Lawson in 4:12:  8-6, +2
Iwanaga, Sanchez, Gregory, Williams and Lawson in 2:02: 13-8, +5
All other combinations in 33:36: 49-47, +2

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

©Copyright 2005, TheBearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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