Plus/minus - Cal vs. Oregon

With its 62-60 win over Oregon on Saturday, California maintained its second place tie in Pac-10 play. The Bears now head into the final stretch of conference play with five of its remaining seven games to be played at Haas Pavilion. By comparison, first place UCLA must play five of its final seven conference games on the road. Ayinde Ubaka led Cal with 20 points, while Leon Powe had 15 points and 9 rebounds. Nikola Knezevic led the Bears in plus/minus with a +5.

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Nikola Knezevic 8 15 10 0 1 0 +5
Theo Robertson 21 35 31 5 1 0 +4
Omar Wilkes 26 41 38 3 1 1 +3
Richard Midgley 40 62 60 3 3 2 +2
Ayinde Ubaka 32 49 48 20 3 3 +1
DeVon Hardin 25 37 37 10 8 0 0
Alex Pribble 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jordan Wilkes 14 16 18 4 1 0 -2
Leon Powe 33 55 58 15 9 2 -3

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Theo Robertson, 16-11, +5
Second Half Top - Nikola Knezevic, 15-10, +5

First Half Bottom - Jordan Wilkes, 9-13, -4
Second Half Bottom - Leon Powe, 24-30, -6

Difference Makers


With Nikola Knezevic in 8 minutes - 15-10, +5
Without Knezevic in 32 minutes - 47-50, -3

With Theo Robertson in 21 minutes - 35-31, +4
Without Robertson in 19 minutes - 27-29, -2

With Omar Wilkes in 26 minutes - 41-38, +3
Without Wilkes in 14 minutes - 21-22, -1

Starting Five

Ubaka, Wilkes, Midgley, Hardin, Powe in 15:20 - 25-20, +5
All other lineups in 24:40 - 37-40, -3

Trios
Ubaka/O.Wilkes/Midgley combos in 22:34 - 34-34, 0
Ubaka/Midgley/Robertson combos in 10:05 - 13-14, -1
Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson combos in 4:23 - 6-8, -2
O. Wilkes/Knezevic/Midgley combos in 2:27 - 7-2, +5
Knezevic/Midgley/Pribble combos in 0:15 - 0-0, 0
O. Wilkes/Midgley/Robertson combos in 0:12 - 0-2, -2
Ubaka/Knezevic/Midgley combos in 0:04 - 2-0, +2

Quads With Robertson in the frontcourt*
Ubaka/O.Wilkes/Midgley/Robertson in 4:12 - 6-5, +1
O. Wilkes/Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson in 2:11 - 5-2, +3
Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson/Pribble in 0:15 - 0-0, 0
Ubaka/Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson in 0:04 - 2-0, +2

*Robertson's frontcourt numbers were helped late in the game when Cal was bringing in Omar Wilkes for offense and DeVon Hardin for defense. The Bears were generally on offense when Robertson was paired with Powe, and generally on defense when Hardin was paired with Powe in the frontcourt.  Hence, when the Bears gave up points, Robertson was a backcourt/swing player.

Frontcourt Duos

Hardin/Powe in 21:08 - 33-34, -1
J. Wilkes/Powe in 10:25 - 13-18, -5
J. Wilkes/Hardin in 1:13 - 0-0, 0   
*Other combos in 7:14 - 16-7, +9

*The other combos also benefitted from the offense/defense substitutions at the end of the game when Omar Wilkes was brought in for offense and DeVon Hardin was brought in for defense.  During the last 47 seconds, the offensive unit had a benefit of +6, while the defensive unit, which had the frontcourt duo of Hardin and Powe, had a -5.  During the first 39:13, the Hardin/Powe duo had a +4 (33-29), while other combos had a +3 (10-7).

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Knezevic 8 +0.40 +5 +4.60
Robertson 21 +1.05 +4 +2.95
O. Wilkes 26 +1.30 +3 +1.70
Midgley 40 +2.00 +2 0
Pribble 1 +0.05 0 -0.05
Ubaka 32 +1.60 +1 -0.60
Hardin 25 +1.25 0 -1.25
J. Wilkes 14 +0.70 -2 -2.70
Powe 33 +1.65 -3 -4.65

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Standings

  W L Home Away
UCLA 9 2 OSU, Oregon WSU, Wash, USC, Cal, Stanford
California 8 3 Stanford, Arizona, ASU, UCLA, USC WSU, Wash
Stanford 8 3 ASU, Arizona, USC, UCLA Cal, Wash, WSU
USC 6 5 UCLA, Oregon, OSU Wash, WSU, Stanford, Cal
Arizona 6 5 OSU, Oregon, ASU, Wash, WSU Cal, Stanford
Washington 5 5 USC, UCLA, Stanford, Cal Oregon, OSU, ASU, Arizona
Oregon 4 7 Wash, WSU Arizona, ASU, USC, UCLA, OSU
Washington State 3 7 UCLA, USC, Cal, Stanford OSU, Oregon, Arizona, ASU
Oregon State 3 8 WSU, Wash, Oregon ASU, Arizona, UCLA, USC
Arizona State 2 9 Oregon, OSU., Wash., WSU Stanford, Cal, Arizona

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(minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Theo Robertson, 16-11, +5
Second Half Top - Nikola Knezevic, 15-10, +5

First Half Bottom - Jordan Wilkes, 9-13, -4
Second Half Bottom - Leon Powe, 24-30, -6


With Nikola Knezevic in 8 minutes - 15-10, +5
Without Knezevic in 32 minutes - 47-50, -3

With Theo Robertson in 21 minutes - 35-31, +4
Without Robertson in 19 minutes - 27-29, -2

With Omar Wilkes in 26 minutes - 41-38, +3
Without Wilkes in 14 minutes - 21-22, -1

Starting Five

Ubaka, Wilkes, Midgley, Hardin, Powe in 15:20 - 25-20, +5
All other lineups in 24:40 - 37-40, -3

Trios
Ubaka/O.Wilkes/Midgley combos in 22:34 - 34-34, 0
Ubaka/Midgley/Robertson combos in 10:05 - 13-14, -1
Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson combos in 4:23 - 6-8, -2
O. Wilkes/Knezevic/Midgley combos in 2:27 - 7-2, +5
Knezevic/Midgley/Pribble combos in 0:15 - 0-0, 0
O. Wilkes/Midgley/Robertson combos in 0:12 - 0-2, -2
Ubaka/Knezevic/Midgley combos in 0:04 - 2-0, +2

Quads With Robertson in the frontcourt*
Ubaka/O.Wilkes/Midgley/Robertson in 4:12 - 6-5, +1
O. Wilkes/Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson in 2:11 - 5-2, +3
Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson/Pribble in 0:15 - 0-0, 0
Ubaka/Knezevic/Midgley/Robertson in 0:04 - 2-0, +2

*Robertson's frontcourt numbers were helped late in the game when Cal was bringing in Omar Wilkes for offense and DeVon Hardin for defense. The Bears were generally on offense when Robertson was paired with Powe, and generally on defense when Hardin was paired with Powe in the frontcourt.  Hence, when the Bears gave up points, Robertson was a backcourt/swing player.

Frontcourt Duos

Hardin/Powe in 21:08 - 33-34, -1
J. Wilkes/Powe in 10:25 - 13-18, -5
J. Wilkes/Hardin in 1:13 - 0-0, 0   
*Other combos in 7:14 - 16-7, +9

*The other combos also benefitted from the offense/defense substitutions at the end of the game when Omar Wilkes was brought in for offense and DeVon Hardin was brought in for defense.  During the last 47 seconds, the offensive unit had a benefit of +6, while the defensive unit, which had the frontcourt duo of Hardin and Powe, had a -5.  During the first 39:13, the Hardin/Powe duo had a +4 (33-29), while other combos had a +3 (10-7).

This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.

Standings

©Copyright 2006, TheBearInsider.com and Scout.com. All rights reserved.

If you haven't done so already, subscribe to The Bear Insider so you can participate in this online community and get access to the members-only content from the nationwide Insiders network.

Bear Insider staff writers visit the Insider discussion board regularly, and are available to discuss questions you may have about this article and Cal Athletics.

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