Plus/minus: MBB vs. WSU, WBB vs. UCLA

What did Nikola Knezevic, Ryan Anderson, Eric Vierneisel, Alexis Gray-Lawson, Ashley Walker, and Natasha Vital all have in common on Thursday? They all topped the plus/minus charts in helping their Cal basketball teams to victories, with the men pulling an upset shocker over #9 Washington State, 69-64, while the women held on to first place in the Pac-10 with a 67-53 win over UCLA.

Men's:  California 69, Washington State 64

With DeVon Hardin unable to make the trip to Pullman due to a viral infection, the California Golden Bears still managed to pull of their biggest win of the season by upsetting 9th-ranked Washington State, 69-64.  Jamal Boykin started in place of Hardin and had a solid game with 12 points and 7 rebounds, while Harper Kamp gave the Bears some solid minutes in the second half when Ryan Anderson had to sit awhile after picking up his fourth foul.  For Anderson, it was another day at the office with 27 points and 9 rebounds. Even though the Bears are a long way from contending for the conference lead, Anderson's make a strong case for conference player of the year.

Nikola Knezevic topped the Bears' plus/minus with a +9, despite not scoring and having one point and one assist.  The Bears tried three combinations with Knezevic and Jerome Randle.  During the 3:16 that the Bears played Knezevic, they outscored WSU 9-2 (+7), during the 12:38 that they used Randle and Knezevic, they outscored the Cougars 19-17 (+2), but for the 24:06 that they used Randle, they were outscroed 45-41 (-4).

While there are any number of ways to measure Anderson's importance to the Bears offense, one of the more significant facts to emerge from Thursday's game is this: during the 30 minutes that Anderson played, the Bears averaged 1.97 points a minute (79 points/40 minute pace), yet during the 10 minutes that he didn't play, Cal averaged 1.00 point per minute (40 points/40 minute pace).  Put simply, the Bears were twice as effective offensively when Anderson was in the game.

 

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Nikola Knezevic 16 28 19 0 1 1 +9
Ryan Anderson 30 59 52 27 9 1 +7
Eric Vierneisel 33 63 56 9 0 2 +7
Jamal Boykin 31 54 48 12 7 3 +6
Harper Kamp 14 23 21 0 1 2 +2
Patrick Christopher 35 56 55 16 5 1 +1
Jerome Randle 37 60 62 5 3 3 -2
Jordan Wilkes 4 2 7 0 0 0 -5

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Nikola Knezevic - 22-15, +7
Second Half Top - Jamal Boykin - 28-19, +9

First Half Bottom - Jerome Randle - 28-33, -5
Second Half Bottom - Harper Kamp - 14-13, +1

Difference Makers

With Nikola Knezevic in 16 minutes - 28-19, +9
Without Knezevic in 24 minutes - 41-45, -4

With Ryan Anderson in 30 minutes - 59-52, +7
Without Anderson in 10 minutes - 10-12, -2

With Eric Vierneisel in 33 minutes - 63-56,+7
Without Vierneisel in 7 minutes - 6-8, -2

With Jerome Randle in 37 minutes - 60-62, -2
Without Randle in 3 minutes - 9-2, +7

Lineups

Starting lineup
Randle, Vierneisel, Christopher, Anderson, Boykin in 19:40 - 33-33, 0
All others in 20:20 - 36-31, +5

Usage of Randle and Knezevic:

Randle lineups 24:06 41-45, -4
Ranlde and Knezevic lineups 12:38 19-17, +2
Knezevic lineups 3:16 9-2, +7
TOTAL 40:00 69-64, +5

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Knezevic 16 +2.00 +9 +7.00
Anderson 30 +3.75 +7 +3.25
Vierneisel 33 +4.12 +7 +2.88
Boykin 31 +3.88 +6 +2.12
Kamp 14 +1.75 +2 +0.25
Christopher 35 +4.38 +1 -3.38
Wilkes 4 +0.50 -5 -5.50
Randle 37 +4.63 -2 -6.63

Description: This stat measures the significance of a player's contribution to the team's effort. If a team wins by 10 points, and a player plays in half of the team's minutes, his expected contribution would be a +5. For example, when Cal defeated Grambling by 19 points. Brian Wethers played 28 minutes or 70% of the game. If we multiply 70% x +19, Wethers' expected contribution would be a +13.30. But for the game he was a +26, so his net for the game for a +12.70. In a perfect team situation, if everyone contributed equally, the difference column would consist of a row of zeros.


Women's:  California 67, UCLA 53

Player Min +Pts -Pts Pts Reb Ast Diff
Alexis Gray-Lawson 38 67 45 12 3 4 +22
Ashley Walker 35 63 47 18 10 2 +16
Natasha Vital 38 65 49 16 7 3 +16
Rama N'Diaye 15 29 20 4 3 1 +9
Lauren Greif 24 41 37 6 2 0 +4
Shantrell Sneed 7 11 8 0 0 1 +3
Devanei Hampton 29 42 39 9 10 2 +3
Kelsey Adrian 14 17 20 2 4 1 -3

First vs. Second Half (minimum 2 minutes)

First Half Top - Alexis Gray-Lawson - 36-21, +15
Second Half Top - Alexis Gray-Lawson  31-24, +7

First Half Bottom - Shantrell Sneed - 3-2, +1
Second Half Bottom - Kelsey Adrian - 2-8, -6

Starting Lineup

Vital, Greif, Gray-Lawson, Hampton, Walker in 11:18 - 21-17, +4
All other lineups in 28:42 - 46-36, +10

Difference Makers

With  Alexis Gray-Lawson in 38 minutes - 67-45, +22
Without Gray-Lawson in 2 minutes - 0-8, -8

With Ashley Walker in 35 minutes - 63-47, +16
Without Walker in 5 minutes - 4-6, -2

With Natasha Vital in 38 minutes - 65-49, +16
Without Vital in 2 minutes - 2-4, -2

With Kelsey Adrian in 14 minutes - 17-20, -3
Without Adrian in 26 minutes - 50-33, +17

Contribution Evaluation

Player Minutes Expected Actual Difference
Gray-Lawson 38 +13.30 +22 +8.70
N'Diaye 15 +5.25 +9 +3.75
Walker 35 +12.25 +16 +3.75
Vital 38 +13.30 +16 +2.70
Sneed 7 +2.45 +3 +0.55
Greif 24 +8.40 +4 -4.40
Hampton 29 +10.15 +3 -7.15
Adrian 14 +4.90 -3 -7.90

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