The Pac-10 - As It Stands

Last week marked the first true weekend of conference play in the Pac-10. All ten teams played, and all ten teams played conference games. Non-conference schedules in college football make it hard to gauge a team’s ability; different levels of opponent make it difficult to compare teams. Now the conference race and the strengths of the teams are beginning to form a pattern.

With every team having played just one or two games, raw standings are not meaningful. So, for our purposes here are our Pac-10 "groupings" to date.

Top of the Heap

#1 USC 4-0; 2-0
Last Week: Won at Arizona State 38-28
Next Week: Arizona

They were the 2003 conference and co-national champions, they were the 2004 conference and undisputed, undefeated national champions, and they show no signs of letting up. They have beaten two of the better teams in the conference (Oregon and Arizona State) on the road. Until somebody proves different they are the best team in the league and the nation. To show what the “experts” think of ‘SC, they were favored by over two touchdowns in consecutive road games against ranked conference opponents, that’s almost unheard of.

The only chink in the Trojans’ armor has been inconsistent play at cornerback, and a periodically stagnant offense. That is countered by an often-stifling defense and frequently explosive offense.

The good news, bad news scenario for Pac-10 teams is that USC showed some weakness falling behind to both Oregon (13-0) and Arizona St. (21-3). However, they came back to win both those games. And, they came back to cover the spread.

If USC should falter….

#2A California 5-0; 2-0
Last Week: Beat Arizona 28-0
Next Week: at UCLA

The Bears are 5-0; in past years this would be cause for celebration in and of itself. But Jeff Tedford has raised the bar higher in Berkeley than it has almost ever been. If one is to believe the polls, Cal is by far the second best Pac-10 team. However, it is hard to term any of the Bears’ opponents as “good”. It is hard to term any of them as anything but “horrendous,” “weak,” etc.

Cal has put up some impressive numbers, but has been inconsistent in every phase of the game - brilliant offense/bumbling offense; overwhelming defense/unexpectedly porous defense against weak teams; explosive special teams/mistake-prone special teams. The trip to Pasadena will provide the Bears with their midterm grade.

#2B Arizona State 3-2; 1-1
Last Week: Lost to USC 38-28
Next Week: Oregon

On the surface the Sun Devils’ record does not seem overly impressive, but Arizona State has become the poster child for “quality losses.” Dirk Koetter’s team lost to then number 5 LSU, and last week to top-ranked USC. They led USC for two and a half quarters, and arguably should have beaten LSU. Add to that three solid, never in doubt victories against Temple, Northwestern, and Oregon State, and the Sun Devils can’t help but impress.

One would be hard pressed to figure out who’s happier, Jeff Tedford that Arizona State is not on Cal’s schedule, or Koetter that Cal is not on his.

#4 UCLA 4-0, 1-0
Last Week: Beat Washington 21-17
Next Week: CAL


The Bruins have been impressive, and have all the components for Pac-10 success, experienced quarterback, solid run attack, solid run defense. They quickly dismissed Rice, San Diego State, and Oklahoma, but faltered against Washington having to score a late touchdown to beat the Huskies.

A win Saturday against Cal could send the Bruins’ confidence sky high, as well as send them rocketing upwards in the ratings; a loss could send them toward the mediocrity we’ve recently come to expect from the little school that could - in Westwood.

#5 Oregon 4-1; 1-1
Last Week: Won at Stanford 44-20
Next Week: at Arizona St.

The Ducks have done everything they are supposed to do, but nothing more. They have been impressive on offense, inconsistent on defense. Mike Bellotti should have a good idea of his team’s direction after Saturday’s game in Tempe

Middle of the Pac

#6 Oregon State 3-2; 1-1
Last Week: Beat Washington St. 44-33
Next Week: BYE (at Cal Oct. 15)

So will the real Beavers please stand up? Mike Riley’s team played well against Louisville, and then fell apart at the end, and then fell behind Washington State 30-13, only to come back and win 44-33.

Oregon State’s problem is simply not enough good players. They may surprise someone in Corvallis, but look for them to be just ahead of the conference bottom feeders.

#7 Washington State 3-1, 0-1
Last Week: Lost at Oregon St. 44-33
Next Week: Stanford

The Cougars can score; they ran up big scores on Idaho (38), Nevada (55) and Grambling (48) but gave up big totals as well. If they decide to play defense, they will be a force to be reckoned with, but do not have the offensive firepower to keep up in shootouts with conference foes. The best example was last week’s game with Oregon State. The Cougars led 30-13 with less than two minutes left in the first half, and proceeded to get outscored 31-3 over the final 31 minutes.

It serves Cal well to be playing Washington State in Berkeley, as both the Cougars and Beavers are much better at home than on the road.

Is D1 football really for us?

#8 Stanford 1-2; 0-1
Last Week: Lost to Oregon 44-20
Next Week: at Washington State

The Cardinal had a glimmer of hope for improvement when they won the opener at Navy 41-38. That glimmer was quickly extinguished when they lost to U.C. Davis in Palo Alto.

This is not quite as humiliating as Cal losing to Sac State would have been, but it is close. They showed nothing in a 44-20 home loss to Oregon. The Cardinal has no strength or identity on offense, and not enough players on defense.

Losses to UCLA and Cal would give the Cardinal the distinction of being the only team to go 0 for the University of California system – as only Cal, UCLA and Davis play football.

#9 Arizona 1-3; 0-1
Last Week: Lost At Cal 28-0
Next Week: at USC

The hits just keep on coming for Mike Stoops’ squad. No offense, undersized defense, no impact players … Where’s Lute, is it basketball season yet?

#10 Washington 1-4; 0-2
Last Week: Lost to UCLA 21-17
Next Week: at Oregon

The bright spots for the Puppies were a 34-6 win over Idaho (the favorite whipping boy of the conference’s northwest quartet), and a solid three quarters plus against UCLA last week in Pasadena. The failings, losing badly to a mediocre Air Force team, getting trounced by Cal, losing to Notre Dame at home with everything to play for, imploding against UCLA at the end of the game …

Tyrone Willingham has a lot more work to do to shake the Keith Gilbertson flu.


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With every team having played just one or two games, raw standings are not meaningful. So, for our purposes here are our Pac-10 "groupings" to date.

Top of the Heap

#1 USC 4-0; 2-0
Last Week: Won at Arizona State 38-28
Next Week: Arizona

They were the 2003 conference and co-national champions, they were the 2004 conference and undisputed, undefeated national champions, and they show no signs of letting up. They have beaten two of the better teams in the conference (Oregon and Arizona State) on the road. Until somebody proves different they are the best team in the league and the nation. To show what the “experts” think of ‘SC, they were favored by over two touchdowns in consecutive road games against ranked conference opponents, that’s almost unheard of.

The only chink in the Trojans’ armor has been inconsistent play at cornerback, and a periodically stagnant offense. That is countered by an often-stifling defense and frequently explosive offense.

The good news, bad news scenario for Pac-10 teams is that USC showed some weakness falling behind to both Oregon (13-0) and Arizona St. (21-3). However, they came back to win both those games. And, they came back to cover the spread.

If USC should falter….

#2A California 5-0; 2-0
Last Week: Beat Arizona 28-0
Next Week: at UCLA

The Bears are 5-0; in past years this would be cause for celebration in and of itself. But Jeff Tedford has raised the bar higher in Berkeley than it has almost ever been. If one is to believe the polls, Cal is by far the second best Pac-10 team. However, it is hard to term any of the Bears’ opponents as “good”. It is hard to term any of them as anything but “horrendous,” “weak,” etc.

Cal has put up some impressive numbers, but has been inconsistent in every phase of the game - brilliant offense/bumbling offense; overwhelming defense/unexpectedly porous defense against weak teams; explosive special teams/mistake-prone special teams. The trip to Pasadena will provide the Bears with their midterm grade.

#2B Arizona State 3-2; 1-1
Last Week: Lost to USC 38-28
Next Week: Oregon

On the surface the Sun Devils’ record does not seem overly impressive, but Arizona State has become the poster child for “quality losses.” Dirk Koetter’s team lost to then number 5 LSU, and last week to top-ranked USC. They led USC for two and a half quarters, and arguably should have beaten LSU. Add to that three solid, never in doubt victories against Temple, Northwestern, and Oregon State, and the Sun Devils can’t help but impress.

One would be hard pressed to figure out who’s happier, Jeff Tedford that Arizona State is not on Cal’s schedule, or Koetter that Cal is not on his.

#4 UCLA 4-0, 1-0
Last Week: Beat Washington 21-17
Next Week: CAL


The Bruins have been impressive, and have all the components for Pac-10 success, experienced quarterback, solid run attack, solid run defense. They quickly dismissed Rice, San Diego State, and Oklahoma, but faltered against Washington having to score a late touchdown to beat the Huskies.

A win Saturday against Cal could send the Bruins’ confidence sky high, as well as send them rocketing upwards in the ratings; a loss could send them toward the mediocrity we’ve recently come to expect from the little school that could - in Westwood.

#5 Oregon 4-1; 1-1
Last Week: Won at Stanford 44-20
Next Week: at Arizona St.

The Ducks have done everything they are supposed to do, but nothing more. They have been impressive on offense, inconsistent on defense. Mike Bellotti should have a good idea of his team’s direction after Saturday’s game in Tempe

Middle of the Pac

#6 Oregon State 3-2; 1-1
Last Week: Beat Washington St. 44-33
Next Week: BYE (at Cal Oct. 15)

So will the real Beavers please stand up? Mike Riley’s team played well against Louisville, and then fell apart at the end, and then fell behind Washington State 30-13, only to come back and win 44-33.

Oregon State’s problem is simply not enough good players. They may surprise someone in Corvallis, but look for them to be just ahead of the conference bottom feeders.

#7 Washington State 3-1, 0-1
Last Week: Lost at Oregon St. 44-33
Next Week: Stanford

The Cougars can score; they ran up big scores on Idaho (38), Nevada (55) and Grambling (48) but gave up big totals as well. If they decide to play defense, they will be a force to be reckoned with, but do not have the offensive firepower to keep up in shootouts with conference foes. The best example was last week’s game with Oregon State. The Cougars led 30-13 with less than two minutes left in the first half, and proceeded to get outscored 31-3 over the final 31 minutes.

It serves Cal well to be playing Washington State in Berkeley, as both the Cougars and Beavers are much better at home than on the road.

Is D1 football really for us?

#8 Stanford 1-2; 0-1
Last Week: Lost to Oregon 44-20
Next Week: at Washington State

The Cardinal had a glimmer of hope for improvement when they won the opener at Navy 41-38. That glimmer was quickly extinguished when they lost to U.C. Davis in Palo Alto.

This is not quite as humiliating as Cal losing to Sac State would have been, but it is close. They showed nothing in a 44-20 home loss to Oregon. The Cardinal has no strength or identity on offense, and not enough players on defense.

Losses to UCLA and Cal would give the Cardinal the distinction of being the only team to go 0 for the University of California system – as only Cal, UCLA and Davis play football.

#9 Arizona 1-3; 0-1
Last Week: Lost At Cal 28-0
Next Week: at USC

The hits just keep on coming for Mike Stoops’ squad. No offense, undersized defense, no impact players … Where’s Lute, is it basketball season yet?

#10 Washington 1-4; 0-2
Last Week: Lost to UCLA 21-17
Next Week: at Oregon

The bright spots for the Puppies were a 34-6 win over Idaho (the favorite whipping boy of the conference’s northwest quartet), and a solid three quarters plus against UCLA last week in Pasadena. The failings, losing badly to a mediocre Air Force team, getting trounced by Cal, losing to Notre Dame at home with everything to play for, imploding against UCLA at the end of the game …

Tyrone Willingham has a lot more work to do to shake the Keith Gilbertson flu.


©Copyright 2005, BearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this very active online Cal community and get access to the members-only content from the nation-wide Scout.com network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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